参考"禁摩令"后中国电动两轮车行业的快速发展，认为东南亚及印度市场有极为广阔的两轮车"油换 电"市场 碳中和目标利好摩托车电动化转型，摩托车等燃油车污染排放大，对环境危害较深，且油价相对于电价 来说较为高昂，节能减排大趋势成为电动摩托车替代燃油摩托车的最大利好因素。东南亚为摩托车大 国，摩托车"油改电"东风渐起。越南河内市、胡志明市逐步提出禁摩的方案。泰国自2020年1月1日起开 始根据二氧化碳排放量对摩托车征税。新加坡是东南亚首个明确在2040年彻底淘汰燃油车的国家。越南 承诺2050年实现碳中和，电动车基础设施建设逐渐被提上日程。2021年11月1-12日在英国格拉斯哥举行 的《联合国气候变化框架公约》第26届缔约方大会(COP26)上，越南政府坚定承诺到2050年实现净零排 放目标。 电动两轮车碳排放量低，性能优异 相对于燃油车而言，电动两轮车碳排放量低、噪音低、能源来源广、利用效率高、购置及维护费用低， 同时，高端电动两轮车具有优良的智能化体验。电动摩托车和燃油摩托车之间的性能鸿沟不断缩小，虽 然极限性能还有差别，但在城市限速道路上行驶，体验已十分接近。电动汽车与电动两轮车核心组件方 面重叠度高，新能 ...

Group 1: Fund Market Overview - The real estate sector leads the industry, with 27 out of 31 Shenwan first-level industries experiencing an increase this week, particularly in real estate, steel, non-bank financials, comprehensive, and building materials [2][3] - The overall net inflow of funds in the ETF market reached 15.4 billion yuan, with bond ETFs seeing the highest inflow of 8.4 billion yuan, while stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 5.5 billion yuan [3] - A total of 44 new funds were issued this week, raising 27.5 billion yuan, indicating a significant increase in fundraising activities compared to the previous week [4] Group 2: Industry Insights - The electric two-wheeler sales in China reached 32.3 million units in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 29.5%, driven by the government's old-for-new policy [5][6] - The light industry manufacturing sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.21 percentage points, while the textile and apparel sector outperformed by 0.80 percentage points during the week of July 7 to July 11 [6] - The introduction of tariffs by the U.S. on goods from Southeast Asian countries is lower than those imposed on Chinese exports, providing a competitive advantage for light manufacturing and textile companies with production capabilities in Southeast Asia [7]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on undervalued downstream brands or OEM industries with low expectations and dividend attributes, indicating a positive investment outlook for these sectors [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need to identify high-potential companies that can generate quality profits, particularly in the new consumption sector, as the market approaches the mid-year reporting season [2]. - It highlights the importance of focusing on companies with strong brand power and those that can benefit from the ongoing expansion of the overseas market, particularly in the context of the new consumption narrative [2][20]. - The report also notes that various sectors, such as light manufacturing, textiles, and home appliances, are showing signs of stabilization or growth, suggesting potential investment opportunities [3][5][25]. Summary by Relevant Sections Light Manufacturing - New tobacco products are expected to grow steadily, with a clear expansion trend in the overseas vaping market and a positive outlook for the HNB industry [3][20]. - The home furnishings sector is stabilizing, with a focus on companies that can demonstrate resilience and growth potential [3][20]. - The paper industry is entering a demand peak in Q3, with significant price recovery potential [3][21]. - The toy industry continues to expand, with strong performance from leading companies like Pop Mart [3][21]. Textiles and Apparel - The apparel sector is experiencing weak consumer demand, but there are opportunities in unique and differentiated brands, especially in new retail formats [3][23]. - The export market faces uncertainties due to potential tariffs, which could impact pricing and demand [3][23]. Beauty and Personal Care - The beauty sector is advised to focus on leading companies with strong mid-year performance and those with significant potential for price recovery [3][24]. Home Appliances - Skyworth's acquisition of Philips' North American business is expected to enhance its market presence and product offerings in high-end segments [3][25]. - The TV market is experiencing price declines, but demand is anticipated to recover in Q3 [3][25][26]. Retail and Social Services - The retail sector is under pressure, but there are signs of improvement in certain areas, such as instant retail and dining services [3][27][28]. - The report notes that the tourism and restaurant sectors are maintaining high levels of activity, indicating a positive trend [3][27]. Overall Market Trends - The report suggests that the new consumption narrative is gaining traction, with a focus on companies that can deliver high-quality profits and those that are well-positioned for growth in the evolving market landscape [2][8].

2025 年 7 月 11 日，由起点锂电、起点 固态电池 、起点两轮车及换电主办 ， 以 "换电之城 智慧两轮"为主题 的 2025 第五届起点两轮车 换电大会暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 在 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店正式举办。 会议同期，起点研究院SPIR正式发布 2025中国两轮车共享换电电池TOP排行榜及行业白皮书，具体内容如下： 1-1、电动两轮车行业发展 2020-2026年中国电动两轮车出货量及预测 2021-2026年中国锂电电动两轮车出货量及预测 中国锂申库出货量 中国锂申申白出台量（万辆） 中国电动两轮车出货量(万辆) 一 锂田申动两轮车 =同比描述 H台最合计(万辆) 15.0% 670 5800 700 10.0% 600 540 462 5.0% 500 436 400 0.0% 4960 300 500 200 85 80 9.8% 70 10.09 100 15.09 2022 2023 2025F 2026P 2021 2024 202 202 2023 2024 2025B 2026 备注:1、以上数据含中国企业出口海外数据:2、电摩数据含电轻摩:3、电自含出口海外E-bike ...

图： 优旦科技 产品与解决方案总监 王剑楠 2025 年 7 月 11 日，由起点锂电、起点 固态电池 、起点两轮车及换电主办 ， 以 "换电之城 智慧两轮"为主题 的 2025 第五届起点两轮车 换电大会暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 在 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店正式举办。 本次论坛聚焦两轮车及换电、两轮车锂电、两轮车钠电、高倍率、超快充、新材料、新工艺等前沿技术，进行深度探讨和思维碰撞。论坛 现场 300+ 两轮车换电及电池细分重量级企业， 600+ 企业高层汇聚共论行业发展。 在上午电动两轮车智能化及换电技术专场， 优旦科技 产品与解决方案总监 王剑楠 发表演讲，分享主题：两轮车换电 BMS 安全与智能运维。 点击阅读原文，即可报名参展参会！ 作为国家级专精特新 " 小巨人 " 企业，优旦科技以 " 成为新能源领域全球领先的人工智能企业 " 为愿景，目前团队规模 超 300 人，研发 技 术 人员占比超 50% 。除轻型动力领域外，其业务 覆盖 工程机械、工商业储能、户外储能等多元场景，并通过深圳分公司的协同创新中心， 深化与产业链上下游的合作。 此次论坛上，优旦科技的技术实践不仅展现了智能 BMS 在两轮车 ...

本次论坛聚焦两轮车及换电、两轮车锂电、两轮车钠电、高倍率、超快充、新材料、新工艺等前沿技术，进行深度探讨和思维碰撞。论坛 现场 300+ 两轮车换电及电池细分重量级企业， 600+ 企业高层汇聚共论行业发展。 2025 年 7 月 11 日，由起点锂电、起点 固态电池 、起点两轮车及换电主办 ， 以 "换电之城 智慧两轮"为主题 的 2025 第五届起点两轮车 换电大会暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 在 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店正式举办。 在上午电动两轮车智能化及换电技术专场， 小安科技 副总裁 李超超 发表演讲，分享主题：两轮换电解决方案服务的突破和创新。 以下为演讲实录： 我是小安科技的李超超，我今天给大家的分享是围绕两轮换电解决方案服务的突破和创新。 我们在锂电的方向上，就是智能化、网联化和高安全化。小安科技在换电领域还是一个 "学生"，我们主要是以物联网的软硬件技术为核心的科 技型企业，所以围绕产品的服务和突破创新来给大家进行汇报。 换电发展了很多年，为什么小安科技现在要做换电？因为我们跟市场的客户进行了解之后发现这个市场的需求还是非常多，这些需求也很关键。 我们希望根据需求，能够进行不断的产品迭代和创新， ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Fifth Annual Qidian Two-Wheeled Vehicle Battery Exchange Conference emphasizes the rapid transformation of the electric two-wheeler industry towards battery safety, intelligent networking, and the need for technological innovation to capture market opportunities [5][12]. Group 1: Conference Overview - The conference featured over 300 key players in the two-wheeled vehicle battery exchange sector and included discussions on cutting-edge technologies such as lithium batteries, sodium batteries, and fast-charging solutions [1][3]. - The event consisted of multiple segments, including an opening ceremony, specialized forums on electric two-wheeled vehicles, and the presentation of the 2025 China Two-Wheeled Vehicle Battery Exchange Awards [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The electric two-wheeler industry is undergoing a significant shift towards battery safety and intelligent networking, with a focus on enhancing product quality and compliance to drive market consolidation [5][12]. - The demand for specialized vehicles in the delivery sector is surging, with over 16 million registered riders and a projected user base of 761 million by 2025, highlighting the need for efficient battery solutions [12][13]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - Companies are innovating in battery management systems (BMS) and safety technologies, with advancements such as real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance to enhance battery safety and operational efficiency [20][24]. - The introduction of sodium-ion batteries is gaining traction due to their cost and safety advantages, while lithium batteries continue to dominate the market [17][50]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The market is witnessing a shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium and sodium batteries, driven by regulatory changes and consumer demand for higher safety and performance standards [33][50]. - The competition among battery types is intensifying, with companies focusing on developing high-performance cylindrical batteries that meet the diverse needs of the two-wheeled vehicle market [61][62]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The future of the electric two-wheeler industry is expected to be shaped by technological advancements in battery design, safety features, and the integration of smart technologies [41][50]. - The industry is poised for growth, with significant opportunities in both domestic and international markets, particularly in regions like Southeast Asia and Africa [33][37].

证 券 研 究 报 告 新消费需求多点迸发，竞争格局重构进行时 轻工消费2025年夏季策略 证券分析师：屠亦婷 A0230512080003 黄莎 A0230522010002 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 研究支持：张海涛 A0230524080003 张文静 A0230524120005 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 2025.07.11 新消费需求多点迸发，竞争格局重构进行时 新消费 国内人口代际变化 Z世代消费主力军 技术驱动 产品从0到1验证 海外需求变化 供应链 全球化 机遇 国际客户供应链全 球化趋势确认 高股息 行业格局成熟 资本开支放缓 国货品牌崛起 情感、悦己需求 AI硬件 AI软件 电子烟（监管政策） 品类渗透率提升 保温杯、家居等 消费电子包装 包装 家居 国补以旧换新 国货个护：百亚股份、豪悦护理、登康口腔 IP潮玩：布鲁可、晨光股份、 广博股份、创源股份 黄金珠宝： 潮宏基 宠物用品：天元宠物、 朝云集团、依依股份、 源飞宠物 两轮车：雅迪控股、爱玛科 技、九号公司 AI床垫：慕 思股份、喜 临门 家居：顾家家居、公 牛集团 AI眼镜：康耐特光学、明月 镜片、英派斯 ...

2025 年 7 月 11 日，由起点锂电、起点固态电池、起点两轮车及换电主办 ， 以 "换电之城 智 慧两轮"为主题 的 2025 第五届起点两轮车换电大会暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 在 深圳宝安 登喜路国际酒店正式举办。 本次大会聚焦两轮车及换电、两轮车锂电、两轮车钠电、高倍率、超快充、新材料、新工艺等前 沿技术，进行深度探讨和思维碰撞，论坛 现场 300+ 两轮车换电及电池细分重量级企业， 600+ 企业高层汇聚共论行业发展。 7月11日上午，在 电动两轮车智能化及换电技术专场，以 " 电动两轮车新国标及电池安全电 动、两轮车智能化网联化换电化发展挑战与趋势 " 为主题的圆桌讨论正式进行。 对话主持人为起点研究 创始人 李振强， 对话嘉宾为雅迪科技集团 商用车事业部 销售总监 李 朋、嘟嘟换电 副 总经理 陈学琳 、保力新能源 副总裁 邹懿、优旦科技 产品与解决方案总监 王 剑楠、盾创科技 CEO 刘新宇、小安科技 副总裁 李超超、中兴派能 共享换电事业部总经理 张 兆勇、汇创新能源 研发副总 刘静铜、亿纬锂能 换电业务负责人 段爱民。 圆桌讨论现场 以下为现场实录： 李振强： 我首先提第一个问题，换电 ...

Q&A 当前家电行业的出口情况如何，关税政策对行业有何影响？ 家电行业的出口情况受到各国关税政策的显著影响。近期，美国与越南达成了 20%的关税协议，而东南亚国家如菲律宾、马来西亚、印尼等普遍在 30%以 上，日韩为 25%，巴西则高达 50%。越南目前拥有最低的关税，这使得符合 越南原产国认证的产品在美国市场具有竞争优势。因此，许多企业选择在越南 扩产，以便利用较低的关税优势。家电产业链，包括钣金、喷漆、PCB 等领域， 也随之向越南转移。 此外，美国国内铜价因特朗普政府加征 50%关税而上涨， 这进一步影响了原材料成本。整体来看，中国家电供应链在海外市场特别是美 国市场上的可替代性较弱，因此确定性对于企业至关重要。在这种背景下，拥 首席联合电话会 - 消费专场 20250710 摘要 越南关税优势吸引家电产业链转移，叠加美国对中国商品加征关税，促 使企业在越南扩产以降低成本，科沃斯、石头科技、德昌股份等已在越 南设厂，美的和兆驰股份也在扩展越南生产线。 美国需求平稳且对涨价接受度高，叠加黑五和圣诞采购周期临近，出口 链公司，尤其是龙头企业，预计将迎来明确的业绩增长，二季度或成为 业绩底部。 国内家电市场表 ...