Investors have so far shrugged off Trump's shambolic tariff wars, profligate fiscal policies and assaults on the central bank. Good luck with that, says @clive_crook (via @opinion) https://t.co/RtvsnbvhUM ...

Group 1: Freeport-McMoran - Freeport-McMoran dominates the domestic copper market, providing 70% of the U.S. refined copper production, while the U.S. imports 45% of its refined copper consumption [2][5] - The U.S. Chamber of Commerce supports including copper as a critical metal eligible for tax credits, advocating for increased domestic minerals and metals production [3] - Freeport-McMoran is well-positioned to meet domestic demand with potential projects in Arizona and initiatives to extract copper from existing stockpiles [4] - The threat of tariffs on copper imports has led to a 13% premium for U.S. copper, potentially resulting in an $800 million financial benefit for Freeport if maintained [5][7] Group 2: Whirlpool - Whirlpool faces challenges due to high interest rates affecting the housing market, which in turn impacts discretionary appliance purchases [8][9] - The company has $4.8 billion in long-term debt, and its forecast for free cash flow is uncertain, raising questions about the sustainability of its $380 million dividend [9] - Management believes that closing loopholes allowing Asian competitors to avoid tariffs could significantly improve Whirlpool's competitive position, potentially resulting in a $70 cost disadvantage per product [10][11] Group 3: Cheniere Energy - Cheniere Energy benefits from the resumption of LNG export approvals under the current administration, contrasting with the previous pause [13] - The company is the largest LNG producer in the U.S., owning significant stakes in major LNG terminals and continuing to invest in capacity expansion [14][15] - The business model focuses on purchasing natural gas domestically and processing it into LNG for global export, aligning with the administration's push for increased LNG exports [15] Group 4: Overall Market Impact - The current administration's tariff policies aim to enhance the competitive positioning of U.S. companies, with a focus on copper, appliance manufacturing, and LNG exports [16]

Key Tronic (KTCC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Anthony Voorhees - EVP of Administration, CFO & TreasurerBrett Larsen - President & CEOBill Dezellem - Founder, President & Chief Investment OfficerGeorge Melas-Kyriazi - PresidentSheldon Grodsky - President Operator Good day, and welcome to the Keytronic Q3 Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Investor Call. Today's conference is being recorded. After the presentation, we will begin the question and answer period. At this time, ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the quarter ending December 31, 2024, the company reported net investment income of $0.8 million or $0.06 per share, down from $0.16 per share in the prior quarter [4] - The net asset value per share decreased by $0.16 to $5.39 compared to $5.55 as of September 30, 2024 [4] - The fair value of the portfolio was $191.6 million, an increase from $190.1 million at September 30 [17] - Net assets declined by $2.3 million from the prior quarter to $77.6 million [17] - The weighted average yield of the debt portfolio decreased slightly from 10.5% to 10.4% [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The median EBITDA of the portfolio remained flat at approximately $61.76 million, while the weighted average net leverage increased from 4.8 times to 5 times [9] - The percentage of covenant appeals increased from 70% to 77% [9] - The weighted average yield of debt investments made in the quarter was approximately 11.8% [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 30% of the portfolio may experience moderate effects from tariffs, with strategies in place to mitigate these risks [7] - The company is strategically targeting investments in critical sectors and defensive industries, including a recent investment in the data center sector [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on capital preservation and NAV stability, with a disciplined investment approach [22] - The management is adapting to market volatility and heightened competition among lenders, with a focus on quality assets [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating economic uncertainties and delivering value to shareholders [6] - The potential impact of tariffs on the portfolio and M&A market is being closely monitored [36] Other Important Information - The company appointed Andrew Muns as Chief Operating Officer, enhancing the executive team [3] - The company declared a distribution of $0.12 per share for the quarter ending March 31, 2025, payable in cash [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What was the cause for the drop in PIK income quarter-over-quarter? - The drop in PIK income was due to a reversal of non-accrual for one portfolio company in the previous quarter, which inflated PIK income [25] Question: What are the comments on the sustainability of the dividend given lower yields and higher leverage? - The company is constantly evaluating the sustainability of the dividend and will monitor the portfolio's performance [26][27] Question: Is the company changing to a calendar fiscal year? - Yes, the company has changed its fiscal year from June to December [28][30] Question: What is the trend for investment yield over the next quarter or two? - The investment yield is expected to remain similar, around 10.5% plus or minus, unless there is a significant economic shock [34][36]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the quarter ending December 31, 2024, the company reported net investment income of $0.8 million or $0.06 per share, down from $0.16 per share in the prior quarter [4] - The net asset value per share decreased by $0.16 to $5.39 compared to $5.55 as of September 30, 2024 [4] - The fair value of the portfolio was $191.6 million compared to $190.1 million at September 30 [17] - Net assets were $77.6 million, a decline of $2.3 million from the prior quarter [17] - The weighted average yield of the debt portfolio decreased slightly from 10.5% to 10.4% [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The median EBITDA of the portfolio remained flat at approximately $61.76 million, while the weighted average net leverage increased from 4.8 times to 5 times [9] - The percentage of covenant appeals increased from 70% to 77% [9] - The weighted average yield of debt investments made in the quarter was approximately 11.8% [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 30% of the portfolio may experience moderate effects from tariffs, with strategies in place to mitigate these risks [7] - The company is strategically targeting investments in critical sectors and defensive industries, including a recent investment in the data center sector [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on capital preservation and NAV stability, with a disciplined investment approach [22] - The management is adapting to economic uncertainties and believes the portfolio is well-positioned for the shifting economic environment [6][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that heightened market volatility has created a tightening spread environment, impacting investment yields [5] - There is optimism for a resurgence in M&A activity post-election, although risks from tariff wars and fiscal policy changes create uncertainty [5][6] - The company does not foresee significant changes in investment yields in the near term, expecting them to remain around 10.5% [34] Other Important Information - The company appointed Andrew Muns as Chief Operating Officer, enhancing the executive team [3] - The company has approximately $12.1 million in cash, with $11.3 million being restricted cash [20] - A distribution of $0.12 per share was declared for the quarter ending March 31, 2025, payable in cash [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What was the cause for the drop in PIK income quarter-over-quarter? - The drop was due to a reversal of non-accrual for one portfolio company in the previous quarter, which inflated PIK income [25] Question: What are the comments on the sustainability of the dividend given lower yields and higher leverage? - The company is constantly evaluating the dividend sustainability and will monitor the portfolio's performance [26][27] Question: Is the company changing to a calendar fiscal year? - Yes, the company has changed its fiscal year from June to December [28][30] Question: Where does the company see the trend for investment yield over the next quarter or two? - The investment yield is expected to remain stable around 10.5%, barring any economic shocks [34][36]