Unipolar World Order Erosion
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BitMEX Co-Founder Arthur Hayes Sees Money Printing Extending Crypto Cycle Well Into 2026
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-09-14 17:10
Core Viewpoint - The current crypto bull market is expected to continue, driven by early-stage global monetary trends and aggressive monetary expansion by governments worldwide [1][2]. Group 1: U.S. Monetary Policy and Political Landscape - U.S. politics, particularly the potential spending programs from President Trump's second term, could significantly influence market liquidity from mid-2026 onward [2]. - Expectations for extreme money printing may lead to partial profit-taking, but currently, investors are underestimating the liquidity that could flow into equities and crypto [2]. Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The erosion of a unipolar world order is seen as a catalyst for increased fiscal stimulus and central bank easing, as policymakers respond to periods of instability [3]. - Potential strains within Europe, including the risk of a French default, could further accelerate global monetary expansion [4]. Group 3: Bitcoin's Performance and Market Position - Bitcoin's performance is contrasted with other asset classes, showing that while U.S. stocks have increased in dollar terms, they have not fully recovered relative to gold since the 2008 financial crisis [5]. - Traditional benchmarks appear weak when measured against bitcoin, highlighting its dominance in the current market [6][5]. Group 4: Investment Strategy and Outlook - The perspective that governments will print money during economic downturns is shared by both traditional finance and crypto investors, with the latter viewing bitcoin as a superior asset [7]. - Patience is emphasized as crucial for bitcoin holders, with the real advantage coming from long-term compounding rather than short-term speculation [7]. - The current crypto cycle is anticipated to extend well into 2026, indicating that it is far from exhausted [8].