甲醇聚烯烃早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/06/27 甲 醇 日期 动力煤期 货 江苏现货 华南现货 鲁南折盘 面 西南折盘面 河北折盘 面 西北折盘 面 CFR中国 CFR东南 亚 进口利润 主力基差 盘面MTO 利润 2025/06/2 0 801 2750 2665 2525 2700 2480 2600 296 346 195 210 -1445 2025/06/2 3 801 2735 2643 2543 2700 2480 2633 295 346 171 210 -1350 2025/06/2 4 801 2635 2510 2510 2600 2480 2615 285 346 160 240 -1163 2025/06/2 5 801 2640 2518 2480 2600 2470 2590 285 346 160 250 -1189 2025/06/2 6 801 2640 2518 2480 2600 2460 2580 285 346 160 340 -1243 日度变化 0 0 0 0 0 -10 -10 0 0 0 90 -54 观点 高进口开始兑现，累库开始发生，盘面低估值， ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 PVC期货早报 2025年6月27日 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 供给端来看，据隆众统计，2025年5月PVC产量为201.9692万吨，环比增加3.31%；本周样本企业产能利用 率为78.62%，环比减少0.01个百分点；电石法企业产量34.337万吨，环比减少1.63%,乙烯法企业产量 11.889万吨，环比增加1.68%；本周供给压力有所减少；下周预计检修有所减少，预计排产少量增加。 需求端来看，下游整体开工率为44.31%，环比减少1.48个百分点，低于历史平均水平；下游型材开工率 为36.25%，环比减少1.3个百分点，低于历史平均水平；下游管材开工率为40.13%，环比减少2.81个百分 点，低于历史平均水平 ...

为契合"全国低碳日"主题，各地化工企业也积极行动，开展了形式多样的活动。 争做"碳"路先锋 共筑绿动未来 6月25日"全国低碳日"到来之际，生态环境部、浙江省人民政府联合在杭州举办了2025年"全国低碳 日"主场活动。与此同时，国内多家化工企业也以多种形式践行"碳路先锋、绿动未来"的"全国低碳 日"主题。 在当日举办的2025年"全国低碳日"主场活动上，生态环境部发布《产品碳足迹管理体系建设进展报告 (2025)》(下称《报告》)。这是中国首次发布产品碳足迹管理体系建设进展报告。《报告》显示，我国 碳足迹管理体系建设开局良好，"两大基石"和"三项制度"初步建立。下一步，生态环境部将按照"急用 先行"原则，加快填补重点产品碳足迹核算标准空白，为推进我国产品碳足迹管理体系建设提供标准化 支撑。 在6月25日"全国低碳日"主场活动上，生态环境部发布了2025年绿色低碳典型案例名单，河南心连心化 学工业集团股份有限公司(下称心连心公司)凭借全链条绿色低碳创新实践，成为全国化肥行业及河南省 唯一入选企业，其绿色低碳经验还被列为国家级推广范本。 心连心公司董事长刘兴旭表示，作为行业"碳路先锋"，该公司从源头控碳到末端固碳 ...

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China has published a patent application titled "A Succinic Acid Composition and Its Preparation Method and Application" by Jinfa Technology Co., Ltd., Zhuhai Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd., and Liaoning Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd. The application date is March 2025 [1] - The patent describes a succinic acid composition that includes a combination of succinic acid and fumaric acid, with fumaric acid content ranging from 10 to 200 ppm. This composition is derived from biomass and is designed to enhance storage stability, maintaining high purity and low impurity levels over time [1] - The succinic acid composition is intended for polyester synthesis, effectively inhibiting side reactions during polymerization, thereby improving polymerization efficiency and yielding high-quality polyester products [1] Group 2 - Jinfa Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 1993 in Guangzhou, primarily engaged in the rubber and plastic products industry, with a registered capital of 2.636 billion RMB. The company has invested in 35 enterprises and participated in 122 bidding projects, holding 279 trademark records and 3,532 patent records [2] - Zhuhai Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 in Zhuhai, focusing on chemical fiber manufacturing, with a registered capital of 316.3 million RMB. The company has invested in 3 enterprises and participated in 58 bidding projects, holding 7 trademark records and 264 patent records [2] - Liaoning Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd. was established in 2022 in Panjin, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of chemical raw materials and products, with a registered capital of 500 million RMB. The company has participated in 21 bidding projects, holding 1 trademark record and 65 patent records [2]

Core Viewpoint - The financial statements of Tongyu New Materials (Guangdong) Co., Ltd. have been reviewed, and no significant misstatements were identified, indicating that the financial reports fairly reflect the company's financial position as of March 31, 2025 [2][3]. Company Overview - Tongyu New Materials (Guangdong) Co., Ltd. was established through the overall restructuring of Guangdong Tongyu New Materials Co., Ltd. The registered capital is RMB 30 million, with the main business activities including research, production, and sales of electronic materials, engineering plastics, synthetic resins, and chemical products [3][5]. Financial Reporting Basis - The financial statements are prepared on a going concern basis, in accordance with the relevant accounting standards and guidelines, reflecting the company's financial status, operating results, changes in equity, and cash flows [5][6]. Important Accounting Policies - The company adheres to significant accounting policies and estimates as per the enterprise accounting standards, ensuring that the financial statements provide a true and complete representation of the company's financial condition and results [5][6]. Consolidation Scope - The consolidation scope is determined based on control, including subsidiaries controlled by the company and structured entities, ensuring that the financial statements reflect the entire economic entity [7][8]. Financial Instruments - Financial instruments are recognized when the company becomes a party to the financial contract, with subsequent measurement based on their classification, including those measured at amortized cost and fair value [26][28]. Credit Risk Assessment - The company assesses credit risk based on the expected credit loss model, categorizing financial instruments into stages to determine the appropriate loss provisions [29][30].

Core Points - The company is established as a joint-stock limited company in accordance with the Company Law of the People's Republic of China and other relevant regulations [3][4] - The company aims to protect the legal rights of shareholders and creditors while regulating its organization and behavior [3][4] - The registered capital of the company is specified but not filled in the document [3][4] - The company is committed to innovation, sharing, and win-win cooperation as its business purpose [5] Chapter Summaries General Principles - The company is registered in Zhaoqing City and has obtained a business license [3] - The company will maintain perpetual existence as a joint-stock limited company [4] - The chairman serves as the legal representative of the company [4] - The company’s assets are divided into equal shares, and shareholders are liable only to the extent of their subscribed shares [4] Business Objectives and Scope - The business scope includes research, manufacturing, and sales of electronic materials, engineering plastics, synthetic resins, and chemical products, excluding hazardous chemicals [5] Shares - The company issues shares in the form of stocks, with each share having a face value of 1 RMB [6][20] - The total number of shares is not specified in the document [6] - The company can increase its registered capital through various methods, including public and private offerings [22] Shareholder Rights and Responsibilities - Shareholders have rights to dividends, attend meetings, supervise operations, and transfer shares [34] - Shareholders must comply with laws and the company’s articles of association [39] - Major shareholders must report any pledge of shares to the company [29] Shareholder Meetings - The company must hold an annual general meeting within six months after the end of the fiscal year [44] - Shareholder meetings can be called by the board of directors or by shareholders holding more than 10% of the shares [50] - The notice for shareholder meetings must include details such as time, place, and agenda [57] Voting and Resolutions - Ordinary resolutions require a majority vote, while special resolutions require a two-thirds majority [29] - Voting can be conducted in person or through proxies, and each share carries one vote [30] - The results of the voting must be announced and documented [92]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the completion of a share buyback plan by a major shareholder, Luzhou Industrial Development Investment Group Co., Ltd., which has increased its stake in Sichuan Lutianhua Co., Ltd. to enhance investor confidence and support the company's stable development [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Information - The major shareholder, Luzhou Industrial Development Investment Group Co., Ltd., held 193,464,610 shares, representing approximately 12.34% of the total share capital before the buyback [1]. - After the buyback, the total shares held by Luzhou Development Group increased to 232,664,610, raising its ownership percentage to 14.84% [4]. Group 2: Buyback Plan Details - The buyback plan aimed to acquire shares worth between 150 million RMB and 260 million RMB, with a maximum purchase price of 6.8 RMB per share [2]. - The buyback was executed over a six-month period starting from December 26, 2024, and concluded successfully with a total acquisition of 39,200,000 shares at an average price of approximately 4.82 RMB per share [3][4]. Group 3: Compliance and Commitments - Luzhou Development Group committed to not reducing its shareholding during the buyback period and adhered to all relevant regulations and disclosure obligations [3][4]. - The buyback did not trigger a mandatory tender offer and did not alter the company's control structure or compliance with listing requirements [4].

Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Color Masterbatch Co., Ltd. has approved the use of idle raised funds and self-owned funds for cash management, with a total limit of up to 2.5 billion yuan for idle raised funds and 6 billion yuan for self-owned funds, ensuring that it does not affect the investment plans of the raised funds [1][2]. Group 1: Cash Management Details - The company has initiated cash management using idle raised funds and self-owned funds, with specific products and amounts detailed in the announcement [2][3]. - The cash management includes structured deposits with various banks, such as Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Citic Bank, with expected annualized returns ranging from 0.65% to 2.35% [3][5]. Group 2: Financial Impact and Governance - The cash management strategy is designed to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization without impacting the normal operation of the company's investment projects or daily business activities [4][6]. - The company maintains a strict governance framework to ensure that the use of funds complies with regulations and does not alter the intended use of raised funds [4][7].

Core Viewpoint - Blue Star Adisseo Co., Ltd. is seeking to raise funds through a specific stock issuance, with a total investment of 6.857 billion yuan for four projects and working capital, aiming for an internal rate of return between 13.57% and 25% [2][3]. Fundraising and Investment Projects - The total investment for the fundraising projects is 6.857 billion yuan, with a maximum of 3 billion yuan to be raised, allocated to four projects and 900 million yuan for working capital [2]. - The construction period for the four projects ranges from 15 to 26 months, with expected benefits from cost reductions and additional income from biogas [2]. Project Details - The first project is a solid methionine production project with an investment of approximately 493.23 million yuan, accounting for 100% of the total investment for this project [3][4]. - The second project involves a special feed additive with a total investment of 304.97 million yuan, with 60 million yuan sourced from the fundraising [11]. - The third project focuses on acrylic wastewater treatment and water reuse, with a total investment of 324.97 million yuan and 100 million yuan from the fundraising [15][19]. Cost Estimation and Reasonableness - The cost estimation for the solid methionine project is based on market prices and relevant cost estimation methods, ensuring its reasonableness [4][5]. - The unit construction cost for the solid methionine project is 3,593.25 yuan per square meter, which is within the range of similar projects in the region [7][12]. - The equipment costs for the projects are estimated based on supplier quotes and historical prices, ensuring that the pricing is reasonable [13][14]. Financial Justification - The financing scale is justified by the company's operational needs, cash flow, and projected funding gaps, with a future funding shortfall of approximately 5.566 billion yuan over the next three years [19].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Hubei Kailong Chemical Group Co., Ltd. has approved a total external guarantee limit of up to RMB 130 million for 2025, with specific limits for subsidiaries based on their asset-liability ratios [1] Group 1: Guarantee Overview - The company will provide guarantees for subsidiaries with an asset-liability ratio below 70%, with a total guarantee limit of RMB 1,027 million [1] - The guarantees will cover various financing activities including bank credit, project loans, and leasing [1] Group 2: Guarantee Progress - The company signed a guarantee contract for Tianhua New Materials Technology (Jingmen) Co., Ltd. with a guarantee amount of RMB 20 million [2] - A maximum guarantee of RMB 240 million was approved for Hubei Kailong Chuxing Chemical Group Co., Ltd. for contracts signed between June 17, 2025, and June 17, 2027 [2][3] - A guarantee of RMB 10 million was provided for Hubei Kailong Bada Logistics Co., Ltd. [4] Group 3: Main Contents of Guarantee Agreements - The guarantees are structured as joint liability guarantees covering principal, interest, penalties, and various costs related to debt recovery [2][3][4] - The guarantee period extends three years beyond the debt fulfillment deadline [3][4] Group 4: Cumulative Guarantee and Overdue Guarantee Situation - As of the announcement date, the total approved guarantee amount for subsidiaries is RMB 1,237 million, accounting for 48.84% of the company's audited net assets as of December 31, 2024 [4] - The actual guarantee balance is RMB 787.43 million, representing 31.09% of the company's audited net assets [4] - There are no overdue guarantees or guarantees involved in litigation [4]