Core Insights - Natural gas prices began 2026 on a weaker note due to warmer weather forecasts, lower-than-expected storage withdrawals, and strong U.S. production, which pressured prices despite strong liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand [1][4][9] Industry Overview - Natural gas futures experienced a weekly loss as traders reassessed winter heating demand, with the benchmark U.S. contract settling at $3.618 per million British thermal units, down from an early spike above $4 [3] - Warmer-than-normal forecasts for mid-January reduced expected heating demand, while a storage withdrawal of 38 billion cubic feet was below expectations, indicating a looser supply-demand balance [3] - U.S. LNG exports remained near record highs, with average feedgas flows to major export terminals reaching new peaks in December, highlighting the growth in overseas demand for U.S. gas [4] Investment Focus - Investors are advised to monitor natural gas-focused stocks such as EQT Corporation, Expand Energy, and Coterra Energy, which are more aligned with long-term supply and demand dynamics rather than short-term weather fluctuations [2][6] - The near-term outlook for natural gas is expected to be influenced by updated weather forecasts and storage reports, with colder conditions potentially tightening supply balances [5] Company Highlights - **EQT Corporation**: The leading natural gas producer in the U.S., with over 90% of its production/sales being natural gas. EQT has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of approximately 16.7% [7][8] - **Expand Energy**: The largest natural gas producer in the U.S. post-merger, with significant assets in the Haynesville and Marcellus basins. The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing demand driven by LNG exports and other trends, with a projected 317.7% year-over-year earnings per share surge for 2025 [10][11] - **Coterra Energy**: An independent upstream operator with over 60% of its production being natural gas. Coterra has a favorable expected earnings growth rate of 27.8% over the next three to five years, compared to the industry average of 17.2% [12][13]