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马斯克建“美国党”,难在哪
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-15 23:11
财经早察主播 董静怡 为什么市场反应这么激烈?因为马斯克的政治动作让投资者担心他会分心。特斯拉正处在自动驾驶和 AI业务的关键期,如果CEO的精力被政治分散,公司的战略执行可能受影响。更糟的是,美国政府的 新法案将削减对清洁能源和电动汽车的补贴,可能会影响特斯拉的销售并冲击整个电动汽车行业,而马 斯克的政治立场又让他和华盛顿的关系更加复杂。 总而言之,马斯克的"美国党"像一颗石子,扔进了美国政治的水潭。它可能激不起大浪,但涟漪已经扩 散。对投资者来说,最现实的问题是:特斯拉的未来,会不会被马斯克的政治游戏拖累?政治不确定性 是资本市场最忌惮的风险之一,马斯克若坚持"美国党"计划,特斯拉股价可能将继续承压。 是一时意气还是真要干到底?马斯克的"美国党"能走多远?来评论区告诉我,你怎么看。 但问题来了,美国政治生态对第三党极不友好,历史上从未有小党能真正撼动两党格局。美国的选举制 度是"赢者通吃",意思是,在一个州内,获得多数选票的候选人将赢得该州的所有选举人票,无论其优 势大小。更重要的是,民主党和共和党经过这么多年选举历练,已经赢得了全美最大的两个"票仓",人 口最多的加州选举人票有54张左右,这是民主党的大 ...
财经观察:印度抛来橄榄枝,马斯克商业版图能否延伸?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-07-15 22:48
Core Viewpoint - Tesla has officially entered the Indian market by opening its first showroom in Mumbai, marking a significant step for the company after years of stalled interest due to high import tariffs and regulatory challenges in India [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Entry and Strategy - Tesla's first showroom in India showcases the Model Y, priced at $69,770, which is the highest among major global markets [2]. - The high import tariffs in India, which reach 70% for vehicles over $40,000, have been a significant barrier for Tesla, leading to a strategy focused on retail infrastructure rather than local production [3][4]. - Tesla plans to open additional showrooms in Delhi and may consider exporting vehicles from its Berlin factory to India following a potential India-EU free trade agreement [2][3]. Group 2: Challenges and Competition - Tesla faces competition from local players like Tata Motors and Chinese rivals such as BYD as it enters the Indian market [5]. - The company has experienced a 13% year-over-year decline in global sales in Q2, prompting a search for new markets like India to offset challenges in its core markets [5][6]. Group 3: Broader Implications and Future Prospects - The entry into India aligns with Tesla's need for new growth avenues amid a chaotic business environment influenced by political changes and market pressures in the U.S. [6][7]. - India's government aims to leverage Tesla's presence to enhance its manufacturing capabilities, promote electric vehicle adoption, and develop its digital economy through initiatives like Starlink [8]. - The collaboration with Tesla is seen as a strategic move for India to attract advanced technology investments and reduce reliance on single supply chains [8].
《民营经济促进法》引领民企涉外法治新局面
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-07-15 22:08
在推动高水平开放的新征程中,中国民营企业凭借电动汽车、工业机器人等高科技产品加速"出海"。我 国《中华人民共和国民营经济促进法》(下文简称《促进法》)的颁布,为破解民营企业国际化发展中的 法治难题、提升其全球竞争力提供了强有力的法律支撑。 中国民营企业面临的三层挑战 技术市场双重压力。近年来,全球高新技术流动面临新规限制。叠加部分海外市场关税壁垒,民营企业 出海遭遇"技术获取与市场准入"的双重压力。跨国企业的全球供应链风险加剧。 国际组织救济困境。WTO上诉机构"停摆",多边贸易争端解决机制功能受限。我国企业如果完全依托 WTO解决国际贸易纠纷,将面临一定的现实困境。 跨国供应链合规压力。跨国企业的供应链格局调整,中国民营企业在海外布局尤其需要注意同时遵守东 道国的劳动法和环境尽职调查要求,供应链合规成本上升。 立法赋能民营企业国际竞争力 拓展周边国家的小多边合作。《促进法》的出台无疑会进一步为民营企业拓展国际市场提供公平的竞争 环境。《促进法》完善了民营企业公平参与市场竞争的机制,立法明确禁止公共资源交易中排斥民企。 可以考虑将新能源汽车、半导体、人工智能等优势民营企业纳入"关税优惠名单"。欢迎外国企业融入 ...
特朗普强推新法案美,马斯克宣布创建“第三党”,83岁拜登打破沉默,美国局势一夜生变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 11:51
Group 1 - Elon Musk announced the establishment of a new political party called "American Party" to counter former President Trump, emphasizing the need to "return the freedom of the American people" [1][2] - The "Big and Beautiful" bill, which repeals several regulations aimed at reducing energy consumption and eliminates tax incentives for electric vehicle purchases, significantly impacts Musk's business interests [1][2] - The bill is expected to increase the U.S. national debt by approximately $3 trillion over the next decade, exacerbating the country's debt crisis [2][4] Group 2 - The "Big and Beautiful" bill is criticized for disproportionately benefiting the wealthy elite while harming low-income families, with nearly 12 million low-income individuals projected to lose health insurance over the next ten years [4][5] - Biden's administration has condemned the bill as reckless and cruel, highlighting its potential to cut healthcare benefits and increase living costs for ordinary Americans [2][5] - The current political landscape is evolving into a three-way contest among Trump, Musk, and Biden, each representing different ideological factions, leading to intensified conflicts over the future direction of America [5]
中企出海如何构建“能力矩阵”
经济观察报· 2025-07-15 10:29
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Chinese companies are entering a new wave of globalization, facing both opportunities and challenges. The key to success lies in capability building, long-term strategic focus, and leveraging existing advantages to achieve higher goals and global capabilities [2][37]. Existing Advantages - Chinese companies currently possess strong advantages in technological innovation, large-scale manufacturing, and supply chain organization, which are crucial for transforming these strengths into core competitiveness in international markets [4]. - In emerging fields like new energy and artificial intelligence, Chinese companies have reached a leading global position. For instance, BYD's blade battery technology and DJI's drone control systems are benchmarks in their respective markets [5]. - The speed of technological iteration is vital for maintaining competitive advantage. Companies like Huawei and CATL are heavily investing in R&D to ensure continuous innovation and market leadership [6][8]. High-Level Goals - Chinese companies need to invest in brand value, standard-setting, and industry influence to gradually move upstream in the value chain and lead the future direction of industries globally [10]. - The ultimate goal for Chinese companies should be to build globally recognized and reputable brands, moving from OEM reliance to establishing their own brand identities [11][12]. - Mastering technical standards is essential for controlling industry ecosystems and value chain distribution. The case of Chinese electric vehicles in Indonesia illustrates the importance of aligning with local standards to avoid competitive disadvantages [13][14]. Global Capabilities - Compliance capability, cross-cultural management, and understanding international dynamics are essential elements for Chinese companies throughout their globalization process [21]. - Initially, companies may struggle with compliance due to a lack of understanding of local laws and regulations. As they mature, they must develop a comprehensive compliance system to manage risks effectively [22][24]. - Cross-cultural management is crucial for building trust and integrating local practices. Companies should focus on cultural sensitivity and flexible management to navigate cultural differences [27][28]. - Understanding international dynamics is vital for risk management. Companies need to establish local information networks and resilient supply chains to mitigate geopolitical risks [29][30]. Conclusion - The essence of globalization for Chinese companies is a race between capability evolution and environmental complexity. Companies must maintain a long-term perspective and continuously enhance their global capabilities to thrive in the new era of globalization [35][37].
特斯拉(TSLA.US)正式进军印度 蛰伏多年首店终“落子”孟买
智通财经网· 2025-07-15 09:13
Group 1 - Tesla is opening its first showroom in India, marking a strategic move into the world's third-largest automotive market [1] - Despite high import tariffs and limited consumer income, the Indian market presents a significant opportunity for Tesla [1] - In the past 12 months, new car sales in India reached 4.3 million, with electric vehicles accounting for only 111,000 units (2.5%) [1][2] Group 2 - Tata Motors leads the local market with a 53% share, while Mahindra and MG Motor follow [1] - The average price of electric vehicles in India is below $20,000, contrasting sharply with the Model Y's price of $69,765 after tariffs [2] - New Delhi has introduced policies to reduce import tariffs to 15% for foreign automakers investing over $500 million and achieving local production within three years [1] Group 3 - The Indian electric vehicle market is growing rapidly, increasing from nearly nonexistent five years ago to 4.4% of total sales by June [2] - If new car sales in India reach 5 million by 2030 with electric vehicles making up 10%, Tesla could capture a market share of 10%, resulting in annual sales of 50,000 units [5] - This potential sales figure, while small compared to Tesla's global sales of 1.8 million last year, highlights the importance of early investment in the growing Indian market [5]
英特尔(INTC.US)、特斯拉(TSLA.US)领衔!小摩披露下半年美股最佳做空名单
智通财经网· 2025-07-15 07:23
智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通美股分析师团队近日发表研报,筛选出了今年下半年"最具吸引力的结构 性及战术性做空标的"。以下为各行业具体做空建议及分析师观点摘要: 资本品/工业板块 沃纳企业(WERN.US):分析师Brian Ossenbeck表示,"货运市场持续疲软,运力过剩与需求不振叠加关 税不确定性,导致运价持续探底"。 肯纳金属(KMT.US):分析师Tami Zakaria认为,"终端市场疲软导致销量下滑,同时关税政策挤压利润 空间"。 The Middleby Corp(MIDD.US):Zakaria补充道,"关税引发的涨价可能进一步抑制本已疲弱的需求,挤 压食品服务及食品加工部门利润率"。 消费板块 Rivian Automotive(RIVN.US):分析师Ryan Brinkman表示,"电动车补贴退坡及关税政策恐加剧其 EBITDA亏损与自由现金流出"。 特斯拉(TSLA.US):Brinkman补充称,"补贴削减威胁本已微薄的利润率(EBIT利润率低于通用(GM.US) 和福特(F.US)),且传感器配置缺陷可能导致自动驾驶出租车项目不及预期"。 Beyond Meat(BYND.US) ...
充电地图、智能充电柜……解决电动自行车充电难题还有哪些招?
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-07-15 05:42
在许多大城市,很多人选择先骑电动自行车到地铁口或公交站附近,再换乘公共交通工具出行。解决出 行"最后一公里",今天关注困扰很多电动自行车主的充电问题。 记者来到北京市朝阳区九龙山地铁站附近,这里是北京地铁14号线和7号线的换乘站,周边居住着大量 居民。许多人选择将电动自行车停在这里,再乘坐地铁上班。工作日的早上,从早上6时到8时之间,记 者观察了一下,仅两个小时,这个地铁站附近就停了近200辆电动自行车。 和九龙山地铁站一样,北京多数地铁站周边都停满了电动自行车。据北京市交通委统计,北京电动自行 车保有量保持着每年增长100万辆的速度。在出行距离2到7公里的路程中,选择电动自行车出行的占比 达到30%以上。 记者在北京市的多个地铁站出入口附近看到,很多地铁站都为非机动车建起了车棚。目前,北京在53个 重点地铁站周边设置了4.2万个非机动车停车位,来缓解非机动车尤其是电动自行车数量过多、堆叠严 重的情况。截至今年上半年,北京累计申请以旧换新的电动自行车已突破14万辆,带动新车销售超3.8 亿元,反映出市民使用电动自行车的旺盛需求。 找位难找桩难如何充电困扰电动自行车主 最终,他们在附近1公里处找到了一个小区内部 ...
渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2025.07.15)-20250715
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 02:52
Group 1: Fund Market Overview - The real estate sector leads the industry, with 27 out of 31 Shenwan first-level industries experiencing an increase this week, particularly in real estate, steel, non-bank financials, comprehensive, and building materials [2][3] - The overall net inflow of funds in the ETF market reached 15.4 billion yuan, with bond ETFs seeing the highest inflow of 8.4 billion yuan, while stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 5.5 billion yuan [3] - A total of 44 new funds were issued this week, raising 27.5 billion yuan, indicating a significant increase in fundraising activities compared to the previous week [4] Group 2: Industry Insights - The electric two-wheeler sales in China reached 32.3 million units in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 29.5%, driven by the government's old-for-new policy [5][6] - The light industry manufacturing sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.21 percentage points, while the textile and apparel sector outperformed by 0.80 percentage points during the week of July 7 to July 11 [6] - The introduction of tariffs by the U.S. on goods from Southeast Asian countries is lower than those imposed on Chinese exports, providing a competitive advantage for light manufacturing and textile companies with production capabilities in Southeast Asia [7]
今年前6个月电动自行车售出总额达247.7亿元 是2024年的6.6倍
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-15 00:41
近日,记者从商务部例行新闻发布会获悉,今年全国以旧换新方式销售电动自行车规模持续扩大,1-6 月,销售月均环比增长113.5%;截至6月30日,全国电动自行车收旧、换新各846.5万辆,是2024年的 6.1倍,江苏、河北、浙江3个省份销量均超100万辆,安徽、山东等16个省份销量超过10万辆。 电动自行车以旧换新成为今年消费品以旧换新工作的一个重要亮点,受到城乡群众欢迎。 电动自行车以旧换新促进行业发展作用明显。从生产端看,今年1-6月,前10大品牌电动自行车产量同 比增长27.6%。从销售端看,全国共有8.2万家销售门店参加电动自行车以旧换新,其中大多为小微企业 和个体工商户,平均拉动单店销售增长30.2万元,促进了广大小微商户经营发展。 同时,电动自行车以旧换新充分发挥了安全导向作用。2024年9月,电动自行车以旧换新工作启动以 来,全国累计通过以旧换新方式交售并报废旧车近985万辆,换购的新车均具备符合现行国家标准要求 的产品合格证和强制性产品认证(CCC认证)证书,民众用车更安全、更放心。 据商务部新闻发言人何咏前介绍,今年,根据消费品以旧换新及全国电动自行车安全隐患全链条整治有 关部署,商务部牵头 ...