Volatility curve inversion
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Bitcoin 'volatility fear gauge' hits FTX-blowup peak as prices crater to nearly $60,000
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-06 03:27
Core Insights - Bitcoin's volatility index (BVIV) has surged to its highest level since the FTX collapse, indicating significant market panic as prices fell to nearly $60,000 [1][3] - The BVIV, akin to the Cboe's VIX for traditional markets, reflects heightened implied volatility during periods of market distress [2] Market Reaction - A wave of panic has swept through crypto markets, with Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility rising from just over 40% to 95% in a few days, levels not seen since late 2022 [3] - Traders have shown increased demand for options, particularly put options, as Bitcoin's price dropped from $70,000 to nearly $60,000, indicating a protective stance against further declines [5] Volatility Dynamics - The volatility markets reacted sharply to the recent price drop, with front-end volatility surging as dealers adjusted for near-term risks, while longer-dated volatility remained lower, resulting in a steeply inverted volatility curve [6] - There is a significant demand for downside protection among institutional clients, as fears grow that the price crash could lead to substantial losses for firms that purchased Bitcoin at higher levels [7]