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The 'boomcession': Why Americans feel left behind by a growing economy
CNBC· 2026-02-18 13:05
Economic Overview - The term "boomcession" describes the disconnect between strong economic indicators and negative consumer sentiment, highlighting that many Americans feel financially strained despite overall economic growth [1][2][4] - Economic output and stock market performance are strong, yet consumer debt is at an all-time high, with many Americans believing the economy is in a slowdown [2][10] Inflation and Consumer Impact - Inflation rates vary significantly across income classes and geographical locations, with lower-income consumers experiencing higher inflation rates, particularly in essential categories like groceries and shelter [6][7][8] - The inflationary gap has widened as overall price growth has exceeded the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, impacting lower-income households disproportionately [7][8] Labor Market Dynamics - The current labor market is characterized as a "jobless boom" or "hiring recession," with job openings at their lowest since 2020 despite stock market gains [12][13] - High-income individuals benefit from stock market performance, while lower-income households face tightening labor conditions and increased anxiety [13][14] Consumer Sentiment and Economic Perception - A significant portion of Americans, nearly three-fifths, believe the economy is in a recession, reflecting a growing skepticism towards government economic data [18][20] - Surveys indicate that financial instability is particularly pronounced among lower-income individuals, with 54% of those earning below $50,000 describing their financial situation as unstable [19]