文 | 赵伟、屠强 联系人 | 屠强、 耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 6月9日，国家统计局公布5月通胀数据，CPI同比-0.1%、前值-0.1%、预期-0.2%、环比-0.2%；PPI 同比-3.3%、前值-2.7%、预期-3.2%、环比-0.4%。 核心观点：消费需求改善令核心CPI企稳，但供给侧对通胀读数有较大压制。 特征一：核心商品PPI明显回弹，主因需求改善，且关税对价格的冲击尚未进一步加剧。 5月核心商品 PPI同比回升0.3pct至-1.4%，一是提振消费政策效果持续显现，部分消费品需求释放带动相关行业价格回 升；二是关税对价格的冲击趋于缓和，部分出口行业价格的回落幅度并未加大。具体行业看，制鞋业价 格上涨0.8%，计算机整机制造价格上涨0.2%，家用洗衣机、电视机制造、汽车整车制造价格降幅比上月 分别收窄1.6、1.4、0.6pct。 而5月PPI跌破-3%，更多反映大宗商品价格的拖累。 5月PPI同比较前月回落0.6pct至-3.3%。其中国际油 价下行拖累国内油价，测算油价拖累PPI环比-0.1%。同时地产、基建投资走弱，煤炭供应充足，钢、煤 价格也有回落，测算钢、煤价拖累PPI环比-0.3%。而铜 ...

长江电力 中国核电 东方财富 7399.19亿市值 1945.73亿市值 3353.62亿市值 10.77亿成交额 2.55亿成交额 27.70亿成交额 9.46 30.24 21.22 +0.26(+0.87%) 0.00(0.00%) -0.24(-1.12%) 食品饮料 证券 中信证券 国泰海通 海天味业 期天 2338.79亿市值 3894.84亿市值 3305.57亿市值 7.31亿成交额 10.19亿成交额 2.81亿成交额 18.75 26.28 42.06 -0.15(-0.57%) +0.20(+1.08%) -0.06(-0.14%) 消费电子 化学制药 恒瑞医药 立讯精密 工业富联 4027.38亿市值 3674.20亿市值 2328.34亿市值 5.77亿成交额 18.90亿成交额 16.09亿成交额 55.64 32.12 20.28 -0.15(-0.73%) +1.28(+2.35%) +0.19(+0.60%) 家电行业 农牧饲渔 格力电器 牧原股份 海尔智家 出台名字 2516.15亿市值 2343.85亿市值 2318.95亿市值 7.83亿成交额 4.93亿成交额 6.4 ...

Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year in May, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, indicating a continued impact of consumption-boosting policies [1][2] - Energy prices were the main factor dragging down both the CPI and PPI, with energy prices decreasing by 6.1% year-on-year and 1.7% month-on-month, significantly affecting the overall CPI decline [1] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6% year-on-year, with hotel accommodation and tourism prices rising by 4.6% and 0.8% respectively, indicating a recovery in certain sectors [1] Group 2 - PPI data showed marginal improvement in terminal consumer demand, with life goods prices stabilizing and some manufacturing prices narrowing their year-on-year decline [2] - High-tech product demand is expanding, with prices in sectors like integrated circuit packaging and testing, aircraft manufacturing, and wearable smart devices increasing by 3.6%, 3.0%, and 2.1% respectively [2] - Economic analysts predict a likely upward trend in the price index, with CPI expected to gradually recover and PPI showing signs of marginal improvement due to previous consumption-boosting policies [2]

汽车周观点： 5月第5周乘用车零售环比+17.1%，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年6月9日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.6.2-2025.6.8 2 （ ◼ 本周复盘总结：五月第五周交强险45.8万辆，环比上周/上月周度+17.1%/+10.1%。 ◼ 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序：SW摩托车及其他(+3.6%) > SW乘用车(+0.8%)>SW汽车 零部件(+0.3%) > SW汽车（+0.2%）>SW商用载客车(-2.6%) >SＷ商用载货车(-6.7 %) 。本周已覆盖标的长华集团、旭升集团、春风动力、理想汽车-W、长安汽车涨幅 前五。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）小鹏和华为合作研发了全球首个真正融入AI智驾的HUD解决方 案——追光全景抬头显示系统，将由小鹏汽车旗下车型小鹏G7首发搭载；2）保隆科 技成功举办"保隆技术日" ，深化与宝马集团技术交流；3）搭载小马智行第七代自动 驾驶系统的广汽埃安霸王龙自动驾驶车辆，正式获得智能网联汽车道路 ...

文 | 赵伟、屠强、耿佩璇 联系人 | 屠强 摘要 事件： 6月9日，国家统计局公布5月通胀数据，CPI同比-0.1%、前值-0.1%、预期-0.2%、环比-0.2%；PPI 同比-3.3%、前值-2.7%、预期-3.2%、环比-0.4%。 核心观点：消费需求改善令核心CPI企稳，但供给侧对通胀读数有较大压制。 特征一：核心商品PPI明显回弹，主因需求改善，且关税对价格的冲击尚未进一步加剧。 5月核心商品 PPI同比回升0.3pct至-1.4%，一是提振消费政策效果持续显现，部分消费品需求释放带动相关行业价格回 升；二是关税对价格的冲击趋于缓和，部分出口行业价格的回落幅度并未加大。具体行业看，制鞋业价 格上涨0.8%，计算机整机制造价格上涨0.2%，家用洗衣机、电视机制造、汽车整车制造价格降幅比上月 分别收窄1.6、1.4、0.6pct。 而5月PPI跌破-3%，更多反映大宗商品价格的拖累。 5月PPI同比较前月回落0.6pct至-3.3%。其中国际油 价下行拖累国内油价，测算油价拖累PPI环比-0.1%。同时地产、基建投资走弱，煤炭供应充足，钢、煤 价格也有回落，测算钢、煤价拖累PPI环比-0.3%。而铜价 ...

Group 1 - In May, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the producer price index (PPI) fell by 3.3% year-on-year [1][7] - The primary factor for the decline in CPI is the continuous drop in energy prices, which decreased by 6.1% year-on-year and 1.7% month-on-month [2][7] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a stable upward trend for three consecutive months [4][8] Group 2 - Food prices experienced a slight decline, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2%, influenced by seasonal factors and supply changes [3] - The hospitality and tourism sectors saw price increases of 4.6% and 0.8% respectively, driven by improved consumer demand and holiday activities [4] - The PPI's decline is attributed to both international factors, such as falling crude oil prices, and domestic factors, including seasonal drops in coal prices [7][8] Group 3 - The high-end equipment manufacturing sector is witnessing price increases, with significant rises in prices for integrated circuits and aircraft manufacturing [8] - The overall consumer demand is gradually recovering, supported by effective consumption-boosting policies [4][5] - The real estate market is still in recovery, affecting demand for household appliances and entertainment equipment, which saw a month-on-month price decline of 1.1% [5]

事件：根据国家统计局公布的数据，2025 年 5 月，CPI 同比下降 0.1%，上月为下降 0.1%，1-5 月 CPI 累计同比下降 0.1%；5 月 PPI 同比下降 3.3%，上月为下降 2.7%，1-5 月 PPI 累计同比下降 2.6%。 基本观点：5 月 CPI 同比-0.1%，略高于市场预期。主要原因是当月工业消费品价格和服务价格同比涨 幅扩大，抵消了国际原油价格下跌向国内能源价格传导以及食品价格同比降幅扩大的影响，带动整体 CPI 同比保持稳定。5 月 CPI 同比连续三个月负增长，剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格、更能反映基本物价水 平的核心 CPI 同比持续处于 1.0%以下的低位，表明当前国内物价水平稳中偏弱，其中消费需求不足是主要 原因。5 月 PPI 环比续跌，主因国际原油价格下跌并传导至国内相关行业，以及在国内需求偏弱而供给充 足影响下，煤炭、钢材、水泥等能源和工业品价格亦有所下行。不过，受提振消费政策效果显现等因素拉 动，5 月耐用消费品价格环比改善，带动生活资料价格环比止跌。5 月 PPI 同比跌幅较上月大幅扩大 0.6 个百分点，这一方面源于新涨价动能持续减弱，另一方面也因翘尾 ...

Group 1: Inflation Data Overview - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, matching the previous value and slightly better than the expected decrease of 0.2%[1] - The PPI fell by 3.3% year-on-year, a decline from the previous value of 2.7% and worse than the expected 3.2%[1] Group 2: Core CPI Stabilization Features - Core commodity PPI rebounded by 0.3 percentage points to -1.4%, driven by improved demand and a moderation in tariff impacts[2] - The core commodity CPI increased by 0.1 percentage points to 0.2%, supported by consumption policies and rising gold prices, which boosted jewelry prices by 40.1%[3] - Service CPI rose by 0.2 percentage points to 0.5%, aided by increased holiday days in May, enhancing service demand[4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Continued policy support and recovery in domestic demand are expected to alleviate inflationary pressures, but supply-side constraints remain a concern[5] - The ongoing "trade-in" policy may provide significant support to core commodity CPI and PPI, while abundant supply of bulk commodities and food could exert downward pressure on prices[5]

Group 1 - Jinling Sports announced that its convertible bonds experienced significant abnormal fluctuations, with a cumulative price deviation of 39.14% over three consecutive trading days, indicating potential irrational trading behavior and high market risk [3] - Haichen Pharmaceutical reported that its solid-state battery-related business has not yet generated revenue, and the project faces risks related to industrialization and commercialization due to macroeconomic and market environment changes [4] - Jinying Co. confirmed that there have been no significant changes in its daily operations, with stable production costs and sales, and no major adjustments in market conditions or industry policies [5] Group 2 - Lingyi Technology received acceptance from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for its plan to issue convertible bonds and acquire a 66.46% stake in Jiangsu Kedasitern Automotive Technology Co., Ltd., along with raising supporting funds [6] - Sichuan Road and Bridge announced plans to acquire 100% equity of Chengdu Xinzhu Transportation Technology Co., Ltd. and other related assets to enhance its bridge component business and improve market competitiveness [7] Group 3 - Jianghuai Automobile reported May sales of 33,400 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 3.52%, with new energy vehicle sales dropping by 57.81% [9] - Aonong Biological announced May sales of 156,200 pigs, a year-on-year increase of 9.44%, with a total stock of 536,400 pigs at the end of May, reflecting a 22.56% year-on-year increase [10] - Juxing Agriculture reported May sales of 328,000 pigs, a significant year-on-year increase of 61.5%, generating sales revenue of 579 million yuan [12] Group 4 - Hongyuan Electronics' controlling shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 1% of the company's total shares due to personal funding needs [14] - Kaichun Co. announced an increase in its share repurchase price limit from 26.625 yuan to 40 yuan per share, effective June 10, 2025 [16]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8][16] Core Viewpoints - The automotive sector is focusing on luxury vehicles and unmanned logistics, with a recommendation to pay attention to leading companies such as BYD, Geely, and Xiaomi for overall vehicle production, and to Seres and Li Auto for luxury vehicles [3][4] - The robotaxi segment has experienced significant adjustments, primarily influenced by trading factors rather than fundamental issues, with a focus on the upcoming operational effects of Tesla's robotaxi on June 12 [4][5] - The low-altitude economy is highlighted, particularly the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) sector, which is expected to shift from being part of unmanned logistics to an independent market leader if relevant policies are implemented in June [6] Summary by Sections Automotive Sector - The report emphasizes the ongoing pressure in the domestic market and the increasing competition, suggesting a focus on leading automotive companies and luxury vehicle manufacturers [4][3] - Key companies to watch include BYD, Geely, Xiaomi, Seres, and Li Auto [4] Robotaxi and Robotics - The report notes a significant adjustment in the robotaxi market, with a focus on the upcoming Tesla robotaxi operations and the potential for new market trends [4][5] - Recommendations include focusing on large-cap stocks related to Tesla and companies with strong industrial logic and future potential [5] Low-altitude Economy - The report suggests that the UAV sector is poised for growth, particularly if low-altitude policies are enacted, with a focus on companies like Zongheng and Green Energy Hui充 [6]