Is ASTS a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on AST SpaceMobile, Inc. on R. Dennis’s Substack by OppCost. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on ASTS. AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s share was trading at $89.11 as of March 16th. Iridium’s (IRDM) 2025 results and 2026 outlook frame a steady cash-flow story even as growth moderates Copyright: lexaarts / 123RF Stock Photo AST SpaceMobile, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops the constellation of BlueBird satell ...

Core Thesis - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) presents a bullish investment opportunity, particularly through the sale of long-dated $35 strike puts expiring in January 2028, leveraging expected fundamental de-risking over the next two years [2][5]. Financial Position - As of March 16th, ASTS shares were trading at $89.11, with a current position near $85.73 providing a substantial margin of safety, as shares would need to decline by approximately 60% before breaching the strike price [1][3]. - The effective entry price of $30.10 aligns with pre-commercialization support levels, indicating a favorable risk-reward profile [3]. Operational Catalysts - The company plans to deploy 45–60 satellites by 2026, which is expected to facilitate continuous coverage across key markets and transition ASTS from a pre-revenue concept to a scaled infrastructure provider [3][4]. - Over $1 billion in committed revenue from strategic partners such as AT&T and Verizon enhances visibility into future cash flows, supporting the operational transformation [4]. Risk Mitigation - Backing from major telecom players and integration with U.S. government entities adds credibility and reduces existential risk, which is crucial for a capital-intensive space-based communications model [5]. - The setup combines a double-digit yield with a high probability that the underlying business trajectory will support sustained valuation levels well above the strike price [5]. Historical Performance - ASTS's stock price has appreciated by approximately 239.59% since previous bullish coverage, indicating strong market confidence in the company's transition toward commercialization and satellite deployment progress [6].

Escalating geopolitical tensions over the weekend did not trigger severe capital outflows from altcoins. This test suggests that altcoin prices are hovering around equilibrium levels and are preparing for a significant move. As a result, the market also carries the potential for large-scale liquidations. Altcoins such as SOL, XRP, and XAUT each have distinct drivers that could soon spark volatility and liquidations on both Long and Short positions. 1. Solana (SOL) SOL has traded sideways around $84 sinc ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin is expected to trade sideways between approximately $75,000 and $100,000 in the first half of the year, with a potential breakout later as regulatory clarity improves and macro risks are digested [7] - The surge in gold prices reflects global concerns about fiat currencies and asset seizure risks, which may funnel demand toward Bitcoin as a superior form of self-custody and settlement [7] - Central banks are beginning to explore Bitcoin, asking fundamental questions about its security and risks, with expectations that they may own Bitcoin in the future, potentially more than gold, but this adoption is likely 10 to 20 years away [7] Market Dynamics - The current market shows a lot of Bitcoin available for sale around $100,000, indicating a need for patience before significant price movements [7] - Silver is viewed as a late-stage momentum trade, similar to speculative altcoins, which may influence Bitcoin's demand dynamics over time [7] - The declining volatility of Bitcoin is critical for institutional adoption, with Bitcoin now being less volatile than Nvidia, a stock many investors already hold [7] Long-term Outlook - The long-term price target for Bitcoin is projected to be around $6.5 million per coin over the next 20 years, based on the continuation of global debt growth, money printing, and currency debasement [7] - Regulatory clarity in Washington could accelerate the next bull phase for Bitcoin, but it is not deemed necessary for the long-term trajectory of the cryptocurrency [7] - The fundamentals for Bitcoin are considered strong, with expectations for continued expansion of ETFs, stablecoins, and tokenization, suggesting a favorable outlook for 2026 [7]

Core Insights - Bitcoin and Ethereum options worth over $2.2 billion are set to expire, creating a pre-expiry standoff in the market [1][2] - Bitcoin is trading near its max pain level of $90,000, while Ethereum is slightly above its max pain level of $3,100, indicating a tight trading range [2] - The options market for Bitcoin shows a balanced position with a put-to-call ratio of 1.05, while Ethereum's options indicate a more bullish sentiment with a put-to-call ratio of 0.87 [3][4] Options Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's options market has 10,105 call contracts against 10,633 put contracts, suggesting a balanced outlook [3] - Ethereum's options show a concentration of call positions above $3,000, indicating potential for upward movement if the price holds above max pain [4][5] - Analysts suggest that volatility may compress into the expiry, with significant directional movement expected post-expiry [5][6] Macro Economic Factors - The upcoming US employment report is a key macro catalyst, with expectations of 73,000 nonfarm payroll jobs, which could impact market sentiment [7][8] - The US dollar has strengthened, with the DXY index up approximately 0.5% over the past week, negatively affecting non-yielding assets like Bitcoin and gold [7] - The anticipated employment data and dollar strength are contributing to a cautious market environment for cryptocurrencies [7]