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【金工】能繁母猪存栏微增,炼化行业景气度同比持稳——金融工程行业景气月报20250702(祁嫣然/宋朝攀)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-02 13:14
Group 1: Coal Industry - In June 2025, coal prices are lower than the same period last year, leading to a forecast of a year-on-year decline in industry profits for July 2025, maintaining a neutral outlook for the coal industry [3]. Group 2: Livestock Farming - As of the end of May 2025, the number of breeding sows is 40.42 million, showing a slight month-on-month increase. It is predicted that the supply and demand for pigs will balance in Q4 2025, with pork prices expected to stabilize at the bottom while waiting for a significant reduction in production capacity [4]. Group 3: Steel Industry - A forecast for June 2025 indicates a year-on-year negative growth in profits for the general steel industry. The rolling average of PMI has not exceeded the threshold, maintaining a neutral signal for the steel industry [5]. Group 4: Construction Materials and Engineering - In June 2025, the gross profit of float glass is expected to decline year-on-year, maintaining a neutral signal for the glass industry. The cement industry is predicted to see year-on-year profit growth in June 2025, awaiting positive signals from new housing starts, also maintaining a neutral outlook for the cement industry [5]. - The manufacturing PMI rolling average is stabilizing, while year-on-year data for commercial housing sales shows a slight decline. Economic data remains stable, and expectations for infrastructure support are unlikely to materialize, maintaining a neutral signal for the construction and decoration industry [5]. Group 5: Fuel Refining and Oil Services - A forecast for June 2025 suggests that profits in the fuel refining industry will remain roughly flat year-on-year, maintaining a neutral outlook. Oil prices have not yet formed an upward trend year-on-year, and new drilling activities are also stable year-on-year, leading to a neutral outlook for oil services [6].
供应端有所收紧,价格上涨加快
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 12:52
大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 生猪日报 2025 年 7 月 2 日 【生猪日报】供应端有所收紧 价格上涨加快 研究员:陈界正 期货从业证号: F3045719 chenjiezheng_qh@chinastock.c om.cn | | | | | 生猪价格日报 | | 2025/7/2 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 变 化 | | 河南(0) | 15.45 | 15.29 | 0.16 | 山 西 | 15.21 | 15.05 | 0.16 | | 湖北(0) | 14.96 | 14.81 | 0.15 | 辽 宁 | 14.90 | 14.77 | 0.13 | | 安徽(300) | 15.48 | 15.29 | 0.19 | 吉 林 | 14.81 | 14.72 | 0.09 | | 湖南(100) | 15.33 | 15.09 | 0.24 | 黑龙江 | 14.71 | 14.55 | 0 ...
从80后宗馥莉到90后高海纯,女继承人涌现
21世纪经济报道· 2025-07-02 12:22
作 者丨郭聪聪 编 辑丨杨希 近日,中国建筑设计领域迎来了一位"90"后女性新生代领导者。国内首家IPO上市的设计公司 ——中衡设计发布公告称,同意提名创始人冯正功之女、1993年出生的冯嘉音为公司非独立 董事。 在当下中国企业界的接班浪潮中,一个显著趋势正在形成:越来越多优秀的女性继承者正 以"领航者"的姿态,逐渐打破商业世界的性别天花板。无论是执掌千亿资产的商界翘楚,还 是到崭露头角的"90 后"新秀,在企业传承中,女性继承者正在展现独特的"她力量"。 执掌千亿资产女性继承者 从华为孟晚舟到娃哈哈宗馥莉,从美高梅中国何超琼到周大福郑志雯,这些继承者的名字所 代表的已不仅是个人成就,也是一个群体性的商业现象—— 多位女继承者正在成为千亿资产 商业巨轮的掌舵者。 娃哈哈营收重回700亿,是宗馥莉接班后交出的第一份成绩单。1982年出生的宗馥莉,在早年 留学归来后,并未直接进入集团核心管理层,而是先从市场部基层做起,逐步熟悉饮料生 产、供应链管理与渠道布局。她的商业能力,从一手打造的宏胜饮料集团可见一斑:该企业 从一条生产线起步,发展至拥有 20 个生产基地、40 多家子公司及 100 多条生产线的规模, 更在 ...
金融工程定期:港股量化:南下资金累计流入达2024年91%,7月增配成长
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-07-02 12:15
2025 年 07 月 02 日 金融工程研究团队 魏建榕(首席分析师) 证书编号:S0790519120001 张 翔(分析师) 证书编号:S0790520110001 傅开波(分析师) 证书编号:S0790520090003 高 鹏(分析师) 证书编号:S0790520090002 苏俊豪(分析师) 证书编号:S0790522020001 胡亮勇(分析师) 证书编号:S0790522030001 王志豪(分析师) 证书编号:S0790522070003 盛少成(分析师) 证书编号:S0790523060003 苏 良(分析师) 证书编号:S0790523060004 何申昊(分析师) 证书编号:S0790524070009 蒋 韬(分析师) 证书编号:S0790525070001 相关研究报告 《开源量化评论(49)-对近期北向持 续撤离,南下持续抄底的几点思考》 -2022.3.15 开源量化评论(50)-港股优选:技术 面、资金面、基本面》-2022.3.22 《开源量化评论(96)-公募港股投资 变化及港股通优选组合构建》 -2024.7.15 港股量化:南下资金累计流入达 2024 年 91%,7 ...
中国良种羊在乌干达“安家落户”
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-02 09:26
新华社坎帕拉7月2日电(记者聂祖国)乌干达在中国-联合国粮农组织-乌干达南南合作项目下从 中国引进的首批9只简州大耳羊日前顺利运抵乌干达。乌农业官员以及南南合作项目中乌专家等参加了1 日在恩德培举行的接收仪式。 乌干达南南合作项目负责人朱利叶斯·特维纳马西科表示,简州大耳羊的引进有望帮助乌干达提高 羊肉和羊奶产量,增加出口创汇,"未来几年我们将向全国推广这一羊种"。 2012年以来,中国在中国-联合国粮农组织-乌干达南南合作项目下,向乌派遣谷物、畜牧、水 产、园艺、农机等近60名专家和技术人员,开展南南合作一期、二期和三期项目,助力当地农业发展。 据三期项目农业专家组组长张小强介绍,首批9只种羊在乌干达安家后,除了参与品种改良外,中乌两 国还将围绕大耳羊,在养殖技术、饲草培育、羊肉食品产业链等方面展开合作。 乌干达在恩德培国际机场附近的国家动物遗传资源中心与数据库新建了羊舍,临时安置这批进口山 羊。这批简州大耳羊包括3只公羊、6只母羊,在此隔离检疫21天,将运往乌西部姆巴拉拉区域农业研究 发展所,供乌方开展品种改良、育繁及推广工作。 乌干达农业、畜牧业和渔业部动物卫生司司长阿德蒙在接受新华社采访时表示,感谢中 ...
茅台批价企稳,市场情绪好转?消费ETF(159928)逆市收红,资金再度净流入!下半年展望:食饮需求企稳改善,龙头基本面回升!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 09:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resilience of the consumer sector in the A-share market, with the Consumption ETF (159928) showing a slight increase despite overall market adjustments [1][3] - The Consumption ETF has seen a net inflow of funds, with a total scale exceeding 12.1 billion yuan, leading its peers significantly [1] - Major stocks within the Consumption ETF, such as Moutai and Wuliangye, have shown positive performance, while some brands like Dongpeng Beverage have experienced declines [3] Group 2 - Moutai's price has stabilized after a previous decline, with the 2025 flying Moutai box price recovering to over 1900 yuan, indicating a positive market sentiment [4] - The beverage and snack sectors are identified as having structural growth opportunities, with the tea and energy drink markets showing significant potential [4][5] - The white liquor sector is expected to undergo a valuation recovery, with leading companies like Moutai and Wuliangye offering attractive dividend yields of 3.6%, 4.8%, and 5.2% respectively [8][9] Group 3 - The consumer food sector is projected to see steady demand growth in the second half of 2025, with new consumption trends continuing to thrive [7] - The focus is on high-growth segments such as healthy beverages and snacks, which are expected to maintain innovation and market vitality [7] - The overall demand for the liquor industry may remain under pressure, but leading brands are anticipated to navigate through the cycle effectively [8]
粤开市场日报-20250702
Yuekai Securities· 2025-07-02 09:00
证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 07 月 02 日 投资要点 分析师:孟之绪 执业编号:S0300524080001 电话: 邮箱:mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20250702 今日关注 指数涨跌情况:今日 A 股主要指数多数收跌。截止收盘,沪指跌 0.09%,收报 3454.78 点;深证成指跌 0.61%,收报 10412.63 点;科创 50 跌 1.22%,收报 982.64 点;创业板指跌 1.13%,收报 2123.72 点。总体上,全天个股跌多涨 少,Wind 数据显示,全市场 3282 只个股下跌,1943 只个股上涨,192 只个股 收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 13770 亿元,较上个交易日缩量 890.48 亿元。 行业涨跌情况:今日申万一级行业涨跌参半,钢铁、煤炭、建筑材料、农林 牧渔、银行、有色金属等行业领涨,电子、通信、国防军工、计算机、美容 护理、医药生物等行业领跌。 板块涨跌情况:今日涨幅居前概念板块为水产、光伏屋顶、深海科技、BC 电 池、硅能源、光热发电、HJT 电池、水泥制造精选、光伏、央企煤炭、煤炭 开采精选、钙钛矿电池、 ...
农林牧渔行业资金流入榜:国联水产等5股净流入资金超5000万元
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.09% on July 2, with 15 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by steel and coal industries, which increased by 3.37% and 1.99% respectively [1] - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector rose by 0.84% [1] - The electronic and communication sectors experienced the largest declines, with drops of 2.01% and 1.96% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 35.89 billion yuan, with 9 sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The power equipment sector had the highest net inflow, amounting to 3.29 billion yuan, while the steel sector saw a net inflow of 955 million yuan [1] - The electronic sector faced the largest net outflow, totaling 12.08 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with a net outflow of 6.01 billion yuan [1] Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - This sector saw a net inflow of 923 million yuan, with 71 out of 103 stocks rising, including 7 hitting the daily limit [2] - The top stocks by net inflow included Guolian Aquatic Products with 230 million yuan, followed by Baolingbao and Muyuan Foods with 113 million yuan and 106 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector also had 8 stocks with net outflows exceeding 10 million yuan, led by Xianfeng Holdings, which saw a net outflow of 49.16 million yuan [2][3] Top Gainers in Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - Guolian Aquatic Products: +20.11%, 3.31% turnover, 230.32 million yuan inflow [2] - Baolingbao: +10.00%, 7.94% turnover, 112.74 million yuan inflow [2] - Muyuan Foods: +1.38%, 0.86% turnover, 105.66 million yuan inflow [2] Top Losers in Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - Xianfeng Holdings: -6.50%, 8.87% turnover, -49.16 million yuan outflow [3] - Biological Shares: 0.00%, 2.47% turnover, -17.44 million yuan outflow [3] - Hainan Rubber: +1.46%, 0.84% turnover, -15.63 million yuan outflow [3]
现代牧业集团首批20台电动装载机成功投运,开启绿色牧场新纪元
Core Viewpoint - Modern Dairy is actively promoting the use of new energy vehicles, specifically electric loaders, to align with national "dual carbon" strategies and enhance green, low-carbon development in its operations [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of electric loaders is part of Modern Dairy's strategic layout in the new energy equipment sector, aimed at reducing carbon emissions and optimizing operational costs [3][11]. - The first batch of 20 electric loaders will be deployed in regions with significant electricity cost advantages, such as Inner Mongolia, to validate their adaptability and reliability [5][11]. Group 2: Environmental Impact - Electric loaders achieve "zero tailpipe emissions" during operation, with each unit estimated to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 60 tons annually, significantly improving environmental quality [8][9]. - The introduction of electric loaders contributes to a comprehensive green upgrade for the farms, enhancing sustainability and operational efficiency [7][11]. Group 3: Economic Benefits - The operational cost of electric loaders is notably lower, with initial data indicating a reduction of over 200,000 yuan in annual energy costs compared to traditional diesel models [9][10]. - The noise reduction from electric loaders creates a more comfortable environment for both cattle and employees, promoting a better working atmosphere [10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Following the successful operation of the initial batch, Modern Dairy plans to expand its new energy equipment initiatives and collaborate with other manufacturers to replicate success across more farms [13]. - The commitment to green practices is becoming a defining characteristic of Modern Dairy's high-quality development strategy [13].
推进优质农产品量质齐升,济南将培育形成10条标志性农业产业链
Qi Lu Wan Bao Wang· 2025-07-02 05:19
Core Viewpoint - The Jinan municipal government is actively promoting agricultural and rural consumption through a series of initiatives aimed at enhancing the supply of quality agricultural products and improving market connectivity [1][2] Group 1: Agricultural Product Supply and Quality Enhancement - Jinan will focus on six key areas: grain, fruits and vegetables, livestock and poultry, seed industry, urban leisure agriculture, and agricultural services, aiming to develop 10 signature agricultural industrial chains and 43 key product lines [1] - The city plans to cultivate and enhance agricultural product quality, branding, and standardized production, with a target of certifying over 50 green and organic products within the year [1] Group 2: Market Connectivity and Promotion Activities - Jinan will expand market outreach by hosting over 50 promotional events for the "泉水人家" brand and organizing agricultural enterprises to participate in 15 major trade exhibitions [2] - The city aims to strengthen the construction of agricultural product circulation facilities, including the establishment and upgrading of three professional wholesale markets [2] Group 3: Rural Consumption Scene Development - Jinan will leverage local resources to create diverse rural consumption scenarios, promoting leisure agriculture, boutique homestays, and e-commerce live streaming to enhance rural tourism consumption potential [2] - The city plans to organize various festive activities and competitions to stimulate consumption during key agricultural seasons, including the celebration of the Chinese Farmers' Harvest Festival [2]