UK Economic & Political Uncertainty - Keir Starmer's initial reluctance to support Rachel Reeves raises questions about internal party dynamics and potential leadership challenges [1][2] - Speculation suggests a possible change in Chancellor of the Exchequer, potentially impacting market confidence and government stability [3] - The government's backtracking on proposed welfare changes reveals a £5 billion fiscal hole, hindering economic growth and tax cut promises [5] Market Reaction & Fiscal Policy - The UK market faces potential instability, reminiscent of the "Liz Truss" era, with concerns over unfunded tax cuts and bond market reactions [4][6] - Rachel Reeves' credibility with the bond market is crucial; her departure could trigger increased speculation and market volatility [7][8] - The ability to grow the UK economy and avoid tax increases is uncertain, given the government's recent policy setbacks [5][6] Budget & Economic Outlook - The upcoming budget, to be presented by either Rachel Reeves or a new Chancellor, faces significant challenges in achieving economic growth without raising taxes [6] - Failure to pass proposed changes raises concerns about the government's ability to manage the economy and fulfill its promises [5][6] - The UK is in a "waiting period," with close attention on key figures and their potential impact on economic policy [4][5]