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Lumen Stock Up 18% in the Past 3 Months: Stay Invested or Exit?
ZACKS· 2026-01-19 15:01
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) shares have increased by 18% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's growth of 4.3% and contrasting with a 4.5% decline in the Diversified Communications Services sector [1][8] Price Performance - Lumen's stock performance has surpassed that of competitors such as Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile, which have seen declines of 4.6%, 10%, and 19% respectively during the same period [4] - LUMN's current stock price is $8.45, below its 52-week high of $11.95 [5] Growth Drivers - The demand for low-latency, high-bandwidth fiber connectivity driven by AI workloads is boosting Lumen's Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) and network-as-a-service (NaaS) solutions, leading to $10 billion in secured PCF deals [6][8] - Lumen anticipates that the existing PCF business will generate $400-$500 million in recurring revenues by the end of 2028 [7] Customer Growth and New Offerings - Lumen has surpassed 1,500 customers on its NaaS platform, with a 32% sequential increase in active customers and a 36% increase in services sold [9] - The company has introduced Internet on Demand (IoD Offnet), which is expected to enhance market reach significantly [9] Strategic Initiatives - Lumen is targeting $1 billion in cost savings by 2027 through infrastructure simplification and AI-driven operational efficiencies [11] - The company is focused on deleveraging, with a planned sale of its fiber-to-the-home business to AT&T for $5.75 billion, expected to close in early 2026 [12][13] Financial Position - Lumen is trading at a discounted valuation with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.74, compared to the industry average of 1.53 [14][16] Future Outlook - Lumen's new business model, including the PxQ model and Project Berkeley, aims to enhance its service offerings and market position [10] - The company expects to generate between $500 million and $600 million in incremental revenues from its digital capabilities by the end of 2028 [10]
VZ Wins Regulatory Nod for Frontier Buyout: Will it Boost Prospects?
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 15:01
Core Insights - Verizon Communications, Inc. has secured all regulatory approvals for the $20 billion acquisition of Frontier Communications, which is essential for its long-term growth strategy [1][8] - The acquisition will expand Verizon's fiber reach to over 30 million passings across 31 states, significantly enhancing its market presence [1][8] Company Performance - As of Q3 2025, Frontier reported 3.3 million broadband customers and added 326,000 fiber passings, reaching a total of 8.8 million fiber locations [2] - Verizon will gain access to Frontier's substantial user base post-acquisition, which includes 133,000 new fiber broadband customers [2] Strategic Opportunities - The acquisition presents significant cross-selling opportunities, allowing Frontier customers to access Verizon's premium mobility, home internet, streaming, and connected home services [3] - Verizon plans to introduce bundled mobile and home internet plans, which may reduce customer churn in a competitive telecom market [3] Market Trends - The Fiber to the Home broadband market was valued at $56.03 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.4% from 2025 to 2030, indicating a favorable market environment for Verizon's expansion [4] Competitive Landscape - Verizon faces competition from AT&T and Charter Communications, with AT&T expanding its fiber network to 30 million locations and planning to acquire Lumen's fiber internet business [5] - Charter is investing $7 billion to enhance its fiber-optic network, focusing on rural internet service [6] Financial Metrics - Verizon's stock has gained 2.6% over the past year, contrasting with a 2.8% decline in the Wireless National industry [7] - The company's shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 8.16, down from the industry's 11.34 [9]
Verizon Outpaces Its Industry in a Year: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 15:02
Core Insights - Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) has outperformed the Wireless National industry with a 4.4% gain over the past year, while the industry itself declined by 1.7% [1] - The stock has underperformed compared to the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500 during the same period [1] Performance Comparison - Verizon shares have outperformed T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS), which declined by 8.1%, but underperformed AT&T, Inc. (T), which returned 9.3% [2] Market Trends and Opportunities - Global enterprises are rapidly transforming digitally, driven by hybrid work models, cloud transitions, and automation, necessitating robust connectivity [3] - The 5G infrastructure market is projected to grow at a 13.1% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2026 to 2033, while the 5G services market is expected to grow at a 62.2% CAGR from 2025 to 2030 [4] Strategic Initiatives - Verizon has signed a multi-year agreement with Array Digital, enhancing its 5G network through access to 4,400 tower sites across the U.S. [5] - The company launched a new 5G Network Slice - Enhanced Internet solution, offering 200 Mbps downlink and 45 Mbps uplink without data caps, aimed at sectors like logistics and public safety [6] Competitive Landscape - Verizon faces intense competition from T-Mobile and AT&T in a saturated U.S. wireless market, where customer acquisition often requires discounts and promotional activities, impacting margins [10] - The company has high capital expenditures to support its 5G Ultra Wideband network and fiber asset deployment, raising concerns about the timing of returns on these investments [11] Financial Outlook - Earnings estimates for 2025 have decreased by 0.43% to $4.68, and for 2026, they have declined by 1.02% to $4.83 over the past 60 days [13] - Verizon's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 8.4, which is lower than the industry average of 11.55, indicating a relatively cheaper valuation [14] Long-term Growth Potential - The expansion of Verizon's 5G portfolio and innovative solutions like network slicing are expected to enhance prospects across multiple sectors [16] - Collaboration with Array Digital is anticipated to streamline the expansion of 5G and other wireless services, potentially yielding long-term benefits [16]
AT&T Declines 5% in Three Months: Should You Buy the Dip?
ZACKS· 2026-01-05 15:45
Core Insights - AT&T, Inc. has seen a decline of 5.1% over the past three months, underperforming compared to the Wireless National industry, which decreased by 7%, and the S&P 500 [1][8] - The company has also lagged behind peers such as Verizon Communications Inc. and Comcast Corporation, which saw declines of 2.2% and 5%, respectively [2] Key Challenges for AT&T - The U.S. wireless market is highly saturated and competitive, leading to price sensitivity and aggressive promotions among telecom companies [3] - AT&T faces risks associated with high customer churn rates and retention costs, compounded by competition from Verizon and T-Mobile, which are rapidly expanding their 5G networks [3] - The company is also contending with a significant long-term debt burden of $128.09 billion, which has increased from $123.06 billion in the previous quarter [5] Growth Drivers for AT&T - AT&T is focusing on onboarding converged customers who will purchase multiple services, which may lead to better long-term margins despite short-term moderation in Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth [4] - The company is investing in edge computing services, which are expected to provide a competitive edge and cater to high-bandwidth applications in various sectors, including autonomous vehicles and drones [9] - AT&T boasts one of the largest 5G networks, covering over 310 million people across 26,100 locations, and is leveraging millimeter wave spectrum for urban deployment [10] - The U.S. 5G services market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 51.1% from 2025 to 2030, and AT&T is expanding its infrastructure to capitalize on this trend [11] - Collaborations with AST SpaceMobile aim to enhance satellite connectivity, addressing connectivity issues in rural areas [12] Financial Metrics - Earnings estimates for AT&T for 2025 have increased over the past 60 days, while estimates for 2026 remain unchanged [13] - From a valuation perspective, AT&T is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 10.88, which is lower than the industry average of 11.73 and the company's historical mean of 12.56 [15] Strategic Outlook - The company's strategy of enhancing network infrastructure and 5G capabilities is expected to drive subscriber growth and improve service quality, particularly in rural areas [17] - The focus on acquiring converged customers is anticipated to positively impact ARPU in the long run [17]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Spok Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-23 15:01
Company Overview - Spok Holdings, Inc. (SPOK) is experiencing significant attention from investors due to high implied volatility in its options market, particularly the Jan 16, 2026 $7.50 Call option [1] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) within the Wireless National industry, which is positioned in the top 19% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Analyst Sentiment - Over the past 60 days, there have been no increases in earnings estimates for the current quarter from analysts, with one analyst revising the estimate downward, resulting in a consensus estimate decrease from earnings of 20 cents per share to 18 cents [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Spok shares, indicating potential upcoming events that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in TMobile US Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-19 14:41
Core Viewpoint - Investors in TMobile US, Inc. (TMUS) should closely monitor stock movements due to significant implied volatility in the options market, particularly the May 05, 2026 $5.00 Put option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectations for future stock movement, with high levels suggesting potential significant price changes or upcoming events that could impact the stock [2] - The current high implied volatility for TMobile US options may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - TMobile US holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) within the Wireless National Industry, which is positioned in the bottom 18% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, two analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while four have lowered theirs, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $2.22 to $2.18 per share [3]
Verizon Communications (VZ) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 23:46
Company Performance - Verizon Communications closed at $40.41, reflecting a -1.15% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.79% [1] - Prior to the latest trading session, Verizon shares had decreased by 0.75%, which was less than the Computer and Technology sector's loss of 0.85% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings release is expected to show an EPS of $1.06, a decrease of 3.64% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted to be $35.92 billion, indicating a growth of 0.66% year-over-year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $4.69 per share and revenue at $137.87 billion, representing increases of +2.18% and +2.29% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Forecast Revisions - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating positive sentiment towards the company's operations [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Verizon currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with a recent downward shift of 0.13% in the EPS estimate over the past month [6] - The Forward P/E ratio for Verizon is 8.72, which is below the industry average of 18.33, and the PEG ratio stands at 3.65 compared to the industry average of 1.43 [7] Industry Context - The Wireless National industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 44, placing it in the top 18% of over 250 industries [8]
LUMN Surges 26% in the Past Year: Can It Sustain the Momentum in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 14:31
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) shares have increased by 25.9% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 and the Diversified Communications Services sector, which grew by 18% and 13.7% respectively [1][3] - The stock's growth is attributed to the company's strategic pivot towards AI, balance sheet improvements, and enhanced operational execution [1] Financial Performance - LUMN closed at $7.63, significantly below its 52-week high of $11.95, raising questions about potential upside [4] - The company has secured $10 billion in Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) deals, indicating strong demand driven by AI [5][8] - Lumen's NaaS platform has surpassed 1,500 customers, with a 32% sequential increase in active customers and a 36% increase in services sold [10] Strategic Initiatives - Lumen is focusing on cost-cutting measures, aiming for $1 billion in savings by the end of 2027 through infrastructure simplification [12] - The company plans to sell its Mass Markets' fiber-to-the-home business to AT&T for $5.75 billion, which will help in deleveraging and improving its balance sheet [13][14] - Management anticipates that the existing PCF business will generate $400-$500 million in recurring revenues by the end of 2028 [9] Market Position and Valuation - LUMN is trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.66, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.45, indicating a compelling valuation [15][17] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates upwards for 2025, reflecting positive sentiment towards the company's future prospects [18] Growth Outlook - The increasing demand for AI-driven connectivity solutions positions Lumen favorably in the market, with partnerships established with major tech companies like Microsoft and Amazon [6][20] - The company's new business model, including the PxQ model and Project Berkeley, aims to enhance its service offerings and market reach [11]
AT&T (T) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 23:45
Core Viewpoint - AT&T's stock performance has been underwhelming compared to the broader market, with a notable decline in the past month and a forecasted drop in earnings for the upcoming quarter [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - AT&T closed at $24.36, reflecting a +1.2% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 1.16% [1] - The stock has decreased by 5.98% over the past month, contrasting with a 1% gain in the Computer and Technology sector and a 1.03% gain in the S&P 500 [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 28, 2026, with an expected EPS of $0.46, indicating a 14.81% decline from the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects revenue of $32.75 billion, which is a 1.41% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3: Annual Estimates - For the entire year, the forecasted earnings are $2.05 per share, reflecting a -9.29% change compared to the previous year, while revenue is expected to be $124.95 billion, indicating a +2.14% change [3] Group 4: Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for AT&T are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [4] Group 5: Zacks Rank and Valuation - AT&T currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with a consensus EPS projection that has increased by 0.11% in the past 30 days [6] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 11.73, which is lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 18.21 [7] - AT&T has a PEG ratio of 1.41, aligning with the Wireless National industry's average PEG ratio of 1.41 [7] Group 6: Industry Context - The Wireless National industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 45, placing it in the top 19% of over 250 industries [8] - Strong industry rankings correlate with performance, with the top 50% of rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
AT&T (T) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 23:46
Company Performance - AT&T's stock closed at $24.84, down 1.74%, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.35% [1] - Over the past month, AT&T's stock has increased by 1.81%, outperforming the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 1.71% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.2% [1] Upcoming Earnings - AT&T is set to announce its earnings on January 28, 2026, with an expected EPS of $0.49, reflecting a 9.26% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $32.76 billion, which represents a 1.42% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Annual Forecast - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $2.06 per share and revenue of $124.96 billion, indicating changes of -8.85% and +2.14% respectively compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for AT&T are crucial for investors, as they reflect the evolving nature of near-term business trends [3] - Positive revisions in estimates suggest a favorable outlook on the company's health and profitability [3] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently ranks AT&T at 3 (Hold) [5] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 0.18% in the past month [5] Valuation Metrics - AT&T's Forward P/E ratio is 12.28, indicating a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 18.57 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.48, which aligns with the average PEG ratio of the Wireless National industry [6] Industry Overview - The Wireless National industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 68, placing it in the top 28% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks [7]