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Ed Yardeni sees S&P 500 reaching 7,700 next year, says profits and growth will 'remain resilient'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-08 19:19
Core Viewpoint - The "Roaring 2020s" is expected to continue, with the S&P 500 projected to reach 7,700 by the end of next year according to strategist Ed Yardeni [1] Economic Outlook - Yardeni raises the odds of a continued "Roaring 2020s" scenario from 50% to 60% for 2026, while reducing the likelihood of extreme market scenarios (meltup or meltdown) from 30% to 20% [2] - Economic growth is anticipated to accelerate in 2026, driven by various factors including tax benefits, monetary stimulus from a Fed rate cut, and significant capital expenditures in the tech sector [4] Earnings Projections - S&P 500 companies' collective earnings per share are expected to rise from $268 this year to $310 next year, marking a 15.67% increase [3] - In the third quarter, S&P 500 companies reported a 13.4% year-over-year earnings growth [3] Sector Analysis - Yardeni has ended his 15-year Overweight recommendation for tech stocks and Communication Services sectors, indicating these sectors are already heavily weighted in the S&P 500 [5] - The combined weight of the Technology and Communication Services sectors accounts for approximately 45% of the S&P 500 [6] - The forward earnings share of these sectors has reached a record 38.6% of the S&P 500's forward earnings, but the riskiness of an S&P 500 portfolio has increased due to concentration in these sectors [7]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-16 23:36
Even as talk of a new coalition bolsters Sanae Takaichi’s bid to become Japan’s prime minister, investors want to see specifics on policy before they pile further into bets that she will maintain monetary and fiscal stimulus https://t.co/jbXZzC5UNc ...