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【干货】2个数据分析模型在基金行业的实战与应用【CDA持证人分享】
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 05:05
在当今竞争激烈的市场环境中,企业需要不断地进行自我分析和优化,以保持竞争优势,竞争激烈的金融行业更是如此。随着技术与商业智能(Business Intelligence,简称BI)可以提供丰富的数据,在许多情况下,都有数据可以展示过去类似决策的结果,并可显示随时间推移的预期结果,此时良好的数据 分析方法在业务中就显得尤为重要。 公募基金领域拥有海量的客户数据,如何从这些数据中精准识别高价值客户并进行针对性营销和服务,是提升基金销售和客户满意度的关键。 在R/M/F三个指标上,一般将实际的用户划分为8个区,根据不同付费用户群体的价值采用不同的策略,促进不同用户向更有价值的区域转移。 | B | F | M | 用户类型 | 运营货路 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 短 | 高 | 大 | 买得勤、买得频、买得多高 | 重点维系用户,提升服 | | | | | 价值的用户 | 务质量 | | ન્દ્ | 高 | 大 | 买得频率较高,消费金额较 大,但上次消费距今较远 | 适当发起唤醒策略,防 止流失 | | 短 | 低 | 大 | 近期有一定消费目金额还 | 挖掘用户消 ...
多头排列暗藏玄机,放量上涨只是开始?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 05:05
Market Outlook - Short-term market style may experience fluctuations during the July earnings season, with new consumption potentially entering a second wave of growth after adjustments, and AI technology likely to resume momentum after a period of consolidation [1][3] - The weighted index shows a "bullish divergence" in moving averages, suggesting that quick pullbacks may present buying opportunities [1][3] - If geopolitical risks do not escalate further and domestic policies continue to release positive signals, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have short-term upward potential, while medium to long-term performance will depend on the sustainability of macroeconomic recovery and external stability [1][3] A-share Performance - As of midday, the total trading volume in the A-share market reached 925.1 billion yuan, an increase of 241.3 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 4,600 stocks rising, indicating strong market resilience [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,415.45 points, up 1.0%; the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index rose by 1.45% and 1.94% respectively, with the ChiNext Index showing particularly strong growth, reflecting increased attractiveness of growth sectors [1] - The STAR 50 Index increased by 1.51%, indicating sustained high interest in technology innovation sectors [1] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market continued its upward trend, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 24,150.76 points, up 1.95%; the Hang Seng Tech Index surged by 2.28% to 5,305.29 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 1.92%, highlighting the growing influence of mainland assets in the Hong Kong market [1] Sector Performance - In the A-share market, several sectors performed notably well, including the autonomous driving sector driven by Tesla's launch of self-driving taxi services in Texas, humanoid robots boosted by the unveiling of embodied intelligent robots, and the financial sector benefiting from positive outlooks on stablecoin development and policy expectations [2] - The solid-state battery sector continued its strong performance due to U.S. companies starting production and improvements in the supply chain [2] - Conversely, the oil and gas sector faced significant declines due to the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and a sharp drop in international oil prices [2] Hong Kong Sector Dynamics - The Hong Kong market exhibited clear sector differentiation, with tech stocks generally rising, and Chinese brokerage stocks gaining strength from new policies [2] - New energy vehicle companies saw significant gains as May sales surpassed those of fuel vehicles, marking a new phase of "electric dominance" [2] - New consumption stocks attracted attention due to high earnings growth rates and valuation alignment, while the oil and gas equipment and services sector experienced substantial declines following the ceasefire [2] Market Drivers - Market movements were primarily influenced by geopolitical factors, policy direction, and industry fundamentals [2] - Although the Middle East situation caused short-term market disturbances, signals of conflict de-escalation were quickly absorbed [2] - Domestic policies supporting technology and finance are gradually showing effects, with new initiatives boosting market confidence [2] - Positive changes in industry fundamentals, such as increased penetration of new energy vehicles, advancements in solid-state battery production, and improved earnings expectations in the consumption sector, further stimulated capital allocation enthusiasm [2]
如何理解红利实现率?如何选择分红险产品?
在利率下行的大环境下,分红险固浮结合的特点,使之成为消费者青睐的险种。近期,保险公司陆续披 露分红保险红利实现率,也引发市场关注。 那么,什么是红利实现率?如何理解红利实现率与实际产品收益的关系?如何选择分红产品? 所谓分红/红利实现率,是由利益演示红利水平和实际分配红利两方面决定(实际分配红利/利益演示红 利)。分红实现率不代表实际派发红利的高低。 一方面,分红产品的利益演示(分母)反映销售时对长期市场经济环境的预期。据悉,一些过往年度保 单由于历史销售时较高的利益演示,使其红利实现率低于100%。反之,若险企利益演示红利水平偏保 守,更容易出现红利实现率高于100%水平的情况。这意味着,红利实现率高于或低于100%,都属于正 常的波动现象。与此同时,不同公司和不同销售时间段的红利实现率也会存在差异。 再者,近年来根据要求,分红险分红部分的信息披露更为规范,这在一定程度上也能减少投资者对于分 红部分浮动收益担忧的顾虑。因此,未来分红险仍值得消费者期待。 另一方面,实际分红水平(分子)受当前市场经济环境变化及波动影响。在产品销售时,条款/建议书 均有提示:实际保单红利根据本公司分红保险业务未来实际经营状况确定 ...
银河证券每日晨报-20250624
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-06-24 05:04
2025 年 6 月 24 日 银河观点集萃 责任编辑 周颖 ☎:010-80927635 网:zhouying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130511090001 要闻 美国 6 月 Markit 制造业和服务业 PMI 保持 扩张 每日晨报 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 ● 银行:政策红利与资金裂变,把握银行股下半场——银行业 2025年中期投资 策略。 (1) 公募欠配修复,优质城农商行存在结构性机会; (2) 中长期资金 入市+考核长周期继续强化银行板块红利价值和战略配置;(3)主要宽基指数 ETF 扩容提质,把握成分股投资价值。 ● 非银:破局重构,乘势笃行——证券业 2025年中期策略报告。当前板块 PB1.29X,处于 2010年以来 18.3%分位数,防御与反弹攻守兼备。个股主要 关注三条主线:一是综合实力强劲的头部券商;二是有望通过并购重组提升核 心竞争力的券商;三是泛财富管理具备差异化特色的券商。 ● 有色:筑底向上,渐入佳境——有色金属行业 2025年中期策略建议关注多重 ...
中银量化多策略行业轮动周报-20250624
金融工程 | 证券研究报告 — 周报 2025 年 6 月 24 日 中银量化多策略行业轮动 周报 – 20250619 当前(2025 年 6 月 19 日)中银多策略行业配置系统仓位: 通信 (10.6%)、电子(8.7%)、综合金融(8.2%)、银行(8.0%)、建材 ( 7.4% ) 、 国 防 军 工 ( 7.4% ) 、非 银 金 融 ( 7.2% ) 、 有 色 金 属(7.0%)、医药(6.9%)、钢铁(4.4%)、煤炭(3.2%)、房地产 (3.1%)、石油石化(2.9%)、交通运输(2.8%)、综合(2.7%)、家 电(2.7%)、食品饮料(2.6%)、传媒(1.5%)、计算机(1.4%)、汽 车(1.4%)。 相关研究报告 《中银证券量化行业轮动系列(七):如何把 握市场"未证伪情绪"构建行业动量策略》 20220917 《中银证券量化行业轮动系列(八):"估值泡 沫保护"的高景气行业轮动策略》20221018 《中银证券宏观基本面行业轮动新框架:对传 统自上而下资产配置困境的破局》20230518 《中银证券量化行业轮动系列(九):长期反 转-中期动量-低拥挤"行业轮动策略》20240 ...
每日市场观察-20250624
Caida Securities· 2025-06-24 05:02
Market Overview - On June 23, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.65%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.43%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.39%[2] - The total trading volume on June 23 was 1.15 trillion CNY, an increase of approximately 60 billion CNY compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Performance - Key sectors that saw significant gains included computer, military, coal, and banking, while food and beverage, home appliances, and steel experienced slight declines[1] - Major inflows of capital were observed in software development, semiconductors, and batteries, while the top outflows were in liquor, white goods, and electricity sectors[4] Economic Indicators - From January to May, the national general public budget revenue was 96,623 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with tax revenue down by 1.6%[5] - National general public budget expenditure for the same period was 112,953 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.2%[5] Financial Developments - The scale of domestic bond ETFs surpassed 350 billion CNY, with two bond ETFs crossing the 50 billion CNY threshold for the first time[12] - The Shanghai market interest rate pricing self-discipline mechanism meeting was held, with 19 core member units participating[6] Industry Insights - A breakthrough in bidirectional high thermal conductivity graphite film research was reported, achieving a thermal conductivity of 1,754 W/m·K, which supports 5G chip and power semiconductor thermal management[9] - The PC monitor market in China saw a total shipment of 7.07 million units in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 14.0%[11]
市场避险情绪迅速回落,原油涨势“昙花一现”?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 05:01
地缘冲突缓和趋势推动市场避险情绪迅速回落,油价大幅回吐地缘溢价。内外盘原油期货价格持续走 低,其中美国WTI原油主力合约延续隔夜大跌趋势,24日盘中一度跌超6%,最低报64.38美元/桶;布 伦特原油主力合约一度跌超4%,报67.41美元/桶。国内原油期货合约开盘跌停,现报520元/桶,跌 幅为8.7%。 受国际油价大跌影响,油气股集体大跌,通源石油、洲际油气、宝莫股份、泰山石油、贝肯能源、准油 股份、中曼石油、山东墨龙等多股跌停。 业内人士对新华财经表示,从历史上看,地缘政治因素对油价的影响往往"昙花一现",过往国际地缘冲 突的影响也较为短暂,长期来看,经济前景和供需关系仍是决定油价走势的关键,短期旺季带来一定利 好,但不影响中长期供需平衡表从宽松转为过剩后的下行压力。建信期货能源化工高级研究员李捷认 为,油价基本都是在冲突发生时迅速拉涨,但涨幅也很快被"抹去"。 国泰君安期货分析师表示,短期来看,考虑到7月初OPEC+潜在的增产计划,原油市场本轮趋势上涨可 能告一段落。但低库存、季节性旺季、页岩油供应下滑等短期利好可能限制油价下跌速度,单边走势或 先从上行趋势转为宽幅震荡市,再趋势下跌。 4月OPEC+已 ...
【环球财经】世卫组织报告:控烟措施已保护全球逾61亿人口
Xin Hua She· 2025-06-24 05:01
世界卫生组织23日发布的《2025年全球烟草流行报告》说,世卫组织提出的控烟措施已覆盖全球超过61 亿人口,但还需继续行动推进控烟。 据世卫组织网站的消息,这份报告是当天在爱尔兰首都都柏林举行的世界控烟大会上发布的。报告重点 介绍了世卫组织提出的MPOWER一揽子控烟措施的实施情况,这些措施包括:监测烟草使用与预防政 策,通过无烟空气立法保护人们免受烟草烟雾危害,提供戒烟帮助,通过包装标签和大众媒体警示烟草 危害,执行烟草广告、促销和赞助禁令,以及提高烟草税。 烟草使用导致全球每年700多万人死亡。报告指出,自2007年以来,已有155个国家实施了至少一项上述 控烟措施,覆盖人口超过61亿,占世界人口的四分之三;而在2007年,全球只有约10亿人受到至少一项 控烟措施的保护。 报告还显示,控烟措施最显著进步体现在烟草产品包装的健康警示方面,要求在烟草产品包装上采用健 康警示的国家已从2007年的9个增加至目前的110个,覆盖全球62%的人口。此外,已有79个国家实施了 全面的无烟环境政策,覆盖了全球约三分之一的人口;监管或禁止电子烟的国家数量从2022年的122个 增加到2024年的133个。 今年是《世界卫 ...
Pharming Group to host webcast on findings of a new study published in Cell advancing functional classification of variants of uncertain significance (VUS) to improve APDS diagnosis
Globenewswire· 2025-06-24 05:00
For media and investors only Leiden, the Netherlands, June 24, 2025: Pharming Group N.V. ("Pharming" or "the Company") (EURONEXT Amsterdam: PHARM/Nasdaq: PHAR) announces it will host a webcast for investors and analysts featuring Joshua Milner, MD, an internationally renowned immunologist, to discuss the findings of a recent study published in the peer-reviewed journal Cell. The study titled "Scalable generation and functional classification of genetic variants in inborn errors of immunity for improved clin ...
买房坚持五不选,这不是危言耸听,而是实打实的经验和教训!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 04:57
物业的重要性不言而喻。好的物业不仅让你住得安心,还能让房子保值增值。要是碰上个不靠谱的物 业,整天家里停电停水,你还有好心情过日子吗?到时候房子都得砸手里! 哎,说到买房这个人生大事,真是几家欢喜几家愁啊!我自己也经历过这样的心路历程,深知大家在买 房时最怕的是什么。那听我一句劝:买房一定要坚持"5不选",这不是迷信,而是实打实的经验和教 训。买错了房子,谁买谁后悔啊! 1. 不选地段偏远的 别为了图个便宜,跑去鸟不拉屎的地方买房。你上班通勤要多久?孩子上学方不方便?家里老人看病怎 么办?这些都是实际问题。偏远地段虽然价格诱人,但生活便利度大打折扣。到时候你哭都来不及! 2. 不选物业不靠谱的 3. 不选户型奇葩的 户型奇葩的房子,住进去才知道有多坑。比如卧室正对大马路,每天噪音不断;或者厨房通风不良,做 个饭都一身油烟味。这样的房子住得憋屈,转手都难! 4. 不选质量有问题的 买房可不能贪图便宜买了豆腐渣工程。质量不过关的房子,住几年就开始漏水、开裂,安全隐患大得 很。到时候维修费用高昂,还可能影响到你的生命安全。 5. 不选没有发展潜力的 买房也不能只看眼前,还得看长远的发展潜力。比如靠近地铁、学区、商业 ...