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Can ASTS Gain From Successful Direct-to-Cell-Services Test in Canada?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-08 15:20
Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) has successfully tested space-based direct-to-cell 4G VoLTE services in Canada, highlighting the importance of connectivity in challenging geographical areas [1][9] - The successful trial is expected to facilitate Bell Canada's deployment of low Earth orbit (LEO) direct-to-cell service by 2026, enhancing connectivity for residents and boosting regional tourism [2][9] - ASTS has partnered with major carriers like AT&T and Verizon to expand its satellite network, aiming to provide connectivity in previously unreachable locations [3][4] Group 1: Partnerships and Collaborations - AST SpaceMobile has established a definitive commercial agreement with AT&T, extending until 2030, to offer space-based direct-to-mobile technology [3] - Verizon has committed $100 million for satellite direct-to-cellular service, enhancing coverage and eliminating dead zones in the U.S. [4] Group 2: Satellite Deployment and Infrastructure - AST SpaceMobile plans to deploy 45-60 BlueBird satellites by the end of 2026, having already launched its first five commercial satellites [5][9] - The BlueBird satellites feature the largest commercial communications arrays, providing non-continuous service across the U.S. [5] Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Position - AST SpaceMobile's stock has increased by 230.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 36.4% and competitors like Aviat Networks and Comtech Telecommunications [7] - Despite the stock performance, the company faces high operating costs due to macroeconomic challenges and significant expenditures for satellite technology development [10][11] Group 4: Future Outlook and Challenges - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AST SpaceMobile indicates a widening loss per share for 2025 and 2026, reflecting investor skepticism about the company's growth potential [12] - The collaboration with leading carriers is seen as a pathway to enhancing network connectivity and bridging the digital divide, but the company is currently rated with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [16][17]