农林牧渔 2025 年 06 月 29 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 农林牧渔 沪深300 相关研究报告 《消费逐步进入淡季，短期鸡价或有 压力—行业点评报告》-2025.6.23 《供给收缩已至支撑猪价上行，618 宠物食品龙头表现亮眼—行业周报》 -2025.6.22 《6 月 USDA 农产品报告上调全球玉 米、水稻、小麦产量，维持全球大豆 产 量 预 期 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》- 2025.6.17 10 2025Q2 猪企利润或仍同比高增，供给收缩宏观催化 共振积极配置 ——行业周报 | 陈雪丽（分析师） | 王高展（联系人） | 朱本伦（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | chenxueli@kysec.cn | wanggaozhan@kysec.cn | zhubenlun@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520030001 | 证书编号：S0790123060055 | 证书编号：S0790124060020 | 周观察：20 ...

Core Viewpoint - The city of Qingdao is focusing on enhancing the development of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and the private economy, aiming to create a supportive business environment and boost confidence among enterprises [1][5]. Group 1: Economic Contributions - In the first five months, the private economy contributed over 60% of the city's investment (62.2%) and tax revenue (60.0%), over 70% of imports and exports (70.8%), over 80% of urban new employment (89.0%), and over 90% of the number of operating entities (98.4%) and enterprises (96.0%) [3]. Group 2: Industry Development - Qingdao has established 3 new provincial-level characteristic industrial clusters, totaling 6 national-level characteristic industrial clusters, ranking first in the province and tied for first among national plan-separated cities [3]. - The city ranks 8th among sub-provincial cities in the 2024 national SME development environment assessment, with the market environment index ranking 3rd nationally, an improvement of 2 positions from the previous year [3]. Group 3: Initiatives and Actions - A special working group for the development of the private economy (SMEs) has been established [7]. - Various events and initiatives have been launched, including media exchange meetings, training for foreign trade enterprises, and campaigns to promote the Private Economy Promotion Law [8][9][10]. - The city is implementing a "service-oriented law enforcement" model to ensure fair and civilized law enforcement while supporting enterprise development [10].

Core Insights - The Cameroon Small and Medium Enterprises Bank (BC-PME) has committed to support local dairy and fish producers through a partnership with the Ministry of Fisheries, Livestock, and Animal Industries under the Agricultural and Fisheries Import Substitution Comprehensive Program (PIISA) [1] - The total budget for this initiative is estimated at 680 billion CFA francs (approximately $1.13 billion) covering the period from 2024 to 2026, aiming to enhance local production and reduce imports of various agricultural products [1] - In 2023, Cameroon imported 234,572 tons of fish valued at 182.5 billion CFA francs (approximately $300 million), with a 3% decrease in import volume compared to the previous year [1] - Cameroon spent over 35 billion CFA francs (approximately $0.06 billion) on importing 17,217 tons of milk powder and condensed milk, with a year-on-year increase of 2 billion CFA francs (approximately $0.03 billion) [2] Financial Implications - The financing will be facilitated through specialized banking products aimed at projects related to the production and processing of dairy and fish [1] - The initiative is expected to significantly impact the trade deficit, where the imported products accounted for 44% to 71% of the trade deficit over the past decade [1] Market Context - The program targets a reduction in imports of rice, corn, wheat, palm oil, fish, dairy, and other grains, which are critical to improving local agricultural output [1] - The current local fish production stands at 230,000 tons, indicating a need for increased domestic production to meet local demand and reduce reliance on imports [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company, Fujian Aonong Biological Technology Group Co., Ltd., has announced its guarantee situation, detailing the amounts and conditions under which it provides guarantees to its subsidiaries and industry partners. Group 1: Guarantee Overview - The company plans to provide guarantees totaling up to 800 million yuan to industry chain partners, including suppliers and cooperative farmers [1] - The maximum guarantee amount for subsidiaries with an asset-liability ratio below 70% is set at 1.5 billion yuan, while for those above 70%, it is also 1.5 billion yuan [1] - The company’s wholly-owned and holding subsidiaries can provide guarantees of up to 500 million yuan for other subsidiaries with an asset-liability ratio below 70% and 1 billion yuan for those above 70% [1] Group 2: Progress on Guarantees - As of May 31, 2025, the total guarantee balance provided to 185 industry chain partners is 146.4893 million yuan [2] - The top five guarantees provided to cooperative farmers are as follows: - First: 5 million yuan, with a one-year term and no overdue payments - Second: 5 million yuan, with a one-year term and overdue payments - Third: 5 million yuan, with a one-year term and overdue payments - Fourth: 4 million yuan, with a one-year term and no overdue payments - Fifth: 3.8 million yuan, with a one-year term and overdue payments [2] Group 3: Total Guarantee Amounts - As of May 31, 2025, the total external guarantees provided by the company and its wholly-owned and holding subsidiaries amount to 1.225109 billion yuan, which is 47.74% of the company's latest audited net assets [4] - The guarantees provided to wholly-owned and holding subsidiaries total 1.4762398 billion yuan, representing 57.53% of the company's latest audited net assets [4] - The guarantees among subsidiaries amount to 680.4983 million yuan, accounting for 26.52% of the company's latest audited net assets [4]

山东农担以战略眼光聚焦优势产区和特色集群，加快对畜牧优势产业提档增效，驱动产业从"量的积累"向"质的飞跃"华丽转身。截至目前，对沿黄肉牛、 鲁北肉羊、烟台生猪、临沂肉鸡、高青黑牛等多个产业集群支持担保贷款规模累计均已超过10亿元，有力推动各地做好畜牧产业"土特产"文章。 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 胡晓娟 通讯员 肖玉璇 在巨野县某禽业公司的鸡舍内，八层全自动笼养设备高效运转，王厂长看着崭新的生产线感慨："农担贷款就是一场及时雨，帮我渡过了难关！"她口中 的"及时雨"，正是山东省农业发展信贷担保有限责任公司（以下简称"山东农担"）的创新产品——"鲁担农牧贷"。截至目前，该产品已累计为7.3万户畜牧 经营主体提供担保贷款449亿元，为山东省畜牧业高质量发展注入了源源不断的金融"活水"，成为激活乡村产业振兴的重要引擎。在2025"好品金融"活动 中，"鲁担农牧贷"脱颖而出，成功获评"普惠金融"典型产品。 畜牧业是关乎国计民生的重要产业，肉蛋奶是千家万户"菜篮子"的核心担当。山东农担立足政策性定位，以"鲁担农牧贷"为支点，撬动金融资源向畜牧关 键领域深度汇聚。在支持生猪养殖方面，将能繁母猪、育肥猪授信标准分别提升至3220 ...

农产品日报 | 2025-06-27 养殖端控量，猪价震荡运行 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘生猪 2509合约14040元/吨，较前交易日变动+40.00元/吨，幅度+0.29%。现货方面，河南地区 外三元生猪价格14.83元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.09元/公斤，现货基差 LH09+790，较前交易日变动+50；江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 15.11元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.10元/公斤，现货基差LH09+1070，较前交易日变动+60；四 川地区外三元生猪价格13.76元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.09元/公斤，现货基差LH09-280，较前交易日变动+50。 据农业农村部监测，6月26日"农产品批发价格200指数"为112.40，比昨天下降0.17个点，"菜篮子"产品批发价格指 数为112.38，比昨天下降0.19个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.31元/公斤，比昨天上升0.4%；牛肉63.42 元/公斤，比昨天下降0.3%；羊肉59.34元/公斤，比昨天下降0.6%；鸡蛋7.28元/公斤，比昨天下降0.1%；白条鸡17.42 元/公斤，比昨天上升2.5%。 市场分析 ...

近期生猪市场呈现出明显的供需格局变化。6月初以来，生猪期货价格跟随现货价格同步上涨，主力合约较前期低点反弹超过5%。市场供应阶段性收紧成为 推动价格上行的主要因素。 出栏体重有所下降，市场实现了去库存。此轮去库过程中，生猪价格下方支撑较强。市场并没有出现过度恐慌，对价格反弹充满信心。当前逆周期调节政策 陆续出炉，相关部门进行了收储操作。多重因素共同作用推升了猪价。 前期二育栏舍利用率有所下降。上周末开始市场补栏情绪再起，对价格形成了一定的支撑。受2月仔猪腹泻疫情影响，7月至8月商品猪出栏量或有一定下 滑。市场看多情绪升温。 养殖户低价惜售情绪浓厚，对8月至9月旺季行情抱有乐观预期。大猪供应偏紧状况持续，肥标价差偏高吸引养殖户主动进行二次育肥。冻品入库量增多也在 一定程度上支撑了猪价走势。散户二次育肥意愿和惜售情绪均较强，未与集团场出栏策略保持一致。 市场预计7月下旬至8月的肥猪价格会上涨。散户前期从7.2元至7.8元每斤补栏的二次育肥猪出栏利润太低。养殖户希望等到有利润时再出栏。5月底6月初市 场确实加快了出栏节奏，一定程度上缓解了前期压栏带来的压力。 出栏节奏调整推动价格反弹 15公斤仔猪价格由4月中旬的6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a rabbit breeding base and a rural revitalization research center in Jiyang District, Jinan City, highlights the integration of talent and industry to drive rural revitalization efforts [1][2]. Group 1: Collaboration and Support - Jiyang District has partnered with Shandong University to leverage its resources and expertise, forming expert teams to assess costs and market prospects for local agricultural development [1]. - The collaboration has resulted in the establishment of the "Shandong University Rural Revitalization Research Center Workstation" in Shengjia Village, showcasing practical examples of talent-driven rural revitalization [1]. Group 2: Talent Acquisition and Development - The district is addressing the structural shortage of livestock talent by introducing three professionals, including the Vice President of the China Animal Husbandry Association Rabbit Branch, to enhance technical support in breeding and product development [2]. - New City Town is focusing on building a diverse talent pool, including agricultural science and technology professionals, through training sessions and technical guidance, benefiting over 900 local residents [2]. Group 3: Future Plans and Goals - With the operationalization of the rabbit breeding base and the university workstation, a talent matrix involving livestock experts, university teams, and leading enterprises is being formed [2]. - The district aims to continue prioritizing talent development to empower the industrial chain, accelerating progress in rural revitalization initiatives [2].

Group 1 - The establishment of the Shandong Academy of Agricultural Sciences (Shanghe) vegetable experimental demonstration base marks the first of its kind in Shandong Province [1][3] - The base aims to promote diversified planting structures in the Shanghe Town Jinsha Green Port modern high-efficiency agricultural industrial park, enhancing the quality and yield of fruits and vegetables [5] - The modern high-efficiency agricultural park covers over 3,500 acres and includes 168 high-standard greenhouses, focusing on soil-less cultivation of tomatoes with an annual production nearing 1,000 tons [4] Group 2 - The initiative is part of Shanghe Town's strategy to prioritize industrial development, fostering a refined fruit and vegetable base and exploring smart agriculture in collaboration with Langchao Group [4] - The project also includes the construction of a standardized breeding farm and two slaughtering points to enhance the livestock industry's green transformation and increase product value [4] - The establishment of a 10,000-acre corn and wheat seed breeding base aims to ensure seed purity and quality, positioning the region as an innovation hub for seed industry [4]

农产品日报 | 2025-06-26 二育滚动入场，猪价偏强震荡 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘生猪 2509合约14000元/吨，较前交易日变动+60.00元/吨，幅度+0.43%。现货方面，河南地区 外三元生猪价格14.74元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.04元/公斤，现货基差 LH09+740，较前交易日变动-20；江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 15.01元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.06元/公斤，现货基差LH09+1010，较前交易日变动+0；四川 地区外三元生猪价格13.67元/公斤，较前交易日变动-0.08元/公斤，现货基差LH09-330，较前交易日变动-140。 据农业农村部监测，6月25日"农产品批发价格200指数"为112.57，比昨天下降0.15个点，"菜篮子"产品批发价格指 数为112.57，比昨天下降0.17个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.22元/公斤，比昨天下降0.3%；牛肉63.58 元/公斤，比昨天下降0.2%；羊肉59.67元/公斤，与昨天持平；鸡蛋7.29元/公斤，比昨天下降0.5%；白条鸡16.99元/ 公斤，比昨天下降1.0%。 市场分析 综合来 ...