Core Viewpoint - Seneca Foods Corporation (SENEA) has been upgraded to an "Outperform" rating due to expected volume recovery from a key co-pack customer, benefits from deleveraging reducing interest expenses, and a normalization in gross margins as high-cost inventory dissipates, enhancing its earnings power and market position in packaged fruits and vegetables across North America [1] Volume Recovery - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Seneca's sales decreased by 2.4% year over year to $297.5 million, down from $304.7 million, primarily due to shipment disruptions from a key co-pack customer [2] - Management anticipates that these volumes will recover under the existing contractual relationship, providing a near-term boost to revenue as fiscal 2026 progresses [2] - Resilient consumer demand for shelf-stable vegetables and snacks is expected to stabilize revenue momentum [2] Interest Expense Decline - Seneca experienced a significant reduction in interest expense, which fell by 47.7% year over year to $5.4 million from $10.3 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, due to aggressive debt paydown and refinancing [3] - Long-term debt has been reduced to $259.5 million, with the revolver refinanced through 2029, positioning the company for continued interest savings over the next several quarters [3] - This deleveraging, along with steady operating cash flow, is expected to provide an uplift in earnings per share (EPS) and enhance balance sheet flexibility [3] Gross Margin Recovery - Gross margin improved to 14.1% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, up from 14% a year ago, despite challenges from high-cost inventory due to unfavorable weather conditions [4] - Management noted progress in selling through high-cost inventory, with expectations for a normalized growing season in 2025 to ease input pressures and improve gross margin [4] - An $11.8 million LIFO credit was recorded in the quarter compared to $2.9 million last year, contributing to margin stability [4] Structural Positioning and Outlook - Seneca benefits from a large and resilient demand base for shelf-stable foods, which continue to see steady consumer preference across various channels [7] - The company's scale in private-label and branded categories, bolstered by the Green Giant shelf-stable vegetable line, enhances its market presence [7] - Disciplined working capital management and debt reduction have improved free cash flow visibility, allowing for reinvestment in operations while reducing financial risk [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Conagra reported organic net sales of $3.2 billion in Q2, reflecting a 30 basis point increase year-over-year, driven by volume growth in the domestic retail business [19] - Adjusted gross margin was 26.4%, and adjusted operating margin was 15.3%, down 52 and 57 basis points respectively compared to the prior year, but up 110 basis points from Q1 [20] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.70, a decrease of $0.01 from Q2 of the previous year [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Grocery and Snacks segment delivered net sales of $1.3 billion, representing 1.2% organic growth driven by increased volumes and favorable price mix [21] - Refrigerated and Frozen segment also reported $1.3 billion in net sales, flat compared to the prior year, with increased volumes offset by negative price mix [21] - International segment saw organic net sales decline by 0.7%, driven by a 2.4% volume decline, partially offset by a 1.7% increase in price mix [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Conagra's portfolio held or gained volume share in 67% of its categories in Q2, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of share gains [8] - In the frozen and snacks domains, 87% of the portfolio held or gained volume share in Q2 [9] - The company outperformed its closest peer by 24 percentage points in share performance [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to maintain its strategy focused on brand building and innovation, despite economic pressures and inflation [5][17] - Conagra aims to prioritize top-line momentum and consumer loyalty through continued investments in brand building [17] - Limited pricing actions will be implemented to offset rising cocoa and sugar prices while maintaining a disciplined approach to brand management [17][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that inflation and unfavorable foreign exchange rates will pressure profitability in the second half of the fiscal year [5][15] - The expectation for inflation relief has been pushed to fiscal 2026, with ongoing economic pressures shaping consumer purchasing decisions [5][15] - The company updated its guidance for fiscal 2025, expecting organic net sales growth near the midpoint of a range of down 1.5% to flat [18][29] Other Important Information - Conagra generated $754 million in net cash flows from operating activities in the first half of fiscal 2025, down from the prior year [26] - The company has repaid over $600 million of debt in the last twelve months, aiming for a long-term net leverage goal of three times by the end of fiscal 2026 [28][31] - The adjusted tax rate is expected to be approximately 23%, down from 23.5% based on year-to-date favorability [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for organic net sales growth? - The company now expects full-year organic net sales growth to be near the midpoint of the guidance range of minus 1.5% to flat growth versus fiscal 2024 [29] Question: How is the company addressing inflation and foreign exchange impacts? - Limited pricing actions will be taken to offset some inflation in cocoa and sugar, while the company remains committed to brand investments [17][29] Question: What is the outlook for free cash flow conversion? - The company expects full-year free cash flow conversion to be greater than 100%, with stronger performance anticipated in the second half of the year [28][31]