Core Insights - Carrier Global Corporation has been recognized on Fortune's 2025 Change the World list for its positive impact through business strategies [1] Company Overview - Carrier Global Corporation is a global leader in intelligent climate and energy solutions [1]

Company Overview - Carrier has undergone significant transformation over the past few years, focusing on a balanced portfolio and exposure to enduring secular trends [2] - The company is positioned as a market leader in key verticals and geographies globally [2] Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% since 2022, with a more than 25% increase in the first half of the current year [3] - Sales in the first half of the year were up in the mid-teens percentage-wise, despite flat volume compared to the previous year [3] Market Challenges - The North American residential market is currently facing challenges, with a noted weakening in demand during June and July [3] - As a result, the company has revised its Q3 volume forecast to a decrease of 15% compared to the previous year, expecting significantly lower volume in Q3 [3]

Core Insights - Carrier Global Corporation will participate in the 13th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference on September 10, 2025, with Chairman & CEO David Gitlin and Senior VP & CFO Patrick Goris speaking [1] Company Overview - Carrier Global Corporation is a global leader in intelligent climate and energy solutions, focusing on innovations that enhance comfort, safety, and sustainability [2] - The company has a history of advancements in climate solutions, including temperature control, air quality, and transportation, aimed at improving lives and ensuring the safe transport of essential goods [2] - Since its inception in 1902, Carrier has been committed to enhancing the quality of life and the environment through its inclusive workforce and customer-centric approach [2]

Financial Performance - Q2 2025 net sales were $311.6 million, a decrease of 0.6% year-over-year[6, 22] - Gross profit margin was 26.6%, a decrease of 950 bps year-over-year[6] - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $46.6 million, with a margin of 14.9%, a decrease of 43.1% year-over-year[6, 22] - Non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS was $0.22, a decrease of 64.5% year-over-year[6, 22] Segment Performance - AAON Oklahoma net sales declined by 18.0% to $185.1 million, with a gross margin of 27.5%[23, 29] - AAON Coil Products net sales increased by 86.4% to $58.5 million, with a gross margin of 22.0%[23, 32, 33] - BASX net sales increased by 20.4% to $68.0 million, with a gross margin of 27.9%[23, 36, 37] Backlog and Orders - Adjusted backlog was $1.12 billion[6] - AAON-branded backlog increased by 93.4% year-over-year and 22.4% quarter-over-quarter[14] - BASX-branded backlog increased by 58.0% year-over-year to $623.4 million[43] Balance Sheet - The company closed on a new $500.0 million credit facility in Q2[42] - The company repurchased $30.0 million of shares[42] - Expect capital expenditures of approximately $220.0 million in 2025[42] Revised Outlook - The company revised its 2025 sales growth outlook to low-teens[45] - The company revised its 2025 gross margin outlook to 28%-29%[45] - The company revised its 2025 adjusted SG&A as a percentage of sales outlook to 16.5%-17.0%[45]

Core Viewpoint - Lennox International (LII) has shown a recent downtrend, losing 8.3% over the past week, but a hammer chart pattern suggests a potential trend reversal as buying interest may be emerging to counteract selling pressure [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The hammer chart pattern indicates a possible bottoming out, with reduced selling pressure, suggesting that bulls may be regaining control [2][5]. - A hammer pattern forms when there is a small candle body with a long lower wick, indicating that the stock opened lower, made a new low, but closed near or above the opening price, reflecting buying interest [4][5]. - The effectiveness of the hammer pattern is enhanced when used alongside other bullish indicators, as its strength is dependent on its placement on the chart [6]. Fundamental Analysis - There has been a notable upward trend in earnings estimate revisions for LII, which is a bullish indicator correlated with stock price movements [7]. - The consensus EPS estimate for LII has increased by 5.2% over the last 30 days, indicating strong agreement among analysts regarding the company's potential for better earnings [8]. - LII holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which typically outperform the market [9][10].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 16% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS, reaching $1.65 for Q2 2025 [11] - Total revenues increased by 10% year-over-year, driven primarily by acquisitions and higher project sales [11] - Adjusted EBITDA rose approximately 16% year-over-year, with a margin expansion of 120 basis points [8][11] Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the HVAC segment, revenues grew by 5.7% year-over-year, with 4.9% attributed to inorganic growth [11] - Detection and Measurement segment revenues increased by 21% year-over-year, with organic growth of 5.5% [13] - Segment backlog for HVAC was $540 million, up 19.5% from Q1, while Detection and Measurement backlog was $365 million, up 6% sequentially [12][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a growth in adjusted EBITDA of 18% at the midpoint of the updated guidance for the full year [7] - Market conditions are supportive of the increased full-year outlook, particularly in the HVAC segment, which has a healthy backlog [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on organic and inorganic value creation initiatives, supported by a robust M&A pipeline [7] - New product introductions, such as the Olympus Vmax cooling solution, are expected to significantly increase the addressable market in data center cooling solutions [9] - The company is making progress on capacity expansions and new product introductions, particularly in engineered air movement businesses [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the updated guidance, citing solid momentum in end markets and key initiatives [18] - The company remains optimistic about data center opportunities in 2025 and 2026, with expectations for continued growth [17] - Management noted that project businesses are seeing healthy front log activity, with many new bookings slated for delivery in 2026 and beyond [17] Other Important Information - The company ended Q2 with cash of $137 million and total debt of approximately $1 billion, with a leverage ratio of about 1.7 times [14] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q2 was approximately $37 million [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What kind of growth is your team seeing in the data center space? - Management indicated that data center revenue is expected to grow from around $150 million to $200 million in 2025, representing about 9% of company revenue, with further growth anticipated in 2026 [24][25] Question: What would the run rate revenue capacity lift be for U.S. manufacturing? - Management stated that they aim for a run rate of $140 million by the end of Q4 2025, with expectations to reach around $300 million with new facilities by 2027 [30] Question: What are the expectations for project contributions in the D and M segment for the back half of the year? - Management expects project contributions to grow in the high teens organically during the second half of the year [32] Question: Can you clarify the strength of HVAC margins in Q2? - Management noted that HVAC margins were 25.4%, with half of the increase attributed to favorable project execution and the other half to higher volumes and a more accretive mix [40] Question: How is the integration of recent acquisitions going? - Management reported very positive integration experiences with KTS and Sigma and Omega, highlighting synergies and growth opportunities [113][116]

Core Insights - Trane Technologies reported revenue of $5.75 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting an 8.3% increase year-over-year, with EPS at $3.88 compared to $3.30 in the same quarter last year [1] - The revenue slightly missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.76 billion by 0.27%, while the EPS exceeded the consensus estimate of $3.76 by 3.19% [1] Financial Performance - Total bookings for the quarter were $5.63 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $5.65 billion [4] - Revenue from the Americas was $4.69 billion, compared to the average estimate of $4.72 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 9.4% [4] - Revenue from EMEA was $707.9 million, exceeding the estimated $677.48 million, with a year-over-year change of 9.7% [4] - Revenue from Asia Pacific was $346.2 million, below the average estimate of $355.27 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 6.7% [4] Market Performance - Trane Technologies' shares have returned 8.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 3.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Performance - The company reported record enterprise bookings of $5.6 billion, a 5% increase, with organic bookings up by 4%[10] - Organic revenue increased by 7%, and adjusted EPS rose by 18%[10] - The company is raising its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting organic revenue growth of approximately 8% and adjusted EPS of around $13.05[9] - Q2 2025 net revenue reached $5.746 billion, a 7% organic increase compared to $5.307 billion in Q2 2024[16] Segment Results - Americas segment saw a revenue increase of 9% with adjusted operating income margin up 120 basis points[18] - EMEA segment revenue increased by 3%, but adjusted operating income margin decreased by 200 basis points due to shipment timing and investments[18] - Asia Pacific segment revenue decreased by 8%, with adjusted operating income margin down 220 basis points due to lower volumes and inflation[18] Market Dynamics - Americas Commercial HVAC bookings experienced all-time highs, increasing by over 20%, with a two-year stack increase of over 40%[14] - Residential HVAC revenues were down MSD (mid-single digits), but year-to-date revenues were up 3%[14] - The company expects a ~$150 million revenue impact in the second half of the year due to industry-wide R454B cylinder shortages and channel inventory normalization in residential HVAC[20] Capital Allocation - The company has deployed approximately $1.5 billion in capital year-to-date, including ~$420 million in dividends and ~$900 million in share repurchases[28, 29] - The company anticipates deploying between $2.5 billion and $3.0 billion in capital throughout 2025[27, 28]

Core Insights - The individual has extensive experience in the energy industry, having worked for 22 years in various roles including engineering, planning, and financial analysis [1] - The investment strategy focuses on achieving returns that match the S&P 500 with lower volatility and higher income, emphasizing long-term holdings unless compelling reasons to sell arise [1] - The approach to investment is agnostic to asset class, market cap, sector, or yield, prioritizing total return by purchasing undervalued assets [1] Company and Industry Insights - The individual has been managing their own investment portfolio since 1998, indicating a long-term commitment to investment strategies [1] - There is a beneficial long position in the shares of CARR, suggesting confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The article reflects personal opinions and does not represent any business relationship with the mentioned company, ensuring an independent perspective [2]

Core Viewpoint - Carrier Global (NYSE: CARR) was assigned a 'Strong Buy' rating in May 2025 due to its ability to mitigate tariff impacts despite a stock price drop of over 10% following its Q2 FY25 earnings report [1]. Group 1 - The company has demonstrated resilience in managing tariff-related challenges, which is a key factor for its investment appeal [1]. - Following the Q2 FY25 earnings report, the stock experienced a significant decline, indicating potential market concerns or reactions to the earnings results [1].