Group 1 - The article discusses market expectations of a scenario similar to "Venezuela II," where a negative regime falls, leading to a return to order and a subsequent decline in oil prices [1] - There is an anticipation that the fall of the current regime will stabilize the market, which could result in lower oil prices as supply increases [1] - The sentiment reflects a belief that political changes can significantly impact oil market dynamics, similar to past events in Venezuela [1] Group 2 - The expectation of a regime change is driving speculation among investors regarding future oil price movements [1] - Analysts are closely monitoring geopolitical developments that could influence oil supply and demand [1] - The potential for increased oil production following a regime change is seen as a key factor in the anticipated price decline [1]