Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is expected to register top and bottom-line declines when it reports first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 8, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.4 billion, indicating a 6% decline from the prior-year reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings has moved down by a penny in the past 30 days to 80 cents per share, indicating a drop of 15.8% from the year-ago reported figure.In the last reported quarter, this leading alcohol compan ...

❑ 特曲 60 版引领增长，渠道结构进一步优化 1）分产品：24 年公司中高档酒/其他酒收入 275.85 亿元/34.67 亿元，分别同比 +2.77%/+7.15%，其中中高档酒占比下降 0.36pct 至 88.43%。24 年中高端酒销量/ 吨价分别同比变动+14.39%/-10.15%，其他酒销量/吨价分别同比变动 +3.54%/+3.49%。我们预计当前回款进度略慢于同期、节后库存水平较低、批价 保持稳定，我们预计特曲 60 版引领增长、国窖表现其次（春节期间低度表现优 于高度）、老字号及窖龄略承压，数字化持续推进。 泸州老窖(000568) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 04 日 业绩符合预期，分红回报亮眼 ——泸州老窖 2024&25Q1 业绩点评 投资要点 ❑ 盈利预测与估值 我们看好渠道价盘管理能力较优下的长期业绩增长持续性，预计 2025~2027 年公 司收入增速为 1.00%、6.77%、7.04%；归母净利润增速分别为 0.98%、6.70%、 7.11%；EPS 分别为 9.24、9.86、10.56 元；PE 分别为 13.39、12.55、11.71 倍， 维持买入评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - AB InBev is expected to report year-over-year earnings growth for Q1 2025, despite a projected decline in revenues compared to the previous year [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AB InBev's quarterly revenues is $13.9 billion, reflecting a 4.8% decline from the same quarter last year [2]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is 77 cents, indicating a 2.7% increase from the prior-year figure [2]. - The earnings estimate has remained stable over the past 30 days, with the company having a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 11.7% [2]. Factors Influencing Q1 Results - AB InBev's results are anticipated to benefit from strategic measures such as pricing actions, premiumization, and revenue management initiatives [3]. - Strong consumer demand for its brand portfolio and investments in digital transformation are expected to drive top-line momentum [3][4]. - The company's focus on premium beer offerings aligns with consumer preferences, contributing positively to performance [4]. Cost and Economic Challenges - Elevated costs from commodity inflation, supply-chain issues, and long-term growth investments are expected to impact results negatively [5]. - A challenging macroeconomic environment, particularly in China and Argentina, along with currency and interest rate fluctuations, may also weigh on performance [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for AB InBev, with an Earnings ESP of -1.91% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [6]. Valuation and Stock Performance - The stock has a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 16.83X, compared to a five-year high of 25.58X and the industry average of 16.26X [7]. - Year-to-date, AB InBev shares have increased by 29.8%, outperforming the industry growth of 7.5% [8].

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands faces significant near-term challenges, leading to a nearly 30% drop in stock price over the past year, raising questions about its ability to recover in the next 12 months [1] Group 1: Challenges Faced - The company is experiencing a decline in alcohol consumption among younger millennials and Gen Z, raising concerns about the long-term viability of the alcohol market [2] - Constellation is heavily impacted by tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on Mexican imports, which could reduce its earnings per share (EPS) by $3 to $3.75 in fiscal 2026, equating to a 22% to 27% decrease from an EPS of $13.78 in fiscal 2025 [4] - Wine sales, previously thought to be more resilient, have also declined, with a 9% drop in fiscal 2024 and an additional 7% decline in fiscal 2025 [5] - The near-term outlook for the company is bleak, with expectations of flat organic sales and a projected EPS decline of 8% to 11% if tariffs remain in place [6] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - To stabilize its business, Constellation plans to divest cheaper wine brands and focus on premium offerings, while also targeting younger consumers with nonalcoholic and lighter alcoholic beverages [7][8] - The company intends to invest approximately $2 billion in its Mexican production facilities through fiscal 2028 to enhance brewing capacity, alongside restructuring efforts aimed at achieving over $200 million in annual savings [8] Group 3: Future Projections - If the company's strategies are successful, it anticipates organic sales growth of 2% to 4% in fiscal 2027 and 2028, with EPS growth projected in the mid-single to low double digits for fiscal 2027 and low to mid-single digits for fiscal 2028 [9] - The stock is currently valued at 14 times forward earnings, with a forward yield of 2.2%, and a new $4 billion buyback plan has been authorized [10] - Should the company meet analysts' expectations and maintain its current valuation, the stock could rise about 4% to $193 per share over the next year, indicating a potential bottoming out despite near-term challenges [11] - A reduction in tariffs could lead to a quicker recovery in stock valuation, potentially resulting in gains exceeding 4% over the next 12 months [12]

Group 1 - Constellation Brands, Inc. will participate in the 2025 Goldman Sachs Global Staples Forum on May 13, 2025, with a presentation covering financial metrics, operating performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook [1] - The presentation will be available via a live webcast on the company's investor relations website, with financial information and reconciliations of GAAP and non-GAAP measures accessible during the event [2] - Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits, with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy, focusing on building beloved brands and anticipating market trends [3][4] Group 2 - The company emphasizes sustainability and responsible operations as part of its ESG strategy, aiming to be good stewards of the environment and promote responsible beverage alcohol consumption [5] - Constellation Brands offers a range of high-end beer brands, including Corona and Modelo, as well as fine wines and craft spirits, contributing to its position as one of the fastest-growing large CPG companies in the U.S. [4][3]

Core Insights - Teremana® Tequila, founded by Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson, is launching its fifth annual "Guac on the Rock" initiative, expanding its offerings to include all appetizers, not just guacamole, in response to consumer preferences and economic pressures [1][4][5] Company Initiatives - The "Guac on the Rock" program will run from May 1 to May 31, 2025, allowing patrons to receive a $10 reimbursement for any appetizer purchased with a Teremana® cocktail, with a total reimbursement cap of $1,000,000 [3][7] - This year marks the first partnership with DoorDash, enabling consumers to participate in the initiative through delivery, reflecting a shift towards convenience in dining habits [2][4] Consumer Engagement - To participate, consumers must share a photo of their receipt for reimbursement via Venmo, with receipts accepted until June 5, 2025 [5][7] - The initiative aims to support local bars and restaurants while encouraging social gatherings, aligning with Teremana®'s philosophy of bringing people together [6][9] Market Context - A recent report indicates that 84% of Americans are dining out less frequently due to inflation, highlighting the relevance of this initiative in making dining out more accessible [4] - The program's expansion to include all appetizers aims to attract a broader audience and enhance consumer participation [4][5] Brand Philosophy - Teremana® emphasizes its commitment to quality and accessibility, aiming to foster good energy and community through its products and initiatives [9] - The brand's philosophy, "Share the Mana," underlines its dedication to gratitude and positive interactions with consumers [5][9]

Core Viewpoint - MGP (MGPI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.36 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.31 per share, but down from $1.07 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the quarter was 16.13%, with the company having surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters [2] - MGP's revenues for the quarter ended March 2025 were $121.65 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.41%, but down from $170.56 million year-over-year [3] Stock Performance - MGP shares have declined approximately 25.2% since the beginning of the year, compared to a 5.3% decline in the S&P 500 [4] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.73 on revenues of $140.29 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.55 on revenues of $530.14 million [8] - The estimate revisions trend for MGP is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [7] Industry Context - The Beverages - Alcohol industry, to which MGP belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9] - Molson Coors Brewing (TAP), another company in the same industry, is expected to report a quarterly earnings decline of 15.8% year-over-year, with revenues projected at $2.44 billion, down 6% from the previous year [10][11]

PEKIN, Ill., May 01, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALTO) a leading producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, renewable fuels and essential ingredients, announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results after the close of market on Wednesday, May 7, 2025. Management will host a conference call at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time and will deliver prepared remarks via webcast followed by a question-and-answer session. How to participate: To liste ...

Group 1 - The white liquor market is currently experiencing a downturn, with prices of key products declining despite companies implementing supply control measures [2][3][5] - Major brands such as Junpin Xijiu and Zhaiyao have seen significant price drops, with Junpin Xijiu's average price falling to 774.25 yuan per bottle, down from 806.75 yuan [5][7] - The market is facing challenges such as high channel inventory, a sharp decline in the performance of liquor companies, and a phenomenon of "wholesale-retail price inversion" [2][9][10] Group 2 - Companies are adopting a "supply control" strategy to stabilize market prices and manage inventory, with several brands announcing supply suspensions or strict quota controls [10][12] - The performance of major liquor companies is slowing, with firms like Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao adjusting their revenue growth targets to align with macroeconomic indicators [13] - The industry is entering a new phase characterized by structural adjustments and a shift towards younger, lower-alcohol, and healthier products, necessitating continuous innovation for companies to seize growth opportunities [2][9]

作 者丨肖夏 编 辑丨骆一帆 截至4月2 9日晚，白酒股2 0 2 4年年报、2 0 2 5年一季报全部披露。 2 1世纪经济报道记者梳理注意到，几乎所有白酒上市公司去年业绩增长都出现放缓，其中有 六家酒企去年营收同比倒退，覆盖不同体量的酒企，能实现两位数增长的白酒已经屈指可数。 同时披露的2 0 2 5年一季报更为惨淡， 各家白酒股业绩增速进一步下滑，其中近一半业绩出现 倒退，多家出现2 0%、3 0%的大幅下滑。 一位资深白酒投资者评价，"当前白酒迎来了极寒天气。" 行业深度调整反馈到报表端之际，白酒企业的竞争格局也发生了重要变化。 2 1 世 纪 经 济 报 道 记 者 梳 理 注 意 到 ， 头 部 白 酒 中 ， 山西 汾酒正式跃升至第三 ， 三 大 香 型龙头实现聚首；白酒股前十中，对比五年前有两家是新面孔， 一些名酒被挤到二三 梯队 ；中小白酒业绩普遍低迷， 新增两家酒企披星戴帽，离退市再近一步 。 综合接受2 1世纪经济报道记者采访的券商分析师、行业专家观点来看，观察人士普遍认为当 前白酒处于探底阶段，今年二季度淡季预计继续低迷，但整个探底阶段会持续多久，难以判 断。 汾酒正式跻身前三，前十位 ...