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Why 'Big Short' trader Danny Moses thinks investors need to pay close attention to prediction markets
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-11 18:15
Core Insights - The rise of prediction markets offers new avenues for investors to navigate market trends and make informed decisions [1][2][6] Group 1: Prediction Markets Overview - Prediction markets have gained popularity, allowing bets on various topics, including sports and economic indicators [1][6] - Danny Moses, a notable investor, emphasizes the importance of monitoring these markets for insights that may not be immediately apparent [2][6] Group 2: Investment Implications - Moses highlights that prediction markets can provide valuable information for both bullish and bearish investors, citing SoFi Technologies as an example with a 38% chance of being added to the S&P 500 by 2026, which could act as a catalyst for its stock price [3][4] - The potential for prediction markets to offer better risk-reward scenarios compared to traditional derivatives is noted, with cryptocurrency being a specific area of interest [4][5] Group 3: Future of Prediction Markets - Moses believes that the utility of prediction markets will increase as they become more integrated into investment strategies for hedging and assessing market-moving events [5]
Danny Moses of 'the Big Short' Thinks Traders Should Watch Prediction Markets
Business Insider· 2026-01-11 10:15
You can bet on pretty much anything these days. From sports to the weather to the price of a Labubu, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have offered people a new way to gamble. According to Danny Moses, one of the investors from "The Big Short," they've also offered investors a useful tool to help navigate markets. Moses, who was among the investors betting against the US housing market ahead of the 2008 crash, isn't surprised by the prediction-market boom, and he thinks investors need to be watching th ...
X @vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth· 2025-12-23 13:36
RT lucacs (@lucacs)prediction markets doubling down on sports is extremely short sighted ...
X @Wu Blockchain
Wu Blockchain· 2025-12-21 06:53
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said prediction markets can act as a more rational tool for emotionally charged topics. While acknowledging theoretical risks, he argued that small-scale markets don’t incentivize large-scale harm. Compared with social media’s hype and lack of accountability, prediction markets tie opinions to real financial consequences, helping align discussions closer to truth and providing more credible probability signals.https://t.co/X1KJpTXcGb ...
X @Solana
Solana· 2025-12-16 15:01
RT Jacquelyn Melinek (@jacqmelinek)NEW @_TalkingTokens dives into @DFlow's new prediction market API that's bringing @Kalshi to SolanaDFlow Founder & CEO @niteshnath explains what it brings to Solana’s users, how every prediction can become an SPL token and the opportunities it brings to DeFi.We also discuss DFlow’s recent integration with @Phantom, and how these systems set the foundation for new financial primitives.TIMESTAMPS:00:00 – Intro01:07 – DFlow’s recent announcements with growing user demand01:32 ...
Why Charles Schwab CEO Warns Against ‘Quick Hit’ Trading | WSJ
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-12-16 13:33
- Young investors ought to be focused on saving. They ought to be focused on the merits of long-term investing. If they wanna actively trade, that's great.But they shouldn't expect a quick hit. - Rick Wurster took over as CEO of Charles Schwab in January. His appointment comes at a time when retail investors are gaining more influence over the state of the stock market, which is sparking a divide in the brokerage industry that could shape how millions of people accumulate wealth.What makes prediction market ...
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-12-13 13:41
RT MYRIAD (@MyriadMarkets)During @Binance Blockchain Week, we launched Predictions in @TrustWallet! The first ever wallet-native prediction markets powered by Myriad.@farokh sat with Trust Wallet CMO @samifami to talk all things prediction markets and why Trust Wallet made the move to natively integrate them. ...
Solana Foundation President on the state of the crypto trade and market regulation
CNBC Television· 2025-12-12 12:25
Why don't we start with the latest news. The idea of crypto regulation, lawmakers meeting with bankers. Is that definitely a tailwind in your mind for the crypto industry.The fact that the big banks and the lawmakers are getting together, uh, it kind of seems contrary to the idea that Bitcoin is about decentralizing finance. >> Bitcoin is about decentralizing finance from the infrastructure perspective. Uh but look, we welcome all builders into cryptocurrency into blockchain and some of those builders are g ...