Group 1 - The core message from Ray Dalio is that the market is currently in a bubble, estimated to be 80% of the way to bubble conditions seen in 1929 and 2000 [1][4] - Dalio advises against selling, stating that bubbles often rise significantly higher before they burst [2][4] - The primary risk is not valuations or AI hype, but rather the moment when investors suddenly need cash, which can trigger the popping of bubbles [3][5] Group 2 - Dalio emphasizes that bubbles form due to unsustainable wealth creation through inflated stock issuance and heightened leverage [4][5] - He notes that market vulnerabilities are not only related to prices but also to the ownership of risk, with leveraged retail investors being particularly susceptible to panic [8] - The concentration of investments in a few mega-cap tech stocks raises concerns, as many investors are in leveraged positions [8]