2025 年 06 月 03 日 投资策略 估值与盈利周观察——5 月第 4 期：小微盘占优 ◼ 上证综合指数走势（近三年） (20%) (12%) (4%) 4% 12% 20% 24/6/3 24/8/14 24/10/25 25/1/5 25/3/18 25/5/29 证券分析师：张冬冬 大类行业估值：原材料、设备制造、工业服务、交通运输、消费、科 技历史估值皆处于 50%以下，金融地产估值高于 50%历史分位。 一级行业估值：各行业估值分化，非银金融、有色金属、通信、电子、 农林牧渔、家电估值处于近一年低位。 电话： E-MAIL：zhangdd@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522040001 证券分析师：吴步升 电话： E-MAIL：wubs@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524110002 市场估值分化，小微盘占优。上周宽基指数估值分化，微盘股表现最 优，创业板指表现最弱。从 PE、PB 偏离度的角度看，食品饮料、农林牧 渔、公用事业等行业估值较为便宜。向前看，本周市场 ERP 与前一周持 平，处于一倍标准差附近。 市场表现：微盘股、国证 2000、稳定表现最好； ...

6月3日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3361.98点，上涨0.43%；深证成指收报10057.17点，上涨0.16%；创业板指收报2002.7点，上涨0.48%。 两市合计成交11414.09亿元，较上一交易日增加22.31亿元。 1. 两市主力资金净流出超90亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出39.38亿元，尾盘净流出8.11亿元，两市全天主力资金净流出91.89亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2025-6-3 | -91.89 | -39. 38 | -8. 11 | -25. 46 | | 2025-5-30 | -352. 62 | -158. 05 | -37.83 | -193. 19 | | 2025-5-29 | 74. 33 | -19. 58 | 23. 89 | 121. 48 | | 2025-5-28 | -185. 39 | -73. 21 | -22. 45 | -57 ...

2025 年 06 月 03 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 存量博弈加剧，景气板块扩散 公募基金权益指数跟踪周报（2025.05.26-2025.05.30） 分析师：王骅 分析师登记编码：S0890522090001 电话：021-20321067 邮箱：wanghua@cnhbstock.com 分析师：宋逸菲 分析师登记编码：S0890524080003 电话：021-20321087 021-20515355 逢低布局机会—公募基金量化遴选类 策略指数跟踪周报（2025.05.25）》 2025-05-27 利、消费轮动显著—公募基金权益指 数 跟 踪 周 报 （ 2025.05.19- 2025.05.23）》2025-05-26 3 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 2025/5/26》2025-05-26 歧阻力或带来逢低布局机会 —公募 基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报 （2025.05.18）》2025-05-20 2025/5/19》2025-05-19 投资要点 权益市场回顾：上周（2025 年 5 月 26 日至 2025 年 5 月 30 日）A 股市场先在 中美 ...

2025 年 06 月 03 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 一周市场回顾 （2025.05.26—2025.05.30） A 股市场： 融资融券： 分析师：马遥识途 资格证书：S1330524050001 联系邮箱：mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话：15201282186 相关研究 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.05.06 — 2025.05.09） 2025.05.12 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.04.28 — 2025.04.30） 2025.05.06 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.04.14 — 2025.04.18） 2025.04.21 市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 0.03%，收于 3347.49 点，深证成指下跌 0.91%，收于 10040.63 点，创业板指下跌 1.40%，收于 1993.19 点。 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别下跌 1.22%、下跌 1.69%、下跌 1.08%，成长风格类板块代表指数中小 100、中证 500、中证 1000 分别下跌 1.55% ...

中信建投：关税冲击再起，内需韧性支撑 关税担忧再起，短期或压制市场情绪，但从边际上看，市场正逐步对关税脱敏。4月工业企业利润改善，"两 新"与消费激励政策兑现程度良好，拉动下游消费增长，同时支撑中游设备制造业，5月PMI制造业整体景气回 暖，出口订单反弹，新动能和消费品表现突出，中国基本面的韧性将为市场提供底部支撑。微盘股交易热度上 升，拥挤度高位，注意交易拥挤风险。 配置上继续看好具备地缘政治隔离、内需驱动和成长弹性特征的"新质内需成长"方向，目前仍以内需循环为 佳，聚焦服务消费、新消费、反关税。行业重点关注：美容护理、农林牧渔、国防军工、有色金属、医药生 物、计算机、社会服务、商贸零售等。 中国银河证券：市场调整空间有限 近期板块轮动速度加快，行情震荡格局尚未改变，市场成交额未出现明显放量，仍以存量博弈为主。外围市场 方面仍然存在较大不确定性。尽管当前中美达成阶段性关税协议，短期缓解了外贸压力，但后续特朗普政府政 策仍然存在反复性。短期内，市场或仍维持震荡格局，关注外部关税的变化与国内政策的落地节奏。在国内一 系列政策支持下，市场调整空间有限。同时，6月18日至19日陆家嘴论坛期间将发布若干重大金融政策， ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the equity market showed differentiation, with the BeiZheng 50 leading the gains and the small - cap value style outperforming. In terms of industries, comprehensive finance led, and national defense and military industry, medicine, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery also performed well. The bond market declined overall, while the convertible bond market rose. The average return of active equity funds in the whole market was - 0.41%; the average return of short - term bond funds was - 0.01%, and that of medium - and long - term bond funds was - 0.03%; the average return of bond funds with equity exposure was negative, and the average return of convertible bond funds was positive [1][2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Market Review - The equity market was differentiated, with the BeiZheng 50 leading and the small - cap value style dominant. Comprehensive finance led the industry performance, and national defense and military industry, medicine, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery also performed well. As of the close this week, the CSI 300 Index closed at 3840 points, down 1.08%; the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3347 points, down 0.03%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10041 points, down 0.91%; the ChiNext Index closed at 1993 points, down 1.4%. In the Hong Kong stock market, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.32%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.46% [6]. - In terms of industry performance, comprehensive finance led with a gain of over 10%. National defense and military industry, medicine, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery performed well, while the automobile, non - ferrous metals, power equipment and new energy sectors declined by over 2% [8]. - As of May 30, 2025, there were 5413 stocks in the A - share market, of which 3228 stocks rose this week. The number of rising stocks on the BeiZheng, ChiNext, Science and Technology Innovation Board, and Main Board was 194, 816, 343, and 1875 respectively [11]. 3.2 Key Fund Tracking 3.2.1 Active Equity - **Fund Performance**: The average return of the whole - market funds in the sample was - 0.41%. Funds with better performance were heavily invested in industries such as medicine, non - ferrous metals, and food and beverages. Among industry - themed funds, medical sector funds had the highest average return, while mid - stream manufacturing and cyclical sector funds lagged [17][20]. - **Position Estimation**: This week, the positions of ordinary stock - type funds increased slightly, while those of partial - stock hybrid funds decreased slightly. Compared with the previous week, the positions of ordinary stock - type funds increased by 0.22 percentage points, and those of partial - stock hybrid funds decreased by 0.60 percentage points. Actively managed partial - stock funds increased their allocation to cyclical and stable sectors and reduced their allocation to financial, consumer, and growth sectors [23]. 3.2.2 Bond - type Funds - **Bond Market Performance**: The bond market declined overall this week. The ChinaBond Total Wealth Index closed at 245.89, down 0.07% from last week; the ChinaBond Treasury Bond Index closed at 246.62, down 0.07% from last week; the ChinaBond Credit Bond Index closed at 223, down 0.01% from last week. The CSI Non - Pure Bond Fund Index closed at 2184.93 on Thursday, down 0.02% from last Thursday. The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 429.31, with a weekly increase of 0.46% and a trading volume of 277.1 billion yuan, an increase of 2.093 billion yuan from last week [29][31]. - **Fund Performance Overview**: The average return of short - term bond funds was - 0.01%, and the median was - 0.01%. The average return of medium - and long - term bond funds was - 0.03%, and the median was - 0.04%. The average return of first - tier bond funds was 0%, and the median was - 0.01%. The average return of second - tier bond funds was - 0.02%, and the median was - 0.01%. The average return of partial - bond hybrid funds was - 0.03%, and the median was - 0.02%. The average return of low - position flexible allocation funds was - 0.07%, and the median was - 0.05%. The average return of convertible bond funds was 0.28%, and the median was 0.22% [34][37][40]. 3.2.3 New - share Subscription Funds - **New - share Overview**: One new stock was listed this week, with a total raised capital of 604 million yuan. There was no break - even on the first day of listing, and the expected total入围 income was 35,400 yuan [41]. - **New - share Subscription Income Calculation**: Assuming weekly participation in offline new - share subscriptions and successful入围, the weekly new - share subscription return sequence of an 800 - million - yuan account was calculated [42]. - **Fund Company New - share Subscription Overview**: Eight fund companies with more than two new - share subscription funds were selected. This week, the new - share subscription return rate of an 800 - million - yuan account was 0.004%. The optimal scale for weekly and annual new - share subscriptions was 400 million yuan [44]. - **New - share Subscription Fund Performance**: The average return of new - share subscription funds in the sample this week was - 0.18% [46]. 3.2.4 FOF Fund Performance - The average returns of low - risk, medium - risk, and high - risk FOF funds in the sample this week were - 0.28%, - 0.88%, and - 1.45% respectively [48]. 3.2.5 QDII Funds - During the statistical period, partial - stock and index QDII funds declined by 0.71% and 0.83% on average respectively, while alternative and bond QDII funds rose by 0.02% and 0.37% on average respectively [2][49]. 3.2.6 REITs Funds - This week, REITs declined by 0.02% on average. The Huaxia TBEA New Energy REIT led the gains, rising 4.26% this week. The Huatai Suzhou Hengtai Rental Housing REIT had the highest liquidity, with a trading volume of 130.2489 million yuan this week [51].

当天，招聘会现场还提供政策咨询、简历AI诊断、面试模拟等服务，并通过线上直播推介优质岗 位。未能到现场的求职者，即日起至6月2日下午6时，可通过广西人才网进入广西国有企业2025年高校 毕业生夏季招聘会专区投递简历。 此次招聘会，企业提供的岗位涵盖人工智能、新能源等新兴产业以及港口水运、科研管理等传统优 势产业，设置工程技术、设备运维、农林牧渔技术等重点行业岗位集群，岗位分布产业结构均衡、专业 覆盖全面，从大专到博士学历均有适配岗位。 为助力求职者与招聘企业精准对接，自治区教育厅组织36所高校2000余名毕业生参会，自治区人力 资源保障厅向离校未就业毕业生发送邀约短信2.2万条，自治区退役军人事务厅开展退役军人就业服务 专项行动，精准推送岗位信息1.6万条，并组织800余名退役军人现场应聘。 5月30日，"国企筑舞台，英才创未来"——广西国有企业2025年高校毕业生夏季招聘会在南宁国际 会展中心举办。活动由自治区国资委、教育厅、人力资源社会保障厅、退役军人事务厅、总工会联合主 办，60余家驻桂央企、区市直国企及区外企业分支机构参加现场招聘，提供岗位2000余个。 今年以来，自治区国资委继续落实国有企业增人增资 ...

盘后数据出炉。 5 月 30 日， A 股市场整体下跌。截至收盘，上证指数报 3347.49 点，下跌 0.47% ；深证成指报 10040.63 点，下跌 0.85% ；创业板指报 1993.19 点，下跌 0.96% ；北证 50 指数下跌 0.51% 。 A 股市场合计成交 11646.09 亿元，较上 一交易日减少 489.92 亿元。 1.A股市场主力资金净流出352.62亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出158.05亿元，尾盘净流出37.83亿元，A股市场全天主力资金净流出352.62亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | | 2025-5-30 | -352. 62 | -158. 05 | -37.83 | -193. 19 | | 2025-5-29 | 74. 33 | -19.58 | 23. 89 | 121. 48 | | 2025-5-28 | -185. 39 | -73.21 | -22. 45 | - ...

国信证券指出，必选消费行业估值性价比占优，食品饮料和农林牧渔的三年/五年四项估值分位均值仅 为15.13%/9.09%和12.67%/9.24%，估值修复潜力仍在。以汽车、机械设备为代表的中游材料&制造行 业，以及以银行为代表的大金融板块，估值已处于历史高位，在缩量博弈和结构性调整行情下，上行空 间有限。 注：指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变 动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩 的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 需关注部分板块短期估值快速抬升，纺织服饰和美容护理当前一年期四项估值分位均值均超过92%，估 值性价比优势明显收敛。本周一级行业多数收跌，TMT和大金融领跌，计算机、通信、电子和非银金 融跌幅较大。新兴产业整体收跌，数字经济跌幅居前，云计算和IDC分别下跌3.63%和3.5%；高端装备 制造也全线走弱，工业母机和集成电路分别下跌3.87%和2.25%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 上证综指ETF（510760）跟踪的是上证指数（0000 ...

市场全天窄幅震荡，三大指数小幅下跌 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3339.93 | -0.02% | -0.76 | | | 深证成指 | 10003.27 | -0.26% | -25.85 | | | 沪深 300 | 3836.24 | -0.08% | -3.16 | | | 创业板 | 1985.38 | -0.31% | -6.26 | | | 科创 50 | 970.64 | -0.23% | -2.28 | | | 北证 50 | 1378.23 | -1.39% | -19.41 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 纺织服饰 | 1.17% | 基础化工 | -0.79% | 医疗废物处理 | 2.66% | 环氧 ...