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Analysis: gold breaches $5,000, silver tops $100; experts see more gains
Invezz· 2026-01-26 09:50
Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices have reached historic highs, with silver surpassing $100 per ounce and gold exceeding $5,000 per ounce, driven by strong safe-haven demand and geopolitical uncertainties [1][2]. Price Movements - As of the latest trading, gold was priced at $5,125.66 per ounce, up 2.2%, with a record high of $5,145.39 earlier in the day. Silver reached a record high of $109.320 per ounce, trading at $107.670 [2]. - Year-to-date, gold has increased by approximately 17%, while silver has climbed significantly by 50% [4]. Market Drivers - The price movements are attributed to geopolitical shocks, including uncertainties regarding U.S. policies and tensions with Iran [4]. - A weaker dollar, lower real yields, and ongoing policy uncertainty have bolstered investor interest in hard assets like gold and silver [5]. Future Projections - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast for December 2026 from $4,900 to $5,400, while independent analyst Ross Norman anticipates a high of $6,400 for gold this year [5]. - Bank of America has set a near-term gold target of $6,000 per ounce and suggests that silver may outperform gold due to its current gold:silver ratio of about 59 [6]. Investment Demand - Investment demand is expected to remain a key support for the gold market, with significant inflows into gold-backed ETFs reaching their highest level since 2020 [10]. - Analysts suggest that a portfolio allocation of 20% to gold could be a successful strategy amid skepticism regarding traditional investment approaches [13]. Silver's Market Dynamics - The gold-silver ratio has fallen to its lowest since 2011, indicating silver's strength driven by safe-haven interest and industrial demand [14]. - Tightening physical balances and constrained mine supply growth are contributing to upward pressure on silver prices [15].