西藏珠峰（600338）公告，2024年营业收入16.39亿元，同比增长11.64%。归属于上市公司股东的净利 润2.3亿元，上年为亏损2.15亿元。公司董事会建议2024年度股利分配预案为每10股派发现金红利0.55元 (含税)，不实施送股及转增。 ...

银河有色 有色研发报告 有色和贵金属每日早盘观察 2025 年 4 月 28 日星期一 | 研究所副所长、有色及贵 | 有色和贵金属每日早盘观察 | | --- | --- | | 金属板块负责人：车红云 | | | 期货从业证号：F03088215 | 贵金属 | | 投资咨询号：Z0017510 | 【市场回顾】 | | | 1. 贵金属市场：上周五，贵金属回吐前日涨幅。鉴于避险情绪降温和美元坚挺 | | 研究员：王伟 | 伦敦金收跌 0.9%，报 3318.62 美元/盎司。伦敦银在 33 美元关口波动，最终收跌 | | 期货从业证号：F03143400 | 1.53%，报 33.1 元/盎司。受外盘驱动，沪金主力合约收跌 0.77%，报 785.34 元/克，沪 | | 投资咨询从业证号： Z0022141 | 银主力合约收跌 0.93%，报 8217 元/千克。 | | | 2.美元指数：美元指数横向盘整，最终收涨 0.09%，报 99.47。 | | 研究员：王露晨 CFA | 3.美债收益率：10 年期美债收益率回落，收报 4.26%。 | | 期货从业证号：F03110758 | 4.人民币汇 ...

研究报告 铅周报 沪铅或以震荡趋势运行 华龙期货投资咨询部 证监许可【2012】1087 号 有色板块研究员：刘江 期货从业资格证号：F0305841 投资咨询资格证号：Z0016251 电话：0931-8582647 邮箱：451591573@qq.com 摘要： 【行情复盘】 投资咨询业务资格： 上周，沪铅期货主力合约 PB2506 价格以震荡行情为主。价格 范围在 16820 元/吨附近至 17085 元/吨左右。 【基本面分析】 报告日期：2025 年 4 月 28 日星期一 铅现货价格小幅回升，铅贴水有所扩大，但仍处于合理区间。 全球精炼铅矿山产量同比增长、环比下降，全球铅供需仍然处于 小幅过剩状态。铅加工费从底部逐步回升，回升幅度缩小。中国 汽车产量继续增长，铅蓄电池需求或增长。沪铅库存大幅下降， 库存水平处于近年来高位。LME 铅库存小幅下降，库存水平处于 近年来高位。 【后市展望】 本报告中所有观点仅供参 考，请投资者务必阅读正文之后 的免责声明。 *特别声明：本报告基于公开信息编制而成，报告对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本文中 的操作建议为研究人员利用相关公开信息的分析得出，仅供投 ...

关税影响边际减弱 有色金属回补下跌缺口 有色金属基础周报 2025-04-28 主要品种观点综述 | | | 继欧洲央行降息后，美联储部分官员再发鸽派言论，市场对6月降息预期上升，特朗普政府关税立场对于铜价不利影响有所减弱，受利好驱动，铜 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 价逐步反弹修复前期下跌缺口。基本面上，铜精矿现货市场延续低迷态势，TC持续探底跌破-40美元，虽受益于副产品价格高位，精铜产出依然保 | | | | 回补下跌缺口 | 持韧性，但炼厂压力在增大。在铜产出维持高位的背景下，市场去库并未受到明显影响，本周去库加快，上期所周末库存减少54858吨，创2003 | | | 铜 | 偏强震荡 | 年以来最大单周降幅。需求旺季带动了铜材产量增长，3月中国铜材产量达212.5万吨，创近几年同期新高，目前尚未看到关税战带来的明显影响。 | 区间交易 | | | 74500-78500 | 下周仍面临假期备货需求，预期去库趋势仍然延续。供应端矿端压力延续并有加大趋势，废铜进口可能受限、节前备库加快去库节奏，基本面仍保 | | | | | 持强劲。但铜价进一步上行将对需求带 ...

西部矿业 20250427 摘要 • 西部矿业 2025 年一季度净利润同比大幅增长 423%至 26.15 亿元，主要 得益于冶炼工艺改进和矿产铜、锌、铅等产品产量提升，其中冶炼铜增幅 显著，达到 55%。 • 公司 2025 年矿产铜产量目标设定为 16.8 万吨，虽略低于去年实际产量， 但属保守估计，旨在应对矿山生产的不确定性，预计全年实际产量与去年 持平或略有增长。 • 一季度铜冶炼业务面临挑战，进口铜精矿加工费（TC）为负，青海铜业亏 损 1.3 亿元。公司计划通过优化原料结构、改善工艺和加强内部管理等措 施降低亏损。 • 铅锌冶炼方面，受冬季停产影响，一季度产量较低。公司预计随着矿山恢 复生产，原料供应将改善，但全年产量目标仍面临挑战，需克服生产指标 不稳定性。 • 玉龙铜矿一季度累计营业收入 31 亿元，累计盈利 18.9 亿元，处理量为 633 万吨，矿产铜产量约 4.2 万吨金属量。完全成本折算到金属为每吨 31,000 元左右。 2025 年一季度，西部矿业实现销售收入 165 亿元，同比增长 50.74%。归母 净利润达到 8.08 亿元，同比增长 9.61%，环比大幅增长 306%。经 ...

铅产业链周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所 有色及贵金属 莫骁雄 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0019413 日期：2025年4月27日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 强弱分析：偏弱 铅：需求偏弱，压制价格上方 再生铅利润显著收缩 -1000 -800 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 01-02 01-14 01-26 02-07 02-19 03-03 03-15 03-27 04-09 04-21 05-06 05-18 05-30 06-11 06-23 07-05 07-17 07-29 08-10 08-22 09-03 09-15 09-27 10-16 10-28 11-09 11-21 12-03 12-15 12-27 元/吨 再生铅盈亏 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 蓄电池库存处于相对偏高位置 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 ...

Group 1 - The company achieved a revenue of 39.345 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.40% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 807 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 38.88% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.25 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 245 million yuan, which accounts for 30.39% of the net profit [1] Group 2 - The company has been leading the advancement of domestic lead smelting technology and is recognized for its international leading position in this field [2] - The company has developed several core technologies, including oxygen bottom-blown oxidation and liquid high-lead slag direct reduction for lead smelting [2] - The company aims to create a "first-class non-ferrous metal new materials high-tech industrial group" and is focused on accelerating its transformation towards high-end, intelligent, and green development [2]

Group 1 - The global lead-acid battery market is steadily expanding, with a projected market size of $54.924 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.5%, the highest growth rate in recent years [1] - The lead-acid battery industry is characterized by its low price, mature technology, excellent performance in high and low temperatures, reliability, and high safety, maintaining a significant market position globally [1] - The downstream demand for lead-acid batteries is primarily influenced by the automotive, electric vehicle, communication, and power sectors, with the starting power application market accounting for over 70% of the global lead-acid battery market in 2023 [5] Group 2 - The competitive landscape of the global lead-acid battery industry is highly concentrated, with Clarios holding a market share of 24%, followed by Exide and Yuasa at 10% each, resulting in a CR3 of 44% and a CR10 of 76% [2] - The lead-acid battery industry in China is currently in a mature stage, characterized by a slowdown in growth after a period of rapid expansion, with high entry barriers and a decreasing number of non-compliant manufacturers [7]

Core Viewpoint - Lead prices experienced a rise followed by a decline, with the Shanghai lead index closing up 0.08% at 16,944 CNY/ton [1] Market Performance - As of last Friday, the London lead price increased by 12.5 to 1,950.5 USD/ton, with total positions at 148,500 lots [1] - The average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 16,875 CNY/ton, while recycled refined lead averaged 16,850 CNY/ton, resulting in a price difference of 25 CNY/ton [1] - The average price of waste electric vehicle batteries was 10,400 CNY/ton [1] Inventory and Supply - The Shanghai Futures Exchange recorded lead ingot futures inventory at 38,000 tons, while domestic social inventory decreased to 48,800 tons [1] - LME lead ingot inventory stood at 277,900 tons, with 161,300 tons in canceled warrants [1] - The cash-3S contract basis was -21.19 USD/ton, and the 3-15 price difference was -70.3 USD/ton [1] Production and Demand - The primary smelting operating rate was recorded at 66.23%, with primary ingot factory inventory at 13,000 tons [1] - Recycled lead inventory was 76,000 tons, with weekly production of recycled lead ingots at 38,000 tons and factory inventory at 19,000 tons [1] - The operating rate of lead-acid batteries was 73.56% [1] Market Outlook - Overall, lead ore inventory is increasing, primary production remains high, and scrap inventory is limited, leading to pressure on recycling profits and some reduction in output from recycling plants [1] - The lead ingot factory inventory accumulation is faster than previous years due to extended holidays [1] - The mid-term outlook for the Shanghai lead index is expected to fluctuate within the range of 16,300 to 17,800, with short-term lead prices showing a weak oscillation [1]

研究院 新能源&有色组 研究员 陈思捷 师橙 封帆 021-60827969 fengfan@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03036024 投资咨询号：Z0014660 联系人 期货研究报告|铅周报 2025-04-27 供需两弱格局难改 铅价仍陷震荡 王育武 021-60827969 wangyuwu@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03114162 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1289 号 市场要闻与重要数据 ■ 铅市场分析 矿端供应方面，据 SMM 讯，4 月 25 日当周美对华加征关税，3 月铅精矿进口量达 11.6 万干吨，环比增幅 14.18%，银精矿进口量则降至 12.9 万吨，环比下降 20.46%。月末 时段，国内五月铅精矿合约启动价格磋商，仅个别银含量超 2000 克/吨的特殊矿源出现 溢价微调，市场主流报价保持稳定。沪伦比价区间震荡，海外矿远期货源稀缺，本土 铅矿供给持续偏紧，交投双方维持现有供需格局。 原生铅方面，4 月 25 日当周，华中地区原生铅产能利用率提升 2.98%至 66.23%。河南 区域因前期设备维护减产的工厂重启生产，贡献显著产量回升，当地电解铅产能利 ...