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Palomar Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 18:50
Core Insights - Palomar Holdings Inc. (PLMR) is experiencing a short-term bullish trend, trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) with a current share price of $161.54, down 2.1% from its 52-week high of $165.00 [1] - The company aims to be among the top 10 crop premium writers in the U.S. by 2025, projecting crop premiums to grow to $500 million in the intermediate term [2] - PLMR has gained 53% year-to-date, outperforming the industry, sector, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite [5] Financial Performance - PLMR's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 5.46X, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.56X, indicating that shares are trading at a premium [9] - The Zacks average price target for PLMR is $174.50 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 9.7% from the last closing price [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $6.95, reflecting a 36.5% year-over-year increase, with revenues projected to rise by 41.5% to $777.4 million [12] Growth Drivers - PLMR's return on equity is 20.6%, outperforming the industry average of 7.8%, while return on invested capital (ROIC) is 19.9%, compared to the industry average of 5.9% [14] - The company’s fee-based platform, PLMR-FRONT, is expected to drive medium-term growth, enhancing its earnings foundation [15] - Increasing policy volumes, strong retention rates, geographic expansion, and new partnerships are anticipated to boost premiums, with crop insurance projected to contribute around $200 million by 2025 [16] Strategic Initiatives - PLMR identifies Surety as a long-term growth opportunity, providing diversification and stability [17] - The company maintains a strong capital position with a debt-free balance sheet and is executing share buybacks as part of its shareholder return initiatives [19] - PLMR is positioning itself as a key player in the crop insurance sector, with diverse products and strategic partnerships fueling its growth momentum [20]
Palomar(PLMR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an 85% growth in adjusted net income, reaching $51.3 million or $1.87 per share compared to $27.8 million or $1.09 per share in the same quarter of 2024 [31] - The adjusted combined ratio improved to 68.5% from 73% year-over-year, indicating better operational efficiency [32] - Gross written premiums increased by 20% year-over-year to $442.2 million, with a 37% growth when excluding runoff business [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The casualty gross written premium grew by 113% year-over-year, driven by strong performance across various segments [20] - The crop franchise generated $48 million in written premium, a 25% increase year-over-year, despite seasonal limitations [23] - The earthquake franchise saw a 23% year-over-year growth in gross written premium, with strong contributions from both residential and commercial segments [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted pressure in the commercial accounts market, with rate decreases of approximately 5% in small commercial accounts and 7.5% in large commercial accounts [17] - The Hawaii hurricane segment experienced an 82% growth, with new business written at rates 26% higher than the previous year [18] - The company is facing increased competition in the commercial all-risk market, leading to significant pricing pressure [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its "Palomar 2X" strategic imperative, aiming to double adjusted net income within three to five years while maintaining an ROE above 20% [30] - The strategy includes diversifying its portfolio and increasing resource allocation to specific products like residential earthquake and Hawaii hurricane [10] - The company is also integrating new acquisitions, such as Advanced Ag Protection, to enhance its crop business capabilities [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating economic uncertainties, noting that the insurance sector is less impacted by tariffs compared to other industries [11] - The company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted net income guidance to a range of $186 million to $200 million, reflecting optimism about growth despite market challenges [41] - Management acknowledged that a recession could impact premium retention and loss severity but emphasized the strength of their diversified portfolio [13] Other Important Information - The company secured $525 million of earthquake limit through a catastrophe bond issuance, exceeding its target [27] - The acquisition of Advanced Ag Protection is expected to significantly enhance the crop market opportunity and scale the business [25] - The company is committed to investing in talent across various departments to support its growth strategy [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you help us think through the flat to down five that you're assuming in your outlook? - Management indicated that all placements have come in better than forecasted, with a conservative approach to future placements [46] Question: Could you talk about the thought process around splitting out Laulima separately? - The intention is to establish Laulima as a standalone entity, allowing for independent management and fee generation [49] Question: Can you elaborate on the growth seen in the residential and commercial sides of the earthquake business? - Management noted strong growth in both segments, with residential benefiting from heightened awareness and new partnerships [54] Question: How much of the inland marine and property book has excess national marine? - The most pricing pressure is seen in the large commercial segment, but the overall exposure is balanced across various lines [95]