Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resilience of the consumer sector in the A-share market, with the Consumption ETF (159928) showing a slight increase despite overall market adjustments [1][3] - The Consumption ETF has seen a net inflow of funds, with a total scale exceeding 12.1 billion yuan, leading its peers significantly [1] - Major stocks within the Consumption ETF, such as Moutai and Wuliangye, have shown positive performance, while some brands like Dongpeng Beverage have experienced declines [3] Group 2 - Moutai's price has stabilized after a previous decline, with the 2025 flying Moutai box price recovering to over 1900 yuan, indicating a positive market sentiment [4] - The beverage and snack sectors are identified as having structural growth opportunities, with the tea and energy drink markets showing significant potential [4][5] - The white liquor sector is expected to undergo a valuation recovery, with leading companies like Moutai and Wuliangye offering attractive dividend yields of 3.6%, 4.8%, and 5.2% respectively [8][9] Group 3 - The consumer food sector is projected to see steady demand growth in the second half of 2025, with new consumption trends continuing to thrive [7] - The focus is on high-growth segments such as healthy beverages and snacks, which are expected to maintain innovation and market vitality [7] - The overall demand for the liquor industry may remain under pressure, but leading brands are anticipated to navigate through the cycle effectively [8]

证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 07 月 02 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20250702 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数多数收跌。截止收盘，沪指跌 0.09%，收报 3454.78 点；深证成指跌 0.61%，收报 10412.63 点；科创 50 跌 1.22%，收报 982.64 点；创业板指跌 1.13%，收报 2123.72 点。总体上，全天个股跌多涨 少，Wind 数据显示，全市场 3282 只个股下跌，1943 只个股上涨，192 只个股 收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 13770 亿元，较上个交易日缩量 890.48 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨跌参半，钢铁、煤炭、建筑材料、农林 牧渔、银行、有色金属等行业领涨，电子、通信、国防军工、计算机、美容 护理、医药生物等行业领跌。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板块为水产、光伏屋顶、深海科技、BC 电 池、硅能源、光热发电、HJT 电池、水泥制造精选、光伏、央企煤炭、煤炭 开采精选、钙钛矿电池、 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.09% on July 2, with 15 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by steel and coal industries, which increased by 3.37% and 1.99% respectively [1] - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector rose by 0.84% [1] - The electronic and communication sectors experienced the largest declines, with drops of 2.01% and 1.96% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 35.89 billion yuan, with 9 sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The power equipment sector had the highest net inflow, amounting to 3.29 billion yuan, while the steel sector saw a net inflow of 955 million yuan [1] - The electronic sector faced the largest net outflow, totaling 12.08 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with a net outflow of 6.01 billion yuan [1] Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - This sector saw a net inflow of 923 million yuan, with 71 out of 103 stocks rising, including 7 hitting the daily limit [2] - The top stocks by net inflow included Guolian Aquatic Products with 230 million yuan, followed by Baolingbao and Muyuan Foods with 113 million yuan and 106 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector also had 8 stocks with net outflows exceeding 10 million yuan, led by Xianfeng Holdings, which saw a net outflow of 49.16 million yuan [2][3] Top Gainers in Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - Guolian Aquatic Products: +20.11%, 3.31% turnover, 230.32 million yuan inflow [2] - Baolingbao: +10.00%, 7.94% turnover, 112.74 million yuan inflow [2] - Muyuan Foods: +1.38%, 0.86% turnover, 105.66 million yuan inflow [2] Top Losers in Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Sector - Xianfeng Holdings: -6.50%, 8.87% turnover, -49.16 million yuan outflow [3] - Biological Shares: 0.00%, 2.47% turnover, -17.44 million yuan outflow [3] - Hainan Rubber: +1.46%, 0.84% turnover, -15.63 million yuan outflow [3]

Core Viewpoint - Modern Dairy is actively promoting the use of new energy vehicles, specifically electric loaders, to align with national "dual carbon" strategies and enhance green, low-carbon development in its operations [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of electric loaders is part of Modern Dairy's strategic layout in the new energy equipment sector, aimed at reducing carbon emissions and optimizing operational costs [3][11]. - The first batch of 20 electric loaders will be deployed in regions with significant electricity cost advantages, such as Inner Mongolia, to validate their adaptability and reliability [5][11]. Group 2: Environmental Impact - Electric loaders achieve "zero tailpipe emissions" during operation, with each unit estimated to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 60 tons annually, significantly improving environmental quality [8][9]. - The introduction of electric loaders contributes to a comprehensive green upgrade for the farms, enhancing sustainability and operational efficiency [7][11]. Group 3: Economic Benefits - The operational cost of electric loaders is notably lower, with initial data indicating a reduction of over 200,000 yuan in annual energy costs compared to traditional diesel models [9][10]. - The noise reduction from electric loaders creates a more comfortable environment for both cattle and employees, promoting a better working atmosphere [10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Following the successful operation of the initial batch, Modern Dairy plans to expand its new energy equipment initiatives and collaborate with other manufacturers to replicate success across more farms [13]. - The commitment to green practices is becoming a defining characteristic of Modern Dairy's high-quality development strategy [13].

Core Viewpoint - The Jinan municipal government is actively promoting agricultural and rural consumption through a series of initiatives aimed at enhancing the supply of quality agricultural products and improving market connectivity [1][2] Group 1: Agricultural Product Supply and Quality Enhancement - Jinan will focus on six key areas: grain, fruits and vegetables, livestock and poultry, seed industry, urban leisure agriculture, and agricultural services, aiming to develop 10 signature agricultural industrial chains and 43 key product lines [1] - The city plans to cultivate and enhance agricultural product quality, branding, and standardized production, with a target of certifying over 50 green and organic products within the year [1] Group 2: Market Connectivity and Promotion Activities - Jinan will expand market outreach by hosting over 50 promotional events for the "泉水人家" brand and organizing agricultural enterprises to participate in 15 major trade exhibitions [2] - The city aims to strengthen the construction of agricultural product circulation facilities, including the establishment and upgrading of three professional wholesale markets [2] Group 3: Rural Consumption Scene Development - Jinan will leverage local resources to create diverse rural consumption scenarios, promoting leisure agriculture, boutique homestays, and e-commerce live streaming to enhance rural tourism consumption potential [2] - The city plans to organize various festive activities and competitions to stimulate consumption during key agricultural seasons, including the celebration of the Chinese Farmers' Harvest Festival [2]

农产品日报 | 2025-07-02 二育较为谨慎，猪价维持震荡 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘生猪 2509合约13865元/吨，较前交易日变动-5.00元/吨，幅度-0.04%。现货方面，河南地区外 三元生猪价格15.15元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.15元/公斤，现货基差 LH09+1285，较前交易日变动+155；江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 15.38元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.11元/公斤，现货基差LH09+1515，较前交易日变动+115；四 川地区外三元生猪价格14.45元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.10元/公斤，现货基差LH09+585，较前交易日变动+105。 据农业农村部监测，7月1日"农产品批发价格200指数"为112.39，比昨天下降0.10个点，"菜篮子"产品批发价格指数 为112.37，比昨天下降0.11个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.20元/公斤，比昨天下降0.4%；牛肉63.47 元/公斤，比昨天下降0.8%；羊肉59.27元/公斤，比昨天下降0.4%；鸡蛋7.16元/公斤，比昨天下降1.4%；白条鸡17.12 元/公斤，比昨天下降0.2%。 市场 ...

为进一步保障食品安全，提升产业效能，推动畜牧行业透明化、标准化转型，近日，临沂市农业农村局 统筹推进部署了农业农村一体化畜牧智慧化监管服务平台。该平台由临沂农发数字乡村综合服务有限公 司牵头建设，临沂联通部署实施，旨在对辖区内养殖及屠宰企业展开智慧化监管。目前，已成功实现对 全市58家屠宰场的监管。 联通视联网平台融合云、5G、人工智能、云专线等技术，构建"全场景+智能化"监管体系，有效解决了 上述存在的问题。平台基于云网底座及数科AI原子能力，涵盖数据驾驶舱、系统管理、国标级联、视 频应用、事件中心、地图管理、统计分析系统配置等模块，通过"一城一池"及"IaaS+iPaaS+aPaaS全栈能 力"实现算力下沉，提供终端多协议接入、视频资源集中调度、海量视频云存储、视频AI智能分析（实 现测温、计数）、行业应用能力。 平台可实时监测生猪屠宰场生产情况，实现了生猪入场、无害化、胴体检验等全流程的实时监管；AI 智能分析赋能精准监管，比如通过视频AI识别屠宰工人操作规范（如手套佩戴、刀具消毒），对异常 操作自动发出预警信号等，帮助管理人员及时采取措施，提供科学的决策依据，降低生产风险；从"人 工巡检"到"智能管控 ...

行业 生猪日报 日期 2025 年 06 月 27 日 021-60635740 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F0230741 研究员：洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.co m 期货从业资格号：F3076808 021-60635570 农业产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：王海峰 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：刘悠然 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源：涌益，建信期货研究中心 生猪行情： 期货方面，1 日生猪主力 2509 合约平开后冲高回落震荡走跌，尾盘收阴，最 高 13940 元/吨，最低 13840 元/吨，收盘报 13865 元/吨，较昨跌 0.18%，指数总 持仓减少 3031 手至 161051 手。现货方面， ...

Group 1 - A technology company in Hunan has received a timely loan of 1 million yuan to support its digital seedling cultivation, which can meet the demand for seedlings on 10,000 acres [1] - The People's Bank of China in Hengyang has established a financial support policy framework for the development of the private economy, leading to a loan balance for private enterprises in Hengyang exceeding 100 billion yuan by April 2025 [1] - The average interest rate for newly issued inclusive small and micro loans in Hengyang has decreased to 3.73%, a year-on-year decline of 63 basis points [1] Group 2 - A key electrical technology company in Hengyang has secured a low-interest loan of 150 million yuan for a high-end intelligent manufacturing industrial park project [2] - The People's Bank of China in Hengyang has issued a notice to support large-scale equipment updates and consumer goods replacement, resulting in 3.745 billion yuan in credit for 33 technology renovation projects [2][4] - By April 2025, 10.51 billion yuan has been disbursed for 29 equipment update and technology renovation projects in Hengyang [2] Group 3 - The Hengshan Rural Commercial Bank has issued 260 million yuan in loans to 356 small and micro enterprises in Hengshan, with an interest rate discount of nearly 1 percentage point [3] - The Nanyue Rural Commercial Bank has provided 72.61 million yuan in loans to 120 local homestay operators, offering a 0.5 percentage point internal funding transfer pricing discount [3] Group 4 - A materials technology company in Hunan received a loan of 260 million yuan from the Construction Bank in Hengyang to alleviate its funding pressure due to slow receivables and high raw material costs [5] - The People's Bank of China in Hengyang has launched the "Hengzhi Loan" financial service, allowing companies to obtain loans based on the evaluation of intangible assets, with a maximum loan amount of 300 million yuan [5] Group 5 - A knowledge value credit "white list" has been established for technology-based private enterprises, with 2,860 companies included and 1.732 billion yuan in knowledge value credit loans issued [6] Group 6 - The People's Bank of China in Hengyang is promoting the application of credit information sharing platforms to enhance financial support for small and micro enterprises [7] - Local banks have developed innovative online loan products, with the Changsha Bank Hengyang branch issuing 120 million yuan in loans to 62 small and micro enterprises [7] Group 7 - The Agricultural Bank of China in Hengyang has provided 1.8 million yuan in loans to a watch company facing financial difficulties due to new factory construction and equipment purchases [8] - The bank has established a special service team to support enterprises in the Hengyang West Duhigh-tech Zone, resulting in 114 million yuan in loans to 18 private enterprises [9] Group 8 - The People's Bank of China in Hengyang is focusing on building a long-term mechanism to ensure that private enterprises can access loans efficiently, with over 500 private market entities receiving 350 million yuan in loans from the Nanyue Rural Commercial Bank [10]

2025 年 7 月 2 日 总量研究 能繁母猪存栏微增，炼化行业景气度同比持稳 ——金融工程行业景气月报 20250702 要点 行业景气度信号追踪 煤炭：25 年 6 月，煤价低于上年同期，我们预测 25 年 7 月行业利润同比下降， 维持煤炭行业中性观点。 畜牧养殖：25 年 5 月底能繁母猪存栏为 4042 万头，环比微增。据此我们预测 25Q4 生猪供需平衡，猪肉价格底部震荡，等待产能明显去化阶段。 普钢：我们预测 25 年 6 月普钢行业利润同比负增长。PMI 滚动均值环比未超阈 值，维持普钢行业中性信号。 结构材料与建筑工程：我们测算 25 年 6 月浮法玻璃毛利同比下降，维持玻璃行 业中性信号；我们预测水泥行业 25 年 6 月利润同比正增长，等待房屋新开工面 积出现积极信号，维持水泥行业中性观点；制造业 PMI 滚动均值企稳，商品房 销售数据同比微降，经济数据维持企稳态势，预计基建托底预期难以发酵，维持 建筑装饰行业中性信号。 燃料型炼化与油服：我们预测燃料型炼化行业 25 年 6 月利润同比大体持平，维 持中性观点。油价尚未形成同比上行趋势，新钻井同比大体持平，维持油服中性 观点。 风险分 ...