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特锐德:受益于政府新增电动汽车充电设施行动计划
2025-10-19 15:58
Summary of Qingdao TGOOD Electric Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the electric vehicle (EV) charging industry in China, particularly focusing on the government's initiatives to enhance charging infrastructure. - The "Three-Year Action Plan to Doubling Electric Vehicle Charging Facility Service Capacity (2025-2027)" aims to increase the number of EV charging facilities from 12.82 million units by the end of 2024 to 28 million by the end of 2027, with a total power charging capacity of 30GW to support 80 million vehicles [1][2][6]. Key Points and Arguments - **Government Support**: The plan is backed by six PRC government departments, indicating strong governmental support for the expansion of EV charging infrastructure [1][2]. - **Market Growth**: In the first eight months of 2025, China added 4.53 million new charging facilities, representing an 88.5% year-over-year increase. The total public EV charging volume also grew by 51.7% year-over-year to 52,490 GWh [1][7]. - **TGOOD's Position**: Qingdao TGOOD Electric is positioned to benefit from this growth, being the top EV charging operator in China with a 47.0% year-over-year increase in charging volume to 12,065 GWh in the same period [1][7]. - **Expansion Opportunities**: TGOOD plans to expand its business into residential districts by providing centralized installation and operation services for residential charging facilities, as well as increasing vehicle-grid integration projects to generate additional income from power markets [1][2]. Financial Performance - **Earnings Summary**: - 2023A: Net Profit of RMB 491 million, Diluted EPS of RMB 0.469, EPS growth of 79.1% - 2024A: Net Profit of RMB 917 million, Diluted EPS of RMB 0.868, EPS growth of 85.3% - 2025E: Net Profit of RMB 1,234 million, Diluted EPS of RMB 1.169, EPS growth of 34.7% - 2026E: Net Profit of RMB 1,529 million, Diluted EPS of RMB 1.448, EPS growth of 23.8% - 2027E: Net Profit of RMB 1,778 million, Diluted EPS of RMB 1.684, EPS growth of 16.3% [2]. Valuation and Target Price - The target price for TGOOD is set at RMB 29.8, with an expected share price return of 5.3% and a total expected return of 6.0% [4][10]. Risks - Key risks that could affect TGOOD's share price include: - Slower-than-expected additions of EV charging capacity - Lower-than-expected utilization of EV charging due to competition - Less-than-expected demand for renewable electrical equipment [11]. Conclusion - The conference call highlights the significant growth potential in the EV charging sector in China, driven by government initiatives and increasing demand. TGOOD is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, although it faces certain risks that could impact its performance.