■年中经济透视 新动能不断壮大 工业经济彰显发展活力 ◎记者 李雁争 智能检测机器人在车间里精准扫描，中国制造的小农机远征国际市场，企业订单排期满满……当下，这 些生动场景，正是中国工业经济新动能强劲迸发的鲜活注脚。 国家统计局数据进一步佐证了这一创新发展趋势：随着数字经济与工业生产深度融合，其带动作用日益 显著。5月，数字产品制造业增加值增长9.1%，远超全部规模以上工业增速。科技创新与产业创新加速 融合，智能化产品需求激增，推动生产快速增长。5月，智能无人飞行器制造、智能车载设备制造增加 值分别实现85.9%、29.5%的高速增长；机器人减速器、工业机器人产量更是分别增长1倍和35.5%。 多元市场拓展发展新空间 面对复杂多变的国际形势，我国工业企业凭借创新实力与完善的产业链优势，在国际市场上不断开拓多 元市场，彰显出强大的出口韧性。 今年以来，伴随宏观政策组合拳精准发力，产业升级步伐持续加快，创新驱动、市场开拓与积极预期共 同绘就工业经济蓬勃发展的新图景。多位专家在接受上海证券报记者采访时表示，当前工业经济展现出 强大韧性与增长潜力，下半年工业增加值有望保持较高增速，为中国经济高质量发展注入持久动能。 ...

稳定币：架构、生态和催化 20250707 摘要 稳定币作为法币的数字投射，其价值共识依赖于锚定法币的信用，如美 元稳定币依赖于美元的国家信用。稳定币产业链包括上游（基础设施、 发行方、资产管理）、中游（支付服务商、交易所、跨链清算机构）和 下游（交易结算、跨境支付等）。 USDT 凭借先发优势占据市场主导地位，但储备透明度受质疑；USDC 合规性高，但成本较高；DAI 通过超额抵押加密资产增强抗风险能力， 但依赖复杂算法。稳定币市场呈现"双超多强"格局，USDT 和 USDC 占据约 85%的市场份额。 稳定币增强了美元作为全球储备货币的地位，并可能通过数字形式进一 步渗透到国际贸易与金融系统中。中国可通过发展数字人民币项目提升 国际影响力，同时需警惕外部冲击带来的金融风险。 稳定币规模扩大且锚定美元等法币，可增加法币交易量需求，巩固其储 备地位。人民币短期内受稳定币影响较小，但中国正加快推进香港作为 试验田，构建人民币稳定币市场生态。 Q&A 从架构设计的角度，如何理解稳定币及其产业链全景？ 稳定币是一类加密货币，其主要特征是锚定主权信用法币，这也是各大经济体 央行高度重视的原因之一。稳定币的稳定性介于加 ...

7月7日，A股市场震荡调整，上证指数尾盘翻红，收涨0.02%报3473.13点。A股全市场超3200只个股上 涨，全日成交1.23万亿元。从板块来看，电力、电网股逆势爆发，稳定币概念股再度活跃。 稳定币的市场热度持续走高，也让多个监管部门和国际金融组织对其发出风险提示。香港特区政府财经 事务及库务局局长许正宇最新发言表示，香港批出的稳定币牌照数会是"个位数"，目标今年内可发出牌 照。 香港批出的稳定币牌照会是个位数 Wind数据显示，7月7日，稳定币指数收盘上涨3.24%，海联金汇、京北方涨停，恒宝股份、拉卡拉等涨 幅居前。 消息面上，据央视新闻报道，香港《稳定币条例》8月生效，香港特区政府财经事务及库务局局长许正 宇7日表示，香港金管局目前就落实条例指引咨询市场，该指引本月内公布，具体内容将涉及反洗钱及 其他相关要求。 许正宇亦表明批出的稳定币牌照数目会是个位数，盼于条例生效后能够收到申请，目标今年内可发出牌 照。至于有金融机构取得牌照后，是否能够发行与人民币挂钩的稳定币，他说若牵涉其他司法权区的货 币，则要与相关机构讨论。 事实上，近期多个监管部门和国际金融组织对稳定币引发的市场热潮进行风险提示。香港金融 ...

■ 香港财经事务及库务局局长许志永近日表示，香港预计将在2025年底之前开始发放稳定币牌照，并 计划在年内发放有限的牌照，预计数量将保持在"个位数"。 ■ 随着稳定币的竞争加剧，香港的监管沙盒和牌照制度最初关注的是与港元挂钩的稳定币，但越来越 多业界人士对与人民币挂钩的离岸稳定币表现出浓厚兴趣，尤其是中国科技巨头如京东和蚂蚁集团 正在推动中国央行批准此类稳定币的发行，进一步加剧了区域内的稳定币竞争。 ■ 香港金融管理局（HKMA）已为稳定币制定了新法规，要求稳定币发行人维持充足的资产储备并隔 离客户资产。 ■ 香港的新稳定币政策通过强制全额储备支持、严格的赎回保证以及金管局的监督树立了全球基准， 巩固了香港作为受监管数字金融中心的地位。 2、《 关税 推动供应链重塑，中国经济增长引擎切换 》摘要 ■ 美国宣布与越南的关税税率将从4月的46%降至20%（转口关税为40%），虽然税率较之前有所降 低，但仍大幅高于历史水平。 ■ 美国对多个亚洲经济体实施了关税暂缓，但关税选项仍未完全排除，特别是制药、汽车和半导体等 关键行业。 ■ 亚洲许多经济体依赖出口和全球供应链，特别是越南、马来西亚、泰国和韩国等国，对关税的变 ...

Group 1 - The 2025 Zhejiang Province Urban Basketball League ("Zhe BA") is the largest grassroots basketball event in Zhejiang, running from July 2025 to February 2026, involving 11 cities and 90 counties [1] - The league consists of two phases: a preliminary round in July to determine 11 champion teams, and a city championship from August 8, 2025, to February 2026, featuring 22 teams [1] - The event aims to boost consumption and integrate sports with cultural and tourism sectors, with local governments actively preparing to leverage the event for economic growth [3][5] Group 2 - Zhejiang media highlights the need for the province to learn from Jiangsu's successful sports events, indicating a potential for transformation in Zhejiang's sports landscape [2] - The "Zhe BA" requires participants to be non-professional players, aiming to engage grassroots talent and enhance community involvement [2] - Local governments are implementing strategies to convert event attendance into economic benefits, including promotional packages and enhancing service consumption [5] Group 3 - The event is seen as a catalyst for increasing retail sales, with Zhejiang's retail sales reaching 1.55 trillion yuan in the first five months of the year, a 5.3% increase [5] - The integration of sports with cultural and tourism initiatives is emphasized as a way to create a festive atmosphere and drive local economies [2][3]

Group 1 - The rapid development of artificial intelligence is reshaping the global economic landscape, creating both opportunities and challenges for businesses [2][7] - The concept of "pulsation speed" is introduced as a key to understanding current business dynamics, emphasizing the need for flexibility and foresight over scale in fast-paced industries [4][5] - The book highlights the transition of supply chain design from a cost center to a strategic asset, showcasing examples from companies like Dell and Chrysler [5][6] Group 2 - The notion that all competitive advantages are temporary challenges traditional strategic theories, as illustrated by Kodak's failure to adapt to digital trends despite having the necessary technology [3][8] - The emergence of AI technologies has accelerated the pace of change, leading to a state of "hyper-competition" where competitive advantages can diminish within days [8][9] - The book provides actionable frameworks for businesses to navigate the evolving landscape, emphasizing the importance of adapting to change rather than relying on static barriers [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing competition for stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong, highlighting the limited availability of these licenses and the intense interest from major financial institutions and tech companies. It emphasizes that while stablecoins are expected to enhance cross-border payment efficiency, their actual impact may be overstated, as they fundamentally extend the functions of fiat currencies rather than disrupt the existing monetary system [1][6]. Group 1: Stablecoin License Competition - The stablecoin license in Hong Kong is scarce and highly sought after, with only a few licenses expected to be granted despite over 40 companies preparing applications [1][2]. - Major players in the market include JD.com, Standard Chartered, and Circle, while many smaller firms face challenges in qualifying for applications [2][3]. - The competition is primarily among China's largest financial institutions and internet companies, indicating a significant interest in stablecoin operations [2][3]. Group 2: Market Expectations and Realities - There is a growing expectation that stablecoins could reconstruct the global monetary system, but experts caution that this view is exaggerated [6]. - Stablecoins are anchored to sovereign currencies and serve as an extension of fiat currency functions, lacking the ability to disrupt the existing financial framework [6][7]. - Research indicates that the actual cost of cross-border payments using stablecoins may approach 1%, contrary to the low-cost narrative often promoted [6][7]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Challenges - Companies exploring stablecoin applications fall into two main categories: those involved in cross-border payments and those focused on issuing and circulating stablecoins [3][5]. - Traditional payment institutions face challenges in adapting to blockchain technology and require "chain abstraction" to lower the barriers for using stablecoin products [4][5]. - The stablecoin business demands interdisciplinary collaboration, necessitating knowledge in finance, technology, and crypto assets [5]. Group 4: Future of Stablecoins - The potential for offshore RMB stablecoins is being discussed, with a focus on leveraging Hong Kong as a testing ground for international financial systems [8]. - The development of a RMB stablecoin could enhance cross-border payment capabilities and support the internationalization of the RMB [8]. - A pragmatic approach is needed to balance the development of stablecoins with actual market demands and avoid overextending beyond current capabilities [8].

Group 1 - The US IPO market has shown a significant recovery in 2023, with over 170 companies completing listings and raising more than $11 billion, a 77% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - A record number of companies saw their stock prices double on the first day of trading, with notable examples including Newsmax, Circle Internet Group, and Airo Group Holdings [3][4] - Historical data indicates that extreme first-day price increases often do not lead to sustained long-term returns, with nearly 90% of companies that doubled on their first day experiencing negative three-year returns [3][4] Group 2 - The current IPO market recovery is driven by both professional traders and retail investors, but companies are increasingly allocating shares to mutual funds that promise long-term holding [4] - The IPO market's recovery is facing challenges, including geopolitical tensions and trade issues, which may affect the sustainability of this trend [5] - There is a shift in global capital markets, with Hong Kong's IPO market significantly increasing, potentially making it the largest listing destination this year, reflecting a change in companies' preferences for listing locations [6]

Core Viewpoint - The "Tanyuan Plan 2024" aims to leverage advanced digital technologies, including AI and terahertz time-domain spectroscopy, to enhance the preservation and restoration of the Kizil Grottoes, a significant cultural heritage site in Xinjiang, China [3][4][11]. Summary by Sections Event Overview - The "Tanyuan Plan 2024" co-creation camp was held in Kuqa, focusing on the identification and AI virtual restoration of the Kizil Grottoes' smoke-damaged murals, aiming to enhance technical effectiveness and explore cultural revitalization [1][4]. Historical Significance - Kizil Grottoes, established from the late 3rd century to the 8th-9th century, are among the earliest and most comprehensive grotto complexes in China, recognized as a national key cultural relic protection unit since 1961 and listed as a UNESCO World Heritage site in 2014 [3][4]. Technological Innovations - The Tanyuan Plan collaborates with various technical partners to utilize terahertz time-domain spectroscopy for non-destructive identification of murals, alongside AI technologies for virtual restoration, showcasing significant potential in cultural heritage preservation [4][20][21]. Expert Contributions - Experts from various institutions, including Zhejiang University and Tencent, are involved in the project, sharing insights on the application of AI and digital technologies in mural restoration and cultural heritage protection [4][15][20]. Collaborative Efforts - The event featured discussions on cross-disciplinary collaboration, emphasizing the integration of digital technologies in the protection and revitalization of Kizil Grottoes, aiming to create a replicable model for similar cultural heritage sites [17][30]. Future Directions - The project aims to establish a complete chain of "virtual restoration - academic research - public dissemination," facilitating the living inheritance of ancient civilizations and exploring new paths for the protection and revitalization of Chinese cultural heritage [30].

券商中国记者注意到，许多基金产品近期频频出现产品净值走势脱离重仓股的现象，显示出当前公募基金在半 年度窗口期的换仓需求大幅提升，尤其是前期热门赛道虹吸公募基金核心仓位的效应在高位逐步减弱，而低位 赛道基金产品近期频现提前结募的现象也反映出资金配置的再平衡。 基金净值异动暗含换仓操作 热门赛道高位虹吸公募核心仓位的效应正逐步减弱。 随着市场进入半年度业绩窗口期，基金经理的换仓换股也加速进行。 显而易见的是，市场分歧依然巨大，淳厚鑫淳基金7月4日的基金净值走势，也脱离了其持仓股的股价表现，该 基金产品在十大重仓股九只下跌的背景下，当日依然有接近2%的净值上涨。考虑到该基金自6月23日至7月4日 期间出现净值连续上涨超7%，这与该基金此前持仓的基金抱团股的走势有较大的反差，或反映出基金经理已 在重仓股中增加了新的弹性来源。 券商中国记者还注意到，随着赛道化行情已进入一个机构筹码集中、交易高度拥挤的市场位置，那些在基金合 同配置范围上有更大灵活性的基金经理对热门赛道的布局冲动正在降温，有不少此类基金产品的净值近期出现 异动，均反映出基金经理对下半年市场的排兵布阵已开始逐步更新。 热门赛道虹吸公募仓位减弱 少数热门赛道 ...