Core Insights - Kinder Morgan is experiencing a growth phase despite a recent decline in share price, presenting a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors [1][8] Financial Performance - Kinder Morgan reported a 16% increase in earnings per share for the third quarter, driven by rising gas demand and a recent acquisition from Outrigger Energy, leading to expectations of exceeding financial targets for the year [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $59 billion and a current share price of $26.55, with a dividend yield of 4.5%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.1% [5][6] Growth Projects - Kinder Morgan added $500 million in new growth capital projects during the third quarter, resulting in a backlog of $9.3 billion, up from $3 billion at the end of 2023, with projects expected to enter commercial service by the second quarter of 2030 [3] - The company is pursuing over $10 billion in potential projects, primarily focused on expanding natural gas infrastructure, driven by demand from power generation and LNG export capacity [5] Future Outlook - Significant earnings growth acceleration is anticipated between 2027 and 2029 as three large-scale gas pipeline projects are expected to be completed [7] - The combination of income from dividends and growth from expansion projects positions Kinder Morgan for robust total returns in the coming years, especially given its current lower valuation [8]

Core Viewpoint - TC Energy slightly missed analyst estimates for Q3 earnings but anticipates significant growth in North American natural gas demand due to rising U.S. LNG exports and increased power demand from data centers and coal-to-gas conversions [1][4]. Company Performance - TC Energy's Q3 earnings in the U.S. natural gas pipelines segment fell to US$568 million (C$801 million), down from US$943 million (C$1.33 billion) a year earlier [2]. - The power and energy solutions segment also experienced a nearly 50% decline in earnings compared to the previous year [3]. - Comparable earnings for TC Energy were reported at US$0.55 (C$0.77) per common share, slightly below the analyst consensus estimate of US$0.56 (C$0.79) [3]. Future Outlook - The company projects North American natural gas demand to increase by 45 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) by 2035, driven by a tripling of LNG exports and unprecedented power demand [6]. - TC Energy's president and CEO highlighted favorable structural trends in North America's energy landscape, including growing demand and regulatory support, which reinforce confidence in long-term growth [5]. - A Goldman Sachs report indicates that natural gas is well-positioned to capture growth due to its flexibility and status as an abundant domestic resource [7].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable EBITDA increased by 10% year over year, reaching $2.7 billion in the third quarter [30] - The company expects 2025 net capital expenditures to be at the low end of the $5.5 billion-$6 billion range, with a clear line of sight to achieving a long-term target of 4.75 times debt to EBITDA [5][10] - The implied weighted average unlevered after-tax IRR of the sanctioned portfolio increased to approximately 12.5%, up from 8.5% a few years ago [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. natural gas business saw LNG flows increase by 15% this quarter, setting a new peak delivery record of 4 bcf per day [29] - Bruce Power achieved 94% availability, aligning with the expected annual availability in the low 90% range for full year 2025 [30] - The power and energy solutions segment experienced an 18% reduction in EBITDA, primarily due to the dual-unit Major Component Replacement (MCR) outage program [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Canada, natural gas demand from power generation has increased by 80% over the past five years [12] - Mexico's daily gas imports are averaging 4% higher in 2025 than in 2024, with the highest peak import day recorded at over 8 bcf a day [29] - The natural gas forecast has been revised 5 bcf a day higher, now calling for a 45 bcf a day increase in natural gas demand by 2035 [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on low-risk, high-return growth, emphasizing the execution of projects on time and on budget [38] - The strategic focus includes maximizing the value of existing assets through safety and operational excellence while leveraging commercial and technological innovation [38] - The company is positioned to capture growth in the energy market, particularly in natural gas and power generation, with a strong emphasis on brownfield in-corridor expansions [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the supportive regulatory environment across North America, which is expected to enhance project delivery timelines [6] - The company anticipates continued strong performance with year-over-year growth of 6%-8% expected in 2026 [32] - The outlook for natural gas and power demand is trending higher, with significant opportunities in the energy market [10][11] Other Important Information - The company sanctioned $5.1 billion in new projects over the last 12 months, capitalizing on the demand for power generation and data centers [5] - The company has developed enhancements that have improved capital allocation and project development rigor, increasing capital efficiency and cost management [20] - The company is leveraging AI and advanced algorithms to optimize pipeline configurations and improve operational performance [17][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Long-term EBITDA growth trajectory - Management indicated that if current return levels remain true, mid-single-digit CAGR guidance could be sustained beyond 2028 [40][41] Question: Potential for increased CapEx - Management stated that while the current CapEx is set at $6 billion, there is potential to consider increasing it based on project backlog and execution capabilities [42][43] Question: Size and complexity of projects - Management noted that projects are becoming larger but remain straightforward in execution, with average project sizes around $500 million [46][48] Question: Project backlog and capital constraints - Management confirmed that no projects have been turned down due to capital constraints, and there is room to expand the backlog [50][51] Question: Strategic decision to focus on transmission - Management explained that the focus on transmission rather than competing in power generation is driven by strong utility relationships and low-risk returns [52] Question: Status of Bruce C project - Management provided an update on the Bruce C project, indicating progress towards FID with ongoing assessments and funding considerations [54] Question: Rate cases and potential toll increases - Management confirmed that several rate cases are in process, with conservative estimates included in budgeting and forecasting [57] Question: Challenges with contractors and market pressures - Management acknowledged that while market pressures have not materially impacted operations, they are monitoring suppliers and contractors closely [58][60]

Financial Performance & Outlook - The company delivered approximately 8% comparable EBITDA growth year-over-year for the first 9 months of 2025[15] - The company is on track to deliver a long-term target of 475x debt-to-EBITDA[15] - The company expects to deliver 2026E comparable EBITDA of $116 - $118 billion[86] - The company is targeting $6 - $7 billion annual net capital expenditures through 2030 with build multiples in the 5 – 7x range[78, 86] - The company expects approximately 6% – 8% comparable EBITDA growth from 2025 to 2026 and extending growth outlook of approximately 5% – 7% 3-year CAGR[76] Growth Projects & Capital Allocation - The company placed approximately $8 billion of assets into service year-to-date, with 2025 projects tracking approximately 15% under budget[15, 60] - The company sanctioned approximately $51 billion of new projects in the last twelve months at an average build multiple of approximately 60x[15] - The company is announcing approximately $07 billion of new growth projects serving power generation & data center demand[15] - The company's natural gas demand growth is projected to increase by 45 Bcf/d by 2035[21] Strategic Priorities & Market Position - The company's total system deliveries averaged 230 Bcf/d, up 2% vs Q3 2024[74] - The company's deliveries to LNG facilities averaged 37 Bcf/d, up 15% vs Q3 2024[74]

Core Viewpoint - TC Energy Corporation has extended its financial outlook through 2028, projecting a 5% to 7% annual growth in comparable EBITDA, supported by strong North American energy fundamentals and a robust project pipeline [1][13]. Financial Highlights - Comparable earnings for Q3 2025 were $0.8 billion or $0.77 per share, down from $0.9 billion or $0.86 per share in Q3 2024 [4][7]. - Net income attributable to common shares was $0.8 billion or $0.78 per share, compared to $1.3 billion or $1.29 per share in Q3 2024 [4][5]. - Comparable EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $2.7 billion, an increase from $2.4 billion in Q3 2024 [4][5]. - The 2025 outlook for comparable EBITDA is projected to be between $10.8 billion and $11.0 billion [4][13]. - A quarterly dividend of $0.85 per common share has been declared for the quarter ending December 31, 2025 [14]. Operational Highlights - Year-to-date, TC Energy has placed approximately $8 billion of assets into service on time and under budget [11]. - Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines deliveries averaged 23.0 Bcf/d, a 2% increase compared to Q3 2024 [4]. - U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines daily average flows were 26.3 Bcf/d, consistent with Q3 2024 [4]. - Deliveries to LNG facilities averaged 3.7 Bcf/d, a 15% increase compared to Q3 2024, setting a new daily record of 4.0 Bcf on August 7, 2025 [4]. Project Highlights - Over the past 12 months, TC Energy has sanctioned over $5 billion in new growth projects, including $0.7 billion in the third quarter [1][12]. - The projects are expected to deliver a weighted average build-multiple of approximately 5.9 times and are backed by 20-year take-or-pay or cost-of-service contracts [1][12]. - Significant projects include the TCO Connector and Midwest Connector, designed to provide approximately 0.6 Bcf/d of capacity for new natural gas-fired power generation [11][12]. Strategic Outlook - The company expects 2026 comparable EBITDA to be between $11.6 billion and $11.8 billion, reflecting a 6% to 8% year-over-year growth [4][13]. - The 2025 to 2028 outlook includes an expected comparable EBITDA range of $12.6 billion to $13.1 billion, indicating a compounded annual growth rate of 5% to 7% [13]. - TC Energy's strategy focuses on executing a selective portfolio of growth projects while maintaining financial strength and maximizing asset value [13].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $1.92 billion, up 13% from $1.7 billion in Q3 2024, driven by higher revenues from expansion projects [10][12] - The company maintained its adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 at a midpoint of $7.75 billion, expecting 9% growth over 2024 [13][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transmission, power, and Gulf business improved by $117 million, or 14%, due to higher revenues from expansion projects [10] - Gulf gathering volumes increased over 36% year-over-year, and NGL production rose about 78% [11] - Northeast G&P business improved to $21 million, primarily due to higher gathering and processing rates [11] - The West segment was up $37 million, or 11%, driven by contributions from the Louisiana energy gateway project and higher Haynesville volumes [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 14% overall volume growth, driven by growth in the Haynesville region [12] - The company is expanding its pipeline capacity to accommodate increased LNG exports and power demand growth in the Gulf Coast and Southeast regions [4][5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on strengthening its core business through deliberate expansion projects and strategic investments, including a partnership with Woodside Energy for a new LNG pipeline [5][6] - The company plans to invest approximately $1.9 billion in capital into pipeline and LNG terminal projects to support growing global LNG demand [6][9] - The company aims to enhance its core infrastructure business while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation [8][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued industry-leading growth, with a five-year EBITDA compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9% and a five-year EPS CAGR of approximately 14% [15] - The management highlighted the importance of natural gas as a key factor in managing energy affordability across the U.S. [44][45] Other Important Information - The company has a backlog of fully contracted projects, which provides confidence in continued growth [14] - The company is advancing its wellhead to water strategy through a strategic LNG partnership and asset divestiture [5][6] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide an update on the power innovation opportunities? - Management noted robust engagement and interest in power innovation projects, with a backlog of commercialized projects exceeding $5 billion [19][20] Question: Can you elaborate on the recent LNG deal and its strategic logic? - The LNG deal is part of a demand-driven strategy to connect customers to international markets, enhancing the company's ability to attract customers [22][23] Question: What is the status of the procurement cycle for turbines? - Management indicated confidence in their position with equipment suppliers and the ability to meet project needs through the end of the decade [29][31] Question: How does the company view the growth outlook and capital spending? - Management expressed optimism about the investment opportunities and the balance sheet's ability to sustain high levels of capital expenditure [37][40] Question: What is the status of the NESI and Constitution projects? - Management is hopeful for progress on NESI and Constitution post-election, with NESI on a quicker timeline [45][46] Question: Can you clarify the offtake capacity at the LNG facility? - The LNG terminal is fully contracted with take-or-pay agreements, primarily with Woodside [72][73]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $288 million for the third quarter, an increase of $11 million from the previous quarter [10] - The midpoint of the 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range has been increased to $1.13 billion, representing an 18% increase from the prior year guidance [5][11] - Distributable cash flow guidance has been raised to a range of $800 to $830 million, reflecting a midpoint increase of $45 million due to lower maintenance capital, interest, and cash taxes [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The pipeline segment results were consistent with the second quarter, while gathering segment results increased by $10 million, driven by higher volumes on the Haynesville system [10] - Total gathering volumes for the Haynesville averaged 2.04 Bcf per day, marking a 35% increase over the third quarter of 2024 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has seen robust gas and power demand growth throughout the region, particularly in Louisiana, driven by data center activity and LNG demand [6][19] - The Northeast volumes averaged 1.09 Bcf per day, with expectations for an increase in the fourth quarter due to incremental production on the Tioga system [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its pure play natural gas pipeline strategy and is well-positioned to fund incremental investments in a favorable market environment [14] - The Guardian G3+ expansion has reached FID, increasing the total capacity of the Guardian pipeline by approximately 537 million cubic feet per day, a 40% increase [6] - The company is pursuing upstream network opportunities to enhance connectivity and reliability for customers [6][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capture market share in the growing LNG market and emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet [14][19] - The recent Senate confirmation of two new FERC members is viewed as a positive sign for the regulatory environment, enhancing confidence in the permitting process for key growth projects [9] Other Important Information - The company announced a third-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, unchanged from the prior quarter, with a commitment to grow the dividend by 5% to 7% per year in line with long-term adjusted EBITDA growth [13] - The Louisiana CCS project remains pre-FID, with an uncertain permit timeline due to a moratorium on new applications [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Potential for network to support gas-fired generation in Louisiana - Management highlighted robust demand growth in Louisiana, particularly from data centers and LNG demand, and expressed confidence in capturing market share [19] Question: Growth trajectory in Haynesville and LEAP expansions - Management noted significant development in western Haynesville and expects continued volume growth, with a focus on maintaining competitive positioning [20][22] Question: Upstream Chicago opportunities - Management discussed the potential for the Vector, Nexus, and Midwestern pipelines to bring incremental supply to the Chicago hub, with ongoing discussions about expansions [24] Question: Change in CapEx for the year - Management indicated that capital efficiency and timing have contributed to a reduction in gross capital guidance, with a focus on maintaining a flat run rate for maintenance capital [41][44] Question: Millennium open season status - Management confirmed ongoing work on the Millennium project, emphasizing the need for patience due to regulatory complexities in New York [46][47] Question: Outlook for additional BTN opportunities off Nexus - Management expressed confidence in Nexus's position to capture market share for data center power demand in northwestern Ohio [53] Question: Market share trends in Haynesville - Management reported an increase in market share over the past few years and aims to maintain that share amid growing demand [107]

Financial Performance - Third quarter 2025 net income was $115 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $288 million[12] - The company is raising its 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint and narrowing the range to $1,115 - $1,145 million, an 18% increase from the prior year's original Adjusted EBITDA guidance[12] - The company reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA early outlook of $1,155 - $1,225 million[12] Organic Growth and Projects - Approximately $0.5 billion was committed within the quarter for new organic projects, bringing the total to approximately $1.6 billion out of the original $2.3 billion backlog[12] - The company reached FID (Final Investment Decision) on the upsized Guardian Pipeline "G3" expansion for a total of approximately 537 MMcf/d expansion capacity northbound from Chicago[12, 25] - The LEAP Phase 4 expansion was placed in-service early and on budget[12] Operational Performance - The Haynesville system achieved a record high throughput, with volumes up 35% year-over-year[10] Capital Investments - The upsized "G3" expansion is expected to require a total capital investment of $850 to $930 million[26] - Approximately $1.6 billion of projects have reached FID for 2025 – 2029[33] Guidance Updates - 2025 Distributable Cash Flow is now guided to $800 - $830 million[27] - 2025 Capital Expenditures are now guided to $445 - $485 million[27] Market Position - Haynesville throughput increased by 35% in Q3 2025, reaching 204 Bcf/d[36]

Core Insights - DT Midstream, Inc. plans to announce its third quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, before market opening [1] - A conference call to discuss the results is scheduled for 9:00 a.m. ET on the same day, with a live internet broadcast available [2] Company Overview - DT Midstream is engaged in the ownership, operation, and development of natural gas pipelines, storage, and gathering systems, as well as compression and treatment facilities [3] - The company provides services for utilities, power plants, marketers, large industrial customers, and energy producers across the Southern, Northeastern, and Midwestern United States and Canada [3] - DT Midstream aims for net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, with a target of reducing carbon emissions by 30% by 2030 [3]

Group 1 - DT Midstream, Inc. has successfully closed a binding open season to award expansion capacity on the Guardian Pipeline, totaling 328,103 Dth per day, with a targeted in-service date of November 1, 2028 [1] - The total expansion capacity awarded now stands at 536,903 Dth per day, representing an approximate 40% increase from Guardian's current capacity [2] - The Guardian Pipeline is a 260-mile interstate pipeline with a current capacity of approximately 1.3 Bcf per day, serving key demand centers in Wisconsin [3] Group 2 - DT Midstream operates and develops natural gas pipelines, storage, and gathering systems across the Southern, Northeastern, and Midwestern United States and Canada [4] - The company is committed to transitioning towards net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, with a goal of achieving a 30% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 [4]