Shares of Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL -7.36%) were falling today in sympathy with a disappointing report from rival Saia, another top less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier.Combined with the report from ODFL the day before, Saia's update is clear evidence that the trade war and weakening economy is already having an effect on the trucking sector.As of 11:58 a.m. ET, Old Dominion stock was down 6.7%, while Saia stock had plunged 29.1%. Trucking demand is weakeningOld Dominion managed to pass muster with its o ...

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULH) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 25, 2025 10:00 AM ET Corporate Participants Tim Phillips - Chief Executive Officer Jude Beres - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Andrew Cox - Stifel Operator Hello and welcome to Universal Logistics Holdings First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation ...

Universal Logistics (ULH) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 25, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Tim Phillips - CEO, President & DirectorJude Beres - CFOAndrew Cox - Research Associate Operator Hello, and welcome to Universal Logistics Holdings First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. During the course of this call, management may make forward looking statements ...

Core Viewpoint - Saia reported a revenue of $787.58 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $810.08 million, resulting in a revenue surprise of -2.78% [1] - The company's EPS was $1.86, significantly lower than the $3.38 reported in the same quarter last year, leading to an EPS surprise of -32.85% against the consensus estimate of $2.77 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Operating Ratio was reported at 91.1%, which is higher than the five-analyst average estimate of 87.6% [4] - LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) Shipments totaled 2,170, slightly below the three-analyst average estimate of 2,219 [4] - LTL Revenue Per Hundredweight (CWT) was $24.97, exceeding the three-analyst average estimate of $24.75 [4] - LTL pounds per shipment were 1,424, surpassing the three-analyst average estimate of 1,405 [4] - LTL Tonnage was reported at 1,545 KTon, compared to the three-analyst average estimate of 1,558.55 KTon [4] - LTL revenue per CWT, excluding fuel surcharge, was $21.12, lower than the average estimate of $21.50 [4] - LTL revenue per shipment, excluding fuel surcharge, was $300.76, compared to the average estimate of $302.52 [4] - LTL revenue per shipment was $355.48, slightly above the two-analyst average estimate of $353.03 [4] Stock Performance - Saia's shares have returned -5.8% over the past month, compared to a -4.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - Paccar (PCAR) is expected to report a significant decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.57 per share, a decrease of 30.8% year-over-year, and revenues of $7.07 billion, down 14.1% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 9.4% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Sales and Revenues- Parts' to be $1.72 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.8% [5]. - 'Sales and Revenues- Truck' is expected to reach $5.32 billion, indicating a decline of 18.7% from the same quarter last year [5]. - 'Sales and Revenues- Other' is forecasted at $17.87 million, a decrease of 1.3% year-over-year [5]. - 'Sales and Revenues- Financial Services' is estimated at $512.73 million, showing a slight increase of 0.7% from the prior year [6]. Delivery Estimates - Total 'Truck deliveries' are projected at 39,856, down from 48,100 in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Truck deliveries - Other' are expected to be 7,206, slightly up from 7,000 year-over-year [6]. - 'Truck deliveries - Europe' is estimated at 10,502, down from 11,600 in the previous year [7]. - 'Truck deliveries - U.S and Canada' are forecasted at 22,148, compared to 29,500 in the same quarter last year [7]. Profit Estimates - 'Pretax Profit- Financial Services' is estimated at $105.99 million, down from $113.90 million year-over-year [8]. - 'Pretax Profit- Parts' is projected to be $420.38 million, compared to $455.80 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Pretax Profit- Truck' is expected to reach $508.81 million, a significant decrease from $881.60 million in the previous year [9]. Stock Performance - Paccar shares have declined by 5.6% over the past month, compared to a 4.8% decline in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [9].

Core Viewpoint - Saia reported quarterly earnings of $1.86 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.77 per share, and down from $3.38 per share a year ago, indicating a significant earnings surprise of -32.85% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $787.58 million for the quarter ended March 2025, which was 2.78% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but an increase from $754.78 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Saia has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once, while it has topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Saia shares have declined approximately 22.3% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -6.8% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.92 on revenues of $874.37 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $14.82 on revenues of $3.47 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The Transportation - Truck industry, to which Saia belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 8% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Saia's stock performance [5][6]

Core Insights - Saia, Inc. reported a decline in diluted earnings per share to $1.86 for Q1 2025, down from $3.38 in Q1 2024, reflecting challenges in the macroeconomic environment and adverse weather conditions [1][14]. Financial Performance - Operating revenue for Q1 2025 was $787.6 million, a 4.3% increase from $754.8 million in Q1 2024 [7]. - Operating income decreased significantly by 40.5% to $70.2 million compared to $117.9 million in the same quarter last year [7]. - The operating ratio worsened to 91.1% from 84.4% year-over-year [7][16]. - Net income for Q1 2025 was $49.8 million, down from $90.7 million in Q1 2024 [14]. Operational Highlights - LTL shipments per workday increased by 4.6%, while LTL tonnage per workday rose by 12.7% [7][16]. - LTL revenue per hundredweight, excluding fuel surcharge revenue, decreased by 5.1%, while LTL revenue per shipment, excluding fuel surcharge revenue, increased by 2.3% [7][16]. Challenges and Outlook - The company faced an uncertain macroeconomic environment, leading to flat shipment growth in March compared to February [2]. - Adverse weather conditions in the southern U.S. impacted operations in key regions [2]. - Despite these challenges, the company remains focused on customer service and support as it navigates through 2025 [3]. Financial Position and Capital Expenditures - As of March 31, 2025, the company had $16.5 million in cash and total debt of $295.5 million, compared to $12.3 million in cash and $84.1 million in debt a year earlier [4]. - Net capital expenditures for Q1 2025 were $202.1 million, down from $456.8 million in the same period of 2024, with an anticipated total of approximately $650 million for the year [5].

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 23, 2025 5:30 PM ET Company Participants Brad Stewart - Treasurer & Senior Vice President, Investor Relations Adam Miller - Chief Executive Officer Andrew Hess - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Jonathan Chappell - Evercore ISI Brian Ossenbeck - JPMorgan Chase Ken Hoexter - Bank of America Tom Wadewitz - UBS Scott Group - Wolfe Research Daniel Imbro - Stephens Chris Wetherbee - Wells Fargo Ravi Sh ...

Core Insights - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings reported a revenue of $1.82 billion for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.1% and an EPS of $0.28, up from $0.12 a year ago, indicating strong earnings growth [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.81 billion by 1.03%, while the EPS surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.25 by 12% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Adjusted Operating Ratio was reported at 94.7%, matching the average estimate from five analysts, while the Operating Ratio was 96.3%, slightly above the average estimate of 95.7% [4] - Revenue excluding truckload and LTL fuel surcharge was $1.63 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $1.60 billion, representing a year-over-year change of 1.3% [4] - LTL Segment revenue, excluding fuel surcharge, was $305.26 million, surpassing the estimated $294.25 million, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 26.7% [4] - Operating revenue for the Intermodal segment was $91.10 million, which was below the estimated $99.98 million but still showed a year-over-year increase of 3.5% [4] - Operating revenue for the LTL segment was $352.40 million, exceeding the average estimate of $337.40 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 24.9% [4] - Truckload segment revenue was $1.05 billion, aligning with the average estimate but showing a year-over-year decline of 4.2% [4] Stock Performance - Knight-Swift's shares have returned -11.9% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a decline of -6.6% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Old Dominion's revenue for Q1 2025 was $1.37 billion, reflecting a 5.8% decrease from the prior year, driven by a 6.3% decrease in LTL tons per day, partially offset by a 2.2% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight [20][22] - The operating ratio increased by 190 basis points to 75.4% due to revenue decline impacting operating expenses, contributing to a 130 basis point increase in overhead costs as a percentage of revenue [23][24] - Cash flow from operations totaled $336.5 million, with capital expenditures at $88.1 million, and $201.1 million utilized for share repurchase [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a 5% decline in LTL shipments per day, but improved platform shipments per hour and P&D shipments per hour [10][20] - The monthly sequential changes in LTL tons per day showed a decrease of 3.8% in January, an increase of 1.9% in February, and an increase of 4.8% in March [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained a market share of approximately 12% to 13% during the downturn, indicating resilience in a challenging environment [45] - The company noted that retail accounts for about 25% to 30% of its business, with expectations for continued growth in this segment due to the shift towards e-commerce [62] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on executing its long-term strategic plan, emphasizing operational efficiency and cost control to protect its operating ratio [9][12] - Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to total approximately $450 million, a reduction of $125 million from the initial plan, reflecting a cautious approach amid economic uncertainty [25][26] - The company believes that investing through the economic cycle is crucial for long-term market share gains [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism based on customer feedback and improving macroeconomic indicators, although uncertainty remains regarding the overall economic recovery [13][14] - The management team highlighted the importance of maintaining superior service and disciplined yield management to support long-term growth [11][18] Other Important Information - The effective tax rate for Q1 2025 was 24.8%, a decrease from 25.6% in Q1 2024, with expectations to remain the same for Q2 2025 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insights on seasonality and the potential impact of ongoing economic conditions? - Management indicated that the typical sequential increase in margins from Q1 to Q2 is based on revenue growth, which is uncertain given current economic conditions [34][36] Question: What is the breakdown of April's revenue per day and any changes in pricing environment? - Management noted that April's revenue per day is impacted by the timing of holidays, with weight per shipment dropping slightly, but they remain committed to their long-term yield management strategy [40][44] Question: How does the company view the impact of retail customers and competition in the LTL market? - Management sees retail as a significant opportunity, especially with the growth of e-commerce, and believes they can leverage their superior service to capture market share [62][65] Question: What are the expectations for capital expenditures and their relation to macroeconomic conditions? - Management clarified that the reduction in capital expenditures is a strategic decision to navigate economic uncertainty while still preparing for future growth [25][52] Question: How does the company plan to maintain pricing power amid competitive pressures? - Management emphasized their consistent approach to yield management and the importance of demonstrating value to customers to justify price increases [80][104]