Value-Based Procurement (VBP)
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中国医疗科技:2025 年四季度行业联动 -多家全球企业对 2026 年中国前景持谨慎态度-China Medtech_ Q425 read-across_ many global firms maintain a cautious view on 2026 China outlook
2026-02-11 15:40
Summary of China Medtech Q425 Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Medical Technology (Medtech) in China - **Context**: The conference call discusses the performance of various global medtech companies in China during Q425, highlighting ongoing challenges and opportunities in the market for 2026. Key Points 1. Overall Market Sentiment - Many large-cap global medtech companies reported a year-over-year (YoY) decline in China revenue for Q425, particularly in the diagnostics (Dx) sector. Companies expect policy headwinds to persist into 2026, albeit at a reduced impact level [2][4] 2. Equipment Sector Performance - **GE Healthcare**: Reported an 11% YoY revenue decline in China for Q425, with flat revenue quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). The company noted improved VBP (Volume-Based Procurement) win rates and a stronger imaging funnel but still anticipates a decline in 2026 revenue guidance for the China business [3][4] - **Siemens Healthineers**: Experienced a 5% YoY decline in China revenue for Q425, with imaging and precision therapy segments remaining flat. The Dx revenue sharply fell due to VBP and reimbursement cuts, with expectations of a flat volume development for the non-Dx business in FY26 [3][4] - **Intuitive Surgical**: Reported a drop in placements in China from 20 to 17 in Q425, citing intensified competition from local suppliers and lower pricing in provincial tenders [3] 3. Diagnostics Sector Challenges - **Roche**: The China Dx segment faced a 12% YoY revenue decline in Q425, with core lab oncology reagents down approximately 50% in 2025. The company expects continued but diminishing headwinds in 2026 [4] - **Abbott**: Estimated a US$400 million headwind from VBPs, indicating that most of its Dx sales in China have already been affected by these reforms [4] - **Danaher**: Reported a low single-digit decline in core revenue in China for Q425, with Dx segment under pressure from policy headwinds. The company anticipates a moderation of VBP impacts in 2026 [4] 4. Consumables Sector Growth - **Boston Scientific**: Achieved double-digit revenue growth in China for Q425, driven by electrophysiology (EP) and interventional cardiology therapies. The company expects this momentum to continue into 2026, supported by recent NMPA approvals [5] - **Johnson & Johnson**: Continues to face negative impacts from VBPs across its surgery and orthopaedics portfolio, with expectations of additional rounds of VBPs in 2026 [5] Additional Insights - The medtech industry in China faces several risks, including larger-than-expected price reductions from VBP programs, weaker demand from equipment renewal programs, and geopolitical issues affecting supply chains [8] - The overall sentiment indicates a cautious outlook for 2026, with companies adapting to ongoing policy changes and competitive pressures in the Chinese market [2][4][5]