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Record Bookings and Rising Yields: How Far Can CCL's Profit Cruise?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 17:41
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is experiencing a strong financial recovery, reporting record revenues of $8.15 billion and net income of $2 billion in Q3 2025, with earnings per share of $1.43, surpassing estimates [1][8] Financial Performance - The company achieved a year-over-year yield increase of 4.6%, driven by strong demand and onboard spending [1] - Carnival's return on invested capital (ROIC) reached 13%, the highest in nearly two decades, indicating robust profitability [4] - The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 3.6x, approaching investment-grade status [3] Booking and Pricing Power - Bookings are exceeding capacity growth, with nearly 50% of 2026 sailings already sold at higher prices, showcasing Carnival's enhanced pricing power [2][8] - The diversification of Carnival's portfolio, including new destinations like Celebration Key, is contributing positively to its financial performance [2] Competitive Landscape - Competitors Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) are also performing well, with RCL achieving record yields and strong forward bookings [4][5] - Norwegian Cruise Line is focusing on premium experiences and disciplined capacity management to enhance revenues per passenger [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Carnival's shares have increased by 17.8% over the past six months, contrasting with a 0.8% decline in the industry [6] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for CCL is 11.22X, significantly lower than the industry average of 16.19X, indicating potential undervaluation [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCL's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of 51.4% and 11.7%, respectively, with recent EPS estimates for fiscal 2025 showing an upward revision [11]
Carnival's Yield Momentum Builds: Can Pricing Strength Stay Afloat?
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 14:21
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is experiencing record financial performance driven by strong demand and disciplined pricing execution, with a 4.6% year-over-year increase in net yields in Q3 fiscal 2025, surpassing prior guidance by over one percentage point [1][8] - The company achieved a record quarterly net income of $2 billion and a 13% return on invested capital (ROIC), the highest in nearly 20 years, indicating successful pricing power and enhanced guest experience [2] - Nearly half of Carnival's bookings for 2026 are secured at higher prices, reflecting a favorable yield environment and growing interest among new-to-cruise travelers [3] Financial Performance - Carnival's pricing reached all-time highs for both North American and European itineraries, with onboard spending exceeding expectations [2] - The company is projecting approximately 15% EBITDA growth in fiscal 2025, primarily driven by pricing gains rather than volume expansion [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carnival's fiscal 2025 earnings per share has been revised upward from $2.01 to $2.15, indicating strong analyst confidence [10] Market Position - CCL shares have surged 62.1% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 22.6% [6] - CCL is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.66X, below the industry average of 17.38X, suggesting a potential undervaluation [9] - The company is expected to report a 54.1% rise in fiscal 2025 earnings, outperforming competitors like Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise, which are projected to rise by 30.9% and 32.6%, respectively [11]
Carnival's Deposits Hit Records: Can Booking Momentum Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-09-18 17:10
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) achieved record customer deposits in Q2 2025, increasing by over $250 million year-over-year, indicating strong underlying demand and effective cash inflow management ahead of sailings [1][8] - The company reported a 6.5% year-over-year growth in net yields, surpassing guidance by 200 basis points, driven by extended booking windows and a focus on same-ship revenue growth [2][8] - CCL improved its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 3.7x from 4.1x, supported by record operating results and refinancing, enhancing its balance sheet and liquidity [3][8] Booking and Revenue Strategy - The increase in deposits reflects CCL's successful strategy of extending the booking window, allowing for better yield management and pricing optimization as sailings approach [2] - Upcoming product catalysts, including a new private destination in the Caribbean, are expected to further boost deposits and enhance revenue visibility [4] Competitive Landscape - Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) reported strong forward bookings for 2025, with both volume and pricing exceeding last year's levels, contributing to higher advance cash collections [5] - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) also noted record Advanced Ticket Sales (ATS) of approximately $4 billion, indicating robust demand and serving as a strategic funding source for debt reduction [6] Financial Performance and Valuation - CCL's stock has increased by 32.1% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 13.4% [7] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for CCL stands at 14.04X, significantly lower than the industry average of 18.63X, suggesting potential undervaluation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a year-over-year earnings increase of 41.6% for fiscal 2025 and 14.1% for fiscal 2026, with EPS estimates having risen in the past 60 days [11]