Market Reaction to Middle East Conflict - Historically, Middle East conflicts have led to oil price increases due to market anticipation of supply disruptions, given the region's centrality to global supply [1] - Currently, the oil market is not preemptively pricing in potential supply disruptions, possibly due to past overreactions that did not materialize [2][3] US Shale Revolution Impact - The US has significantly increased its oil production from approximately 750 万 (7.5 million) barrels per day 20 years ago to nearly 2100 万 (21 million) barrels per day [4] - Reduced US reliance on oil flow from the Strait of Hormuz may be contributing to traders' decreased need to price in risk for potential disruptions [4] Key Takeaway - The current Middle East conflict is occurring in the "post US shale revolution era," impacting global oil market dynamics [3][4]