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Trade Tracker: Bryn Talkington buys Ares Capital Corp and Blue Owl Tech Finance
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-10-17 17:30
Market Concerns & Credit Issues - The market is concerned about potential widespread credit issues, questioning if they are isolated incidents or a systemic problem, similar to the "cockroach issue" [1] - Underwriting standards for leveraged loans were lowered in the third quarter due to high demand, raising concerns about potential risks when the market tide recedes [8][9] - Private credit market's lack of regulation compared to traditional banks raises concerns about underwriting standards, capital adequacy, and loan loss reserves [12] Alternative Asset Manager Performance - Since September 24th, alternative asset managers have experienced declines: Aries down 22%, KKR down 20%, Blue Owl down 15%, and Blackstone down 14% [3] - Business Development Companies (BDCs) focused on direct lending and private credit have also seen declines: Aries down 6%, Main Street Capital down 11%, Blue Owl down 8%, Sixth Street specialty lending down 8%, and Blackstone secured lending down 5% [3][4] Transparency & Investment Opportunities - BDCs like Aries and Blue Owl offer transparency through quarterly earnings reports and detailed investment summaries, allowing investors to assess their loan portfolios and yields [6][7] - Brent Talkington bought Aries Capital (ARCC) and Blue Owl Tech (F), citing transparency and potential for a 20% total return within a year, with yields around 10% and trading at 8-10% below book value [4][7][8] Private Credit Market Dynamics - The private credit market has evolved over the past 15 years, becoming a primary source of lending as banks face restrictions and regional banks deal with real estate assets [18] - Private credit loans are generally riskier than those from big banks due to higher interest rates and less pristine balance sheets of borrowers [16] - Firms driven by fees may package and sell riskier loans to mutual funds, pension funds, and retail investors, increasing the potential for problems [13][14]