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Can PepsiCo Achieve Its Mid-Teens PBNA Margin Ambition by 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 18:31
Core Insights - PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA) is a crucial segment for PepsiCo, encompassing a wide range of beverage categories and contributing significantly to brand equity and profitability [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, PBNA achieved 2% year-over-year organic revenue growth, despite a three-point volume decline due to the transition of its case-pack water business [2][9] - Trademark Pepsi saw volume and net revenue increases, driven by Pepsi Zero Sugar and effective marketing campaigns [2] - Retail sales for poppi grew over 50% year-to-date, while Propel is on track to exceed $1 billion in annual retail sales [3] Strategic Initiatives - PepsiCo is focusing on expanding zero-sugar offerings and scaling functional innovations, such as protein-infused beverages, while enhancing its presence in away-from-home channels [4] - The company has reduced over 35% of SKUs since 2022 to streamline operations and improve market execution [4][9] Margin Goals - PBNA is on a credible path to achieve its mid-teens operating margin target by 2026, supported by ongoing innovation and cost efficiency measures [5] - Execution risks remain, particularly concerning inflation and consumer price sensitivity, but current trends indicate significant progress [5] Competitive Landscape - Coca-Cola and Monster Beverage are also pursuing aggressive growth targets, with Coca-Cola showing strong organic revenue growth and Monster achieving 16.8% net sales growth [6][7] Valuation Metrics - PepsiCo shares have declined by 2.2% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry growth of 8.9% [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for PepsiCo is 17.42X, below the industry average of 18.2X [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's 2025 earnings suggests a slight decline of 0.7%, while 2026 estimates indicate a growth of 5.9% [12]
Can PepsiCo's Zero-Sugar Bet Help Keep Up Its Beverage Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 15:21
Core Insights - PepsiCo's zero-sugar initiative is central to its strategy for beverage growth amid changing consumer preferences [1][4] - The company is experiencing positive share gains globally, particularly in the cola category, due to its focus on no-sugar variants and taste-led marketing [1][4] Beverage Strategy - PepsiCo is enhancing its position in health-oriented beverages through strong performances from Gatorade Zero and Propel, indicating a successful alignment with consumer demand for low-calorie options [2] - The company is committed to cleaner ingredient profiles by eliminating artificial flavors and colors, and plans to launch new protein-infused beverages in late 2025 and early 2026 [3] Competitive Landscape - PepsiCo faces competition from Coca-Cola and Keurig Dr Pepper, both of which are investing heavily in zero-sugar and health-conscious products [5][6][7] - Coca-Cola Zero Sugar is a leading product in Coca-Cola's portfolio, benefiting from strong brand presence and effective marketing strategies [6] - Keurig Dr Pepper is leveraging its diverse portfolio to attract health-conscious consumers with zero- and low-calorie options [7] Financial Performance - PepsiCo's shares have declined approximately 5.8% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry's growth of 6.8% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.66X, which is below the industry average of 18.10X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected decline of 3.4% in 2025 earnings, with a subsequent growth of 5.2% in 2026 [11]