Market Trends & Global Financial System - Investors are wary of longer-dated debt due to market volatility [1][4] - The financial system is repricing from a unipolar to a multipolar system [2] - Central banks are prioritizing financial stability over price stability, leading to higher inflation [3] Investment Strategies & Asset Allocation - Investors should consider hard assets like gold and private credit [3][4] - It's better to stay closer to home and position for upside in markets like equities or commodities [5] US Economic Outlook & Fiscal Policy - Tariffs won't generate enough capital to sustain the deficit [2] - The US may face austerity measures, including spending cuts, potentially starting in 2026 [2][5] - Voters are showing less tolerance for fiscal profligacy [6] - The US can continue spending at a clip of 6-7%, but eventually needs to find ways to fund the Treasury, cut spending, or depreciate the currency [7]