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Think Stocks Are Expensive? Top-Performing Fund Manager Bill Nygren Says This Is Where to Look For Great Investment Opportunities
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-09-30 13:45
Group 1 - The S&P 500 has experienced significant growth since the bear market bottom in October 2022, with a total return of 26% in 2023, followed by 25% in 2024, and nearly 14% year to date in 2025, resulting in an 80% total return in less than three years [1] - The S&P 500 is currently considered extremely expensive, with the CAPE ratio surpassing 40 for only the second time in history, a forward P/E ratio of 22.6, and the Buffett Indicator at an all-time high [2] - Despite high valuations, there are still appealing investment opportunities within the S&P 500, as noted by Bill Nygren from Oakmark Capital, who suggests that investors need to know where to look [3] Group 2 - The composition of the S&P 500 has changed significantly, with the Megacap-8 now accounting for about 33% of the total market cap, up from approximately 15% in 2018, and the top 10 companies representing nearly 40% of the index's value [5] - The leading stocks in the index are primarily high-growth tech companies that have high valuations but also demonstrate earnings growth to support those valuations [6] - The heavy weighting of these top stocks has inflated the overall valuation of the S&P 500, leading to concerns that many other stocks have not kept pace with earnings growth [7] Group 3 - Despite the overall market's shift to higher multiples, there are still around 150 stocks in the S&P 500 trading under 14 times earnings, indicating potential investment opportunities [9]