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全球货币变局研究九:代币化:货币、金融的历史性变革
宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.02 代币化:货币、金融的历史性变革 [Table_Authors] 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 ——全球货币变局研究九 本报告导读: 我们在《全球货币变局》系列专题中已经有两篇专题探讨稳定币的问题。在本篇专 题中,我们希望更深层次的探讨稳定币和 RWA,要理解这些货币和金融体系的创新 和发展趋势,其实还是需要"返璞归真",回到货币的本质这个起点。 投资要点: 风险提示:全球地缘风险;美国政策的不确定风险;监管政策变化 风险 宏 观 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 专 题 [Table_Summary] 也许 5 年以后、10 年以后的全球货币体系和金融体系,会和现在的 运行方式有很大不同。稳定币的发展,或将在现有的"中心化"的货 币体系之外,打造一个"平行"的、"去中心化"的货币体系;RWA 的创新和发展,体现了"万物皆可货币",或将在现有的"中心化" 的金融体系之外,打造一个"平行"的、"去中心化"的金融体系。 中长期来看,稳定币和 RWA 将会给当前的全 ...
暑期出游高峰来了,这些城市最火→
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-02 11:04
"哪儿凉快去哪儿" "哪儿凉快去哪儿"是每年暑期旅游不变的主题。从多个旅游平台数据来看,西北、云南和东北等平均温 度低于25度的地区,成为避暑假游首选目的地,酒店预订增幅位居前列。 暑运开启后,多家航空公司新开了避暑航线,如郑州-伊宁、天津-乌鲁木齐,青岛-银川等,满足了旅客 去往这些热门地区避暑的旅游需求。去哪儿旅行大数据研究院方面表示,暑假是每年时间最长的旅游旺 季,航空公司新开航线,在方便旅客的同时,也能进一步吸引客流,拉动暑期旅游市场增长。 亲子游引领暑期旅游消费 亲子客群是暑期出游的主力军。途牛旅游网数据显示,境内游热门目的地中,上海、北京、三亚、珠 海、南京、广州、桂林、乌鲁木齐、呼伦贝尔、大连等备受亲子家庭青睐。 亲子游热门主题中,主题公园预订热度位居前列。其中,珠海长隆海洋王(002724)国、广州长隆野生 动物世界、上海迪士尼度假区、北京环球度假区等主题公园预订火爆。 海滨海岛目的地是亲子家庭亲水避暑的热门选择。途牛旅游网最新预订数据显示,三亚、青岛、烟台、 威海、大连、秦皇岛、福州、宁德等地是亲子家庭出游的热门目的地。 时间进入7月,暑期旅游热潮正式到来。多个旅游平台数据显示,今年暑假第一 ...
苑东生物紧急公告:独董被调查,此前为西财副校长
苑东生物今年4月发布的年报显示,彭龙曾任西南财经大学党委常委、常务副校长等职务,西南财经大 学金融学院教授。 他现任西南财经大学金融学院博士生导师、东南大学首席教授、经济管理学院教授、博士生导师,全国 金融专业学位研究生教育指导委员会委员、教育部高等学校专业设置与教学指导委员会主任委员等职 位。2023年5月起任苑东生物独立董事。还兼任神州数码(000034.SZ)独立董事、新希望 (000876.SZ)独立董事。 独立董事出事,创新药上市公司苑东生物紧急公告。 7月2日,苑东生物(688513.SH)发布公告称,公司于昨日通过中共山西省纪律检查委员会、山西省监 察委员会网站获悉,公司独立董事、教育部原副厅级干部彭龙涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委 国家监委驻教育部纪检监察组纪律审查和临汾市监委监察调查。 "彭龙系公司独立董事,目前除担任公司第四届董事会独立董事、董事会战略委员会主任委员(召集 人)、董事会提名委员会委员、董事会审计委员会委员外,未担任公司其他职务,不参与公司日常经营 管理。"苑东生物表示,上述事项不会对公司生产经营活动产生重大影响。 据山西省纪委监委网站消息,教育部语言文字应用研究所原副 ...
电动车补贴说砍就砍?马斯克怒了 “大而美”法案恐加剧美内部分裂
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-07-02 10:56
特约评论员苏晓晖:特朗普就任首日便签署46项行政命令推进政策主张,其中6项涉及能源领域,包括 宣布退出《巴黎协定》、宣布进入能源紧急状态等。特朗普政府急于推动化石能源生产,既为增强美国 企业竞争力、促进出口,也是出于商业利益收割与大国竞争的深层考量。 特约评论员苏晓晖:但从实际效果看,美国此前政策自相矛盾,未达预期反而滋生更多问题。特朗普第 二任期大打关税战,推高国内通胀压力,迫使政府不得不压低能源价格。此举导致一面要发展化石能源 生产,一面又因能源价格低迷削弱企业生产动能,最终使美国难以实现自己的政策目标。而此时推出 的"大而美"法案虽试图进一步推动能源政策转向,实际效果却加剧了这些矛盾。 特朗普马斯克两败俱伤对美产生深层次影响 (文章来源:央视新闻) 当地时间7月1日,美国国会参议院以51票赞成、50票反对的表决结果通过了美国总统特朗普力推的所 谓"大而美"法案,并提交众议院。 "大而美"法案中规定,美国从今年9月30日起将不再为电动汽车提供税收抵免,同时只有在2027年底前 投产的风电和太阳能项目可享受税收抵免。美国企业家埃隆·马斯克也因此表达了不满。如何看美国政 府的政策转向?特朗普和马斯克再"开战" ...
轮子上的仓库、人造太阳、海上风电 上海多维度打造绿色制造样本
Group 1: Tesla Shanghai Gigafactory - Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory is the first wholly foreign-owned vehicle manufacturing project in China and the first Gigafactory outside the US, with an annual production capacity exceeding 950,000 vehicles and an automation rate of over 95% on some production lines [1] - The factory employs a unique "Warehouse On Wheel" logistics system, eliminating the need for fixed warehouses by using mobile container warehouses, which significantly reduces storage space requirements [1] - The localization rate of components at the Shanghai Gigafactory has surpassed 95% [1] Group 2: Carbon Reduction Innovations - In 2023, 94% of all waste generated by Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory was recycled, showcasing its commitment to reducing carbon emissions during the manufacturing process [2] - Carbon Zhi Heng Energy Technology has developed a high-efficiency intelligent heat pump dehumidification system that improves energy efficiency by 20% to 30% compared to conventional systems [2] - The lithium battery industry incurs nearly 10 billion yuan annually in dehumidification electricity costs, accounting for about 40% of total production energy consumption [2] Group 3: Energy Solutions and Breakthroughs - Carbon Zhi Heng Energy Technology's new dehumidification system can save 475,000 kWh of electricity annually, equivalent to 144 tons of standard coal and a reduction of 271 tons of CO2 emissions [3] - The company plans to expand its technology solutions from the lithium battery sector to various industries, including food processing, biomedicine, electronic information, and military storage [3] - Shanghai Electric Nuclear Power Group has achieved 36 key technological breakthroughs in controlled nuclear fusion, also known as "artificial sun," which is considered a clean and abundant energy source for the future [3][4] Group 4: Offshore Wind Power - The Lingang offshore wind power project, under Sheneng Group, has generated 1.866 billion kWh of green electricity over the past three years, saving 529,200 tons of standard coal and reducing CO2 emissions by 1.06 million tons [4] - Since the launch of green electricity trading in Shanghai in 2022, Sheneng Group has actively participated, with a cumulative trading volume exceeding 3 billion kWh, leading the market in Shanghai [5]
加强“卡脖子”技术攻关 黄金产业科技创新提速
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-07-02 10:55
(原标题:加强"卡脖子"技术攻关 黄金产业科技创新提速) 方案明确,到2027年,突破一批关键共性技术和装备,新一代电子信息、航空航天、高端医疗器械、新 能源等领域用黄金、白银高端新材料供给能力明显增强。展望2035年,相关产业高质量发展格局将全面 形成,资源综合保障能力明显增强,建成全球领先的技术体系和产业体系。 近日,工业和信息化部、国家发展改革委、自然资源部等9部门联合发布《黄金产业高质量发展实施方 案(2025—2027年)》(以下简称"方案"),全面部署未来三年黄金产业重点任务。根据方案,到2027 年,我国黄金资源保障能力和产业链创新水平明显提升,黄金资源量增长5%至10%,黄金、白银产量 增长5%以上。 6月30日,工信部新闻宣传中心网络舆情研究院撰文表示,在当前全球地缘政治风险加剧,黄金的保值 和避险金融属性持续被推升的背景下,方案的出台非常具有及时性和必要性,为着力解决行业发展难题 提供了行动指南,为重塑产业竞争优势指明了方向。 方案中重点提到"提升科技创新水平,推动黄金产业转型升级",这被认为是此方案的亮点之一。方案提 出,加快开展深井超深井勘探开采、绿色高效冶炼等关键共性技术,以及超深开 ...
7月2日汇市晚评:日本央行利率低于中性水平 美元/日元143.50附近波动
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-02 10:55
周三(7月2日)汇市简况:欧元兑美元(EUR/USD)中断了始于6月18日的连涨势头,周三欧洲交易时 段在1.1800附近波动;英镑兑美元(GBP/USD)连续第四个交易日上涨,周四欧洲交易时段在1.3700上 方交投;美元兑日元(USD/JPY)周三早间守住隔夜反弹成果,在143.50附近波动;澳元兑美元 (AUD/USD)在周二触及的年内高点0.6590下方维持区间震荡;纽元兑美元(NZD/USD)在0.6050附 近呈积极态势;美元兑加元(USD/CAD)在1.3650附近的极窄区间内波动。日内晚间关注20:15美国6月 ADP就业人数。 今日汇市要闻盘点: 美元: 1.鲍威尔:无法断言7月降息是否过早不排除任何一次会议。 2.特朗普:不考虑延长关税谈判最后期限可能提高日本关税。 5.美国财政部长贝森特:相信美联储会在秋季之前降息,但最迟在9月份肯定会降息。 6.特朗普税收法案在参议院通过。美国众议院定于当地时间周三就法案进行辩论并投票。 主要非美货币: 1.日本央行行长植田和男:当前利率低于中性水平。任何加息措施都将取决于通胀动态的三个要素。 2.欧洲央行行长拉加德:并未宣告任务完成,但目标已达到。必 ...
主力资金丨尾盘涨停!主力资金盯上这只光伏概念股
Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets experienced a net outflow of 331.9 billion yuan, with the ChiNext board seeing a net outflow of 185.3 billion yuan [2] - Among the 15 industries that rose, the steel industry had the highest increase of 3.37%, while the coal and building materials industries also saw increases of over 1% [2] - Eight industries received net inflows of main funds, with the electric equipment industry leading at 15.95 billion yuan, followed by agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery at 8.24 billion yuan, and food and beverage at 7.36 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The stablecoin concept stocks saw the highest net inflow of main funds, with Yuyin Co., Ltd. leading at 6.64 billion yuan, and the stock rose by 6.05% [3] - Controlled nuclear fusion concept stocks, such as Rongfa Nuclear Power, had a net inflow of 5.33 billion yuan, with significant gains in related stocks [3][4] - Over 110 stocks experienced a net outflow of more than 1 billion yuan, with 35 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 2 billion yuan [5] Group 3 - The leading stock for net outflow was Jihua Group, with an outflow of 6.44 billion yuan, followed by OFILM Technology with 5.78 billion yuan [6] - Popular stocks like Dongfang Caifu and Xuanji Information also saw significant net outflows, with Annie Co. hitting a limit down and experiencing a net outflow of 4.11 billion yuan, the highest since February 6, 2023 [6] Group 4 - At the end of the trading session, the main funds saw a net outflow of 18.91 billion yuan, with the ChiNext board experiencing a net outflow of 6.58 billion yuan [7] - Among individual stocks, Tongwei Co. saw a net inflow of 9150.48 million yuan, while Jingao Technology had a net inflow of 8534.54 million yuan [8][9] - The main contract for polysilicon futures saw a significant increase, contributing to the rise of photovoltaic concept stocks [9]
重大利好,小众题材沸腾!这些公司透露产能情况
今日(7月2日),代糖概念股保龄宝(002286)低开高走,约9时55分封住涨停板,最新日线收出八连 阳,最新收盘价逼近年内高点,A股市值逼近50亿元。 公开资料显示,保龄宝主要从事益生元、膳食纤维、减糖甜味剂等功能性配料的研发、生产、销售。公 司在低聚异麦芽糖、低聚果糖、低聚半乳糖等产品均表现突出,其中低聚异麦芽糖产品全球市占率第 一。今年一季度,公司实现净利润0.5亿元,同比增长117.35%。 (原标题:重大利好,小众题材沸腾!这些公司透露产能情况) 代糖产业迎来新利好! 截至收盘,代糖概念指数涨逾2%,创近三年来新高。代糖概念股百龙创园录得涨停板,其余涨幅靠前 的还有三元生物、华康股份、金河生物、金禾实业、梅花生物等。 阿洛酮糖获得我国新食品原料批准 消息面上,国家卫健委发布关于D-阿洛酮糖等20种"三新食品"的公告:根据《中华人民共和国食品安全 法》规定,审评机构组织专家对D-阿洛酮糖等5种物质申请作为新食品原料,氨基肽酶等9种物质申请 作为食品添加剂新品种,月桂酸铵等6种物质申请作为食品相关产品新品种的安全性评估材料进行审查 并通过。 代糖概念股中,已有部分公司布局阿洛酮糖产能。百龙创园在互动平台 ...
揭秘涨停丨重磅利好,海洋经济概念股爆火
Group 1: Market Performance - On July 2, 2023, 14 stocks had a closing limit order amount exceeding 100 million yuan, with the highest being Xishanghai at 582 million yuan [2] - Xishanghai led in limit order volume with 839,500 hands, followed by Juyi Suoj, Jixin Technology, and Chongqing Steel with 521,700 hands, 477,600 hands, and 447,600 hands respectively [2] - The stocks with significant limit order amounts included Juyi Suoj, Dongfang Ocean, and Jixin Technology, all of which are related to the marine economy [2] Group 2: Company Insights - Xishanghai is focused on automotive logistics services and the production and sales of automotive parts, and it reported a revenue of 371 million yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 40.61%, but incurred a net loss of 7.66 million yuan [2][3] - The company is actively pursuing business transformation and upgrading through strategic acquisitions to enhance its manufacturing capabilities in passenger and commercial vehicles [3] - The marine economy sector saw several stocks, including Shenkai Co., Aikang International, and Yaxing Anchor Chain, achieving limit increases, supported by the central government's emphasis on high-quality development of the marine economy [4] Group 3: Steel Industry - The steel sector had stocks like Chongqing Steel, Liugang Co., and Shougang Co. achieving limit increases, with the government promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity [5][6] - Chongqing Steel primarily produces medium and heavy plates, hot coils, and construction steel, which are widely used in hydropower station construction projects [6] - Liugang Co. is one of the top 50 steel companies globally and focuses on steel production and sales [6] Group 4: Investment Trends - The top net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list included stocks like Kelaite, Guolian Aquatic Products, and Xiugang Co., with net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan [7] - Institutional investors showed significant net buying in stocks such as Anglikang and Feiyada, indicating strong interest in these companies [7]