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Has Joby Aviation's Stock Already Peaked?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-09-05 13:15
Core Viewpoint - Investors are reconsidering their positions in Joby Aviation as its stock price has dropped over 20% in the past month, despite a significant increase of over 160% in the last year due to expectations of future growth in the eVTOL market [1][2][3]. Company Overview - Joby Aviation is a prominent player in the electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft market, aiming to start commercial operations by next year [2]. - The company recently completed its first piloted air taxi flight, marking a significant milestone in its journey towards commercialization [8]. Financial Performance - Joby has generated limited revenue and is incurring substantial losses, raising concerns about its business model's profitability [3][7]. - Despite the recent stock decline, Joby's stock is still up over 60% for the year, indicating speculative investor behavior [5]. Market Sentiment - Analysts express skepticism about the eVTOL market's infrastructure and practicality, questioning whether Joby's aircraft can effectively alleviate urban traffic [6]. - The consensus analyst price target for Joby is $10.50, suggesting a potential downside risk of over 20% from current trading levels [9][10]. Valuation Concerns - Joby's market capitalization is around $11 billion, which requires strong confidence in both the eVTOL market's future growth and Joby's role within it for the stock to be considered a good buy [11]. - There are indications that Joby's stock may have already priced in too much growth, leading to potential corrections in the near future [10][12].