行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 6 日 研究员：王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | | 收盘价（元/吨 美分/磅） | 涨跌 | ...

报告内容摘要: [Table_Summary] 白糖：由于糖料种植的经济效益显著，加上国家政策和制糖企业的积极支 持，农民的种植积极性有所提升，导致糖料种植面积稳步增长。然而，广西 早期的干旱天气对宿根甘蔗的出苗和新植甘蔗的种植产生了不利影响，从而 限制了食糖产量的增长。食糖消费量预期保持平稳或略有增加，食糖的供需 缺口基本稳定，进口量预期维持在 500 万吨不变。短期观望为主 软商品日报 走势评级： 白糖——震荡 棉花——震荡 棉花：新疆的棉花目标价格补贴政策保持稳定，棉农的种植积极性较高， 种植面积略有增加；而内地棉区由于比较效益低和机械化推广难度大等因 素，种植面积持续下降。在棉花播种和出苗期间，主要产区的气候条件良好， 预计单产为每公顷 2172 公斤（每亩 144.8 公斤），与去年持平。棉花总产 量预计为 625 万吨，比去年增加 1.4%。受美国过度征收关税的影响，棉花 消费预期偏弱，但未来仍存在一定的不确定性。预计新年度的棉花消费量为 740 万吨，较去年小幅减少 20 万吨，进口量也下调至 140 万吨，减少 10 万吨。短期观望。 商品研究 | 走势评级: | 白糖 | 震荡 | | -- ...

Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 6 月 6 日星期五 早盘提示 分品种观点详述 评级预测说明："+"表示：当日收盘价>上日收盘价；"-"表示：当日收盘价<上日收盘价。 数字代表当日涨跌幅度范围（以主力合约收盘价计算）。0.5 表示：0≤当日涨跌幅<0.5%； 1 表示：0.5%≤当日涨跌幅<1%；2 表示：1%≤当日涨跌幅<2%；3 表示：2%≤当日涨跌幅<3%； 4 表示：3%≤当日涨跌幅<4%；5 表示：4%≤当日涨跌幅。评级仅供参考，不构成任何投资建 议。 研究员：李方磊 从业资格：F03104461 交易咨询资格：Z0021311 联系方式：19339940612 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 【行情复盘】 | 昨日 ...

Commercial Aerospace - Globalstar is expanding its second-generation direct-to-device (D2D) satellite constellation to provide network coverage for Apple devices, with Apple set to pay up to $1.1 billion to enhance iPhone's non-ground network connectivity [1] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid development in reusable rockets and low-orbit satellite constellations, marking a dual turning point for China's commercial aerospace industry [1] - The low-orbit satellite launch acceleration is driving a comprehensive upgrade of the "satellite manufacturing-launch-application" chain, with low-orbit communication satellites being a significant future trend [1] Military Industry - The China Weaponry Equipment Group has received approval for a restructuring that will separate its automotive business into an independent central enterprise, which will not significantly impact the normal operations of related companies [2] - Analysts expect military industry orders to see a turning point by 2025, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance or reducing costs [2] - The restructuring is anticipated to lower the asset-liability ratio of the weaponry group to below 50%, enhancing financing cost advantages and increasing the expectation of asset securitization [2] Foldable Phones - Huawei's new tri-fold smartphone is expected to debut in the second half of the year, featuring an upgraded processor and imaging capabilities, while the first-generation model has seen strong sales [3] - The MateXT tri-fold phone, released in September 2024, achieved significant sales success, with all models selling out immediately and second-hand prices reaching up to 68,000 yuan [3] - The new tri-fold model is expected to generate renewed interest in the market, benefiting companies within the supply chain [3] Metformin - A study from the University of California, San Diego, found that women with type 2 diabetes taking metformin have a 30% higher chance of living to 90 years or older compared to those using sulfonylureas [4] - Metformin is being recognized for its potential anti-aging properties, with mechanisms including improved insulin sensitivity and cellular repair [4] Data Elements - The National Data Bureau announced the establishment of 10 national data element comprehensive pilot zones in various regions to support the development of data markets and enhance the integration of the digital and real economies [5] - The pilot zones aim to explore data value release paths and stimulate market growth, potentially creating an additional 100 trillion yuan in asset scale once data assets are recognized [5]

Core Viewpoint - The major shareholder of Baolingbao, Ningbo Baopu Futong Asset Management Center, plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% through block trading and centralized bidding from June 24 to September 23, 2023, despite the company's recent performance recovery [2][7]. Shareholder Reduction - Baolingbao announced that Baopu Futong will reduce its holdings by no more than 3% of the total shares, with a maximum of 2% (7.3953 million shares) through block trading and 1% (3.6977 million shares) through centralized bidding [2][7]. - Since 2020, Baolingbao has disclosed seven announcements regarding Baopu Futong's share reductions, with six plans not executed. The only successful reduction was in July 2020, where 3.85% was reduced from a planned 5.4% [2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Baolingbao's revenue was approximately 2.402 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.84% year-on-year, primarily due to adjustments in product structure and marketing strategies [4]. - The core business segments, including prebiotics, dietary fiber, and sugar-reducing sweeteners, showed significant recovery, with revenues of approximately 335 million yuan (up 16.02%), 238 million yuan (up 14.52%), and 516 million yuan (up 29.73%) respectively [4]. - In Q1 2025, Baolingbao achieved a revenue of approximately 685 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 50.36 million yuan, up 117.35% [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The European market for Baolingbao's erythritol products has seen an increase in both volume and price following the EU's anti-dumping investigation [5]. - The company is focusing on high-end products such as prebiotics, dietary fiber, and sugar-reducing sweeteners, adopting a business model that emphasizes small-batch, high-value, and differentiated orders [8]. Management Changes - Baolingbao has experienced frequent changes in its executive team, with several high-level resignations in early 2023. Analysts suggest that while some departures may be due to personal reasons, others could relate to operational adjustments [9]. - The competitive landscape for sugar-reducing sweeteners includes major players like Jinhe Industrial and Sanyuan Biological, which have advantages in product development and market channels [9][10]. R&D and Future Outlook - Baolingbao is increasing its investment in allulose, with a technical transformation project set to produce over 5,000 tons annually, and a second-phase expansion project planned for 20,000 tons [10]. - Despite the growth in the sugar-reducing sweetener market, industry analysts express caution regarding the pace of product innovation and the competitive gap between Baolingbao and leading companies [10].

期货盯盘神器专属文章 亚洲糖周报：泰国精炼糖市场价格有何波动？ 相关链接 ...

扎实推动崇左经济社会高质量发展 6月4日，自治区党委书记、自治区人大常委会主任陈刚到崇左市江州区、龙州县调研，强调要深入 贯彻落实习近平总书记关于广西工作论述的重要要求，坚持实干为要、创新为魂，用业绩说话、让人民 评价，统筹建好政治生态、自然生态"两个生态"，最大限度减少蓝天立涉嫌严重违纪违法对经济社会发 展的影响，坚定发展信心、排除一切干扰，立足资源禀赋，发挥比较优势，做强特色产业，努力实现上 半年"双过半"目标，坚定实现全年经济社会发展目标任务，扎实推动崇左经济社会高质量发展。 位于崇左高新技术产业开发区的书香门地中国木业生态城项目是全区首条量产投产的实木复合生产 线，产品远销越南等东南亚市场。陈刚进展厅、看车间、问产品，对企业"上海研发＋崇左生产＋东盟 销售"发展模式给予肯定，勉励企业加大在广西投资布局力度，把广西非遗融入产品设计生产，进一步 提升产品品质，更好拓展东南亚市场。随后，陈刚来到崇左理文纸浆制品有限公司，了解到项目是全产 业基地，采用国际一流的生产工艺和设备，配套最先进的环保处理设施，带动一批关联企业配套发展， 上下游产业用工2万多人，给予充分肯定，勉励企业发挥行业龙头优势，带动更多产业链上 ...

策略早餐 主要品种策略早餐 （2025.06.03） 养殖、畜牧及软商品板块 品种：生猪 核心逻辑： 1、供应方面，截至 2025 年 4 月，据农业农村部数据，全国能繁母猪存栏量为 4038 万头，环比持平，同比增长 1.3%。这一数据反映出自 2024 年 4 月以来，产能 累计上升 1.3%，处于较为平稳的格局，暂未出现产能下滑的情况。而根据第三方机 构钢联数据及涌益咨询的数据显示，2025 年 4 月能繁母猪存栏量环比小幅上升，尽 管第三方机构与官方数据在统计口径上存在一定的差异，但环比上涨在一定程度上 体现了市场上暂无去产能的驱动，甚至部分企业开始缓慢恢复产能。5 月份看来， 生猪市场情绪支撑因素仍存，叠加仔猪价格暂未明显下跌，预计上有能繁母猪存栏 量或仍然稳中有增。根据产能数据推算的生猪供应量仍然充足，暂未看到供应量下 降的格局。 2、需求方面，从投机性需求来看，据钢联数据统计，5 月 23 日当周国内重点 屠宰企业的冻品库容率为 17.28%，与上一周持平，处于历史低位。当前由于需求表 现疲软，冻品市场需求暂未改善，出库维持缓慢节奏。而部分屠宰企业现品销售困 难，存在被动分割入库的情况，综合导致 ...

文字早评 2025/06/03 星期二 宏观金融类 股指 前一交易日沪指-0.47%，创指-0.96%，科创 50-0.94%，北证 50-0.51%，上证 50-0.45%，沪深 300-0.48%， 中证 500-0.85%，中证 1000-1.03%，中证 2000-1.75%，万得微盘-1.16%。两市合计成交 11392 亿，较上 一日-462 亿。 宏观消息面： 1、美方称中方违反中美日内瓦经贸会谈共识，中国商务部新闻发言人：中方坚决拒绝无理指责。 2、中国 5 月官方制造业 PMI 回升至 49.5，符合预期。 3、工信部：加大汽车行业"内卷式"竞争整治力度。中汽协：无序"价格战"加剧恶性竞争，挤压企 业利润空间，影响产品质量和售后服务保障。 4、特朗普宣布自周三起上调钢铝关税一倍至 50%。欧盟：表示遗憾，准备反击美国。 资金面：融资额-11.29 亿；隔夜 Shibor 利率+6.00bp 至 1.4710%，流动性较为宽松；3 年期企业债 AA- 级别利率-1.23bp 至 3.0414%，十年期国债利率-1.90bp 至 1.6762%，信用利差+0.67bp 至 137bp；美国 10 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangxi is the largest sugar production area in China, producing approximately 6 million tons annually, accounting for over 60% of the national output. The local government aims to enhance the integration of futures and spot markets to promote the sugar industry and regional economic development [1] Group 1: Market Background - In 2024, domestic sugar prices fluctuated, with the average sales price for sugar enterprises dropping from 6,561 yuan/ton to 6,075 yuan/ton. The total sugar production for the 2024/2025 season is expected to be 11.15 million tons, an increase of about 1.19 million tons from the previous season [2] - The sugar market is influenced by various factors, including low carryover stocks and tight processing sugar sources, leading to strong spot prices initially. However, international market changes have introduced uncertainties, with expectations of increased domestic sugar imports and production, posing risks to future sugar prices [2] Group 2: Implementation Process - In January 2025, a major sugar enterprise in Guangxi adopted a hybrid trading model to lock in production profits amid concerns of falling sugar prices. This model integrated off-market options into their spot trading [3] Group 3: Business Model - The enterprise signed a spot purchase contract with a trading company, embedding structured off-market options into the contract while monitoring futures contract closing prices to confirm transaction volumes [4] Group 4: Pricing Scheme - The contract activates when the Zhengzhou sugar 2505 contract exceeds 5,920 yuan/ton, with a validity of 70 days and a base transaction volume of 50 tons per day. The pricing mechanism allows for premium sales compared to market prices, providing a safety margin against price drops [5] Group 5: Effectiveness Evaluation - The enterprise successfully achieved premium sales, with the 2505 contract price ranging from 5,821 to 6,198 yuan/ton, and a final closing price of 6,170 yuan/ton. The average sales price was approximately 50 yuan/ton higher than the market price during the same period [6] Group 6: Risk Management and Training - The hybrid trading model simplifies the use of options for sugar enterprises, addressing challenges such as lack of expertise and management constraints. It enhances revenue while providing a safety margin against price risks [8] - Training sessions and workshops have been conducted to improve risk management awareness among enterprises, covering market trends, price volatility, and risk assessment methods [11] Group 7: Market Development - The introduction of short-term options in February 2023 is expected to significantly boost hybrid trading, allowing for better alignment with enterprises' short-term turnover needs and reducing costs associated with traditional options [12]