2025年06月27日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-绿色金融与新能源 观点与策略 | 镍：远端镍矿端预期松动，冶炼端限制上方弹性 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：供需边际双弱，钢价低位震荡 | 2 | | 碳酸锂：仓单增加但总量偏低，短期走势偏震荡 | 4 | | 工业硅：减产消息扰动，关注上方空间 | 6 | | 多晶硅：市场情绪发酵，亦关注上方空间 | 6 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 6 月 27 日 品 研 究 镍：远端镍矿端预期松动，冶炼端限制上方弹性 不锈钢：供需边际双弱，钢价低位震荡 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 镍基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沪镍主力（收盘价） | 120,830 | 2,230 | 1,940 | ...

1—5月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额27204.3亿元，同比下降1.1%（按可比口径计算，详见附注二）。 1—5月份，规模以上工业企业中，国有控股企业实现利润总额8709.5亿元，同比下降7.4%；股份制企业实现利润总额20170.7亿元，下降1.5%；外商及港澳 台投资企业实现利润总额6856.8亿元，增长0.3%；私营企业实现利润总额7592.5亿元，增长3.4%。 1—5月份，采矿业实现利润总额3580.4亿元，同比下降29.0%；制造业实现利润总额20201.4亿元，增长5.4%；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业实现利润 总额3422.5亿元，增长3.7%。 5月末，规模以上工业企业应收账款26.40万亿元，同比增长9.0%；产成品存货6.65万亿元，增长3.5%。 1—5月份，规模以上工业企业每百元营业收入中的成本为85.61元，同比增加0.24元；每百元营业收入中的费用为8.29元，同比减少0.14元。 5月末，规模以上工业企业每百元资产实现的营业收入为72.9元，同比减少1.6元；人均营业收入为179.6万元，同比增加5.6万元；产成品存货周转天数为20.8 天，同比增加0.1天；应收账 ...

Group 1: Production and Operating Conditions - The cultural and related industries achieved a record revenue of 19.1423 trillion yuan in 2024, marking a 7.1% increase from the previous year [2] - The cultural service sector generated 1.09134 trillion yuan, growing by 7.4% and accounting for 57.0% of total cultural industry revenue [2] - Nine major sectors within the cultural industry saw revenue growth, with notable increases in cultural equipment production (11.2%), news information services (8.6%), and content creation (8.4%) [2] Group 2: Asset and Profitability Conditions - The total assets of the cultural industry reached 34.3987 trillion yuan at the end of 2024, reflecting a 5.0% increase year-on-year [3] - The cultural industry generated a total profit of 1.7737 trillion yuan, up 7.9% from the previous year, with large-scale cultural enterprises contributing significantly to this growth [4] - The profit margin for the cultural industry was 9.3%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous year [4] Group 3: Technological Innovation and Investment Conditions - Research and development (R&D) expenditure in the cultural industry amounted to 162.5 billion yuan, representing a 1.7% increase [5] - The revenue from new cultural business models reached 666 billion yuan, growing by 12.4%, which is 5.3 percentage points higher than the overall cultural industry growth rate [6] - Fixed asset investment in the cultural industry increased by 2.9%, with significant growth in sectors such as cultural consumer terminal production (16.3%) and news information services (11.8%) [7]

Group 1 - The Akesu region is focusing on the construction goals of the "Ten Major Industrial Clusters" in the autonomous region, leveraging its resource and location advantages to enhance the industrial chain, supply chain, value chain, innovation chain, and circular chain [1] - Xinjiang Xinyangfeng Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. is a key enterprise in the region, specializing in the production and sales of water-soluble fertilizers, biological bacterial fertilizers, and compound fertilizers, with a new production line for specialized fertilizers with an annual capacity of 600,000 tons under construction [1][2] - The company has completed the construction and commissioning of a 150,000-ton water-soluble fertilizer production line in just seven months, with plans for additional production lines to be fully operational by October this year [1][2] Group 2 - The project is expected to achieve an annual output value of 1.5 billion yuan and tax revenue of 150 million yuan once fully operational, reflecting the region's efforts to optimize the business environment and attract investment [2] - The water-soluble fertilizer products are scientifically formulated based on crop nutrient needs, featuring rapid solubility, easy absorption, and no residue [2] - The Akesu region has established investment attraction as a top priority, utilizing a diversified investment promotion model to effectively attract significant projects, with 17 investment agreements signed since June, totaling 17.66 billion yuan [2]

敬请投资者重点关注本次发行流程、网上网下申购及缴款、弃购股份处 理等方面，并认真阅读同日披露于上海证券交易所网站和符合中国证监会规 定条件网站上的《华电新能源集团股份有限公司首次公开发行股票并在主板 上市发行安排及初步询价公告》。 华电新能源集团股份有限公司 首次公开发行股票并在主板 上市招股意向书提示性公告 联席保荐人（联席主承销商）：中国国际金融股份有限公司 联席保荐人（联席主承销商）：华泰联合证券有限责任公司 联席主承销商：中信证券股份有限公司 联席主承销商：中信建投证券股份有限公司 联席主承销商：国泰海通证券股份有限公司 联席主承销商：川财证券有限责任公司 扫描二维码查阅公告全文 华电新能源集团股份有限公司（以下简称"华电新能"、"发行人"或 "公司"）首次公开发行股票并在主板上市的申请已经上海证券交易所（以下 简称"上交所"）上市审核委员会审议通过，并已经中国证券监督管理委员会 （以下简称"中国证监会"）证监许可〔2025〕1035号同意注册。《华电新能 源集团股份有限公司首次公开发行股票并在主板上市招股意向书》及附录在 上海证券交易所网站（http://www.sse.com.cn/）和符合中国证 ...

Core Points - The company has completed the registration of changes in its business scope and has obtained a new business license [2][3] - The company has revised its articles of association to cancel the supervisory board and expand its business scope to include safety consulting services and special operations personnel safety technical training [2] Group 1 - The company held meetings on May 28, 2025, and June 19, 2025, to approve the cancellation of the supervisory board and the revision of the articles of association [2] - The new business license was issued on June 26, 2025, by the Yulin Administrative Approval Service Bureau [2] - The registered capital of the company is 3.972222 billion RMB [2] Group 2 - The company's business scope now includes manufacturing and sales of synthetic materials, chemical products, and safety consulting services [2] - The company is classified as a listed, state-controlled joint-stock company [2] - The company was established on May 6, 2003, and is located in the Jin Jie Industrial Park, Shenmu City, Yulin, Shaanxi Province [2]

联席主承销商：中信证券股份有限公司 华电新能源集团股份有限公司 首次公开发行股票并在主板 上市招股意向书提示性公告 联席保荐人（联席主承销商）：中国国际金融股份有限公司 联席保荐人（联席主承销商）：华泰联合证券有限责任公司 联席主承销商：中信建投证券股份有限公司 联席主承销商：国泰海通证券股份有限公司 联席主承销商：川财证券有限责任公司 扫描二维码查阅公告全文 华电新能源集团股份有限公司（以下简称"华电新能"、"发行人"或 "公司"）首次公开发行股票并在主板上市的申请已经上海证券交易所（以下 简称"上交所"）上市审核委员会审议通过，并已经中国证券监督管理委员会 （以下简称"中国证监会"）证监许可〔2025〕1035号同意注册。《华电新能 源集团股份有限公司首次公开发行股票并在主板上市招股意向书》及附录在 上海证券交易所网站（http://www.sse.com.cn/）和符合中国证监会规定条件网 站（中证网：http://www.cs.com.cn；中国证券网：http://www.cnstock.com；证 券时报网：http://www.stcn.com；证券日报网：http://www.zqrb.cn； ...

Core Viewpoint - Recently, Zhangzhou Lvkang Minhui New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with a registered capital of 5 million RMB, fully owned by Xiamen Lvkang Fanghui New Energy Co., Ltd. [1] Company Summary - Company Name: Zhangzhou Lvkang Minhui New Energy Co., Ltd. [1] - Legal Representative: Shen Xiaoxue [1] - Registered Capital: 5 million RMB [1] - Shareholder: Xiamen Lvkang Fanghui New Energy Co., Ltd. holds 100% [1] - Business Scope: Includes research and development of emerging energy technologies, solar and wind power technology services, sales of wind turbine units and components, energy management services, and various technical consulting services [1] - Business Address: 4th Floor, A4-008, Mingfa Plaza, 5-11 Pingning Road, Longhai District, Zhangzhou City, Fujian Province [1] - Company Type: Limited liability company (wholly owned by a natural person) [1] - Business Duration: Until June 25, 2025, with no fixed term [1] - Registration Authority: Zhangzhou Longhai District Market Supervision Administration [1] Industry Summary - National Standard Industry: Power, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry, specifically power production [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of implementing Xi Jinping's important speech during his inspection in Henan, focusing on the "two highs and four efforts" to mobilize the entire province towards modernization [1][2] - Kaifeng City has successfully completed its provincial and municipal key project targets ahead of schedule, with significant growth in the automotive manufacturing and new energy storage equipment industries, showing increases of 32.7% and 18.22% respectively [1] - The city has achieved a bumper summer grain harvest and record high cultural tourism reception and revenue, indicating a stable and improving economic situation [1] Group 2 - Kaifeng City plans to enhance confidence in high-quality development and effective governance by implementing eleven actions focused on manufacturing, aiming to establish three trillion-level industrial chains in automotive manufacturing, new chemical materials, and modern food [2] - The city aims to leverage the provincial cultural tourism development conference to transform the cultural tourism industry into a pillar, livelihood, and happiness industry [2] - There is a commitment to strengthen party leadership and ensure the implementation of central regulations, focusing on safety production and disaster prevention while enhancing the well-being of the populace [2]

Group 1 - China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. has obtained a patent for a tool cabinet designed for the convenient placement of long ladders, with the patent number CN223013167U and application date of August 2024 [1] - The patent describes a tool cabinet that includes a storage cabinet located on top of a ladder placement rack, which consists of multiple vertical rods and horizontal rods, providing a designated space for placing long ladders [1] - The design addresses safety hazards associated with leaning ladders against walls and the difficulty of neatly storing ladders on the ground, thereby optimizing space utilization [1] Group 2 - China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. was established in 2002 and is based in Beijing, primarily engaged in the production and supply of electricity and heat [2] - The company has a registered capital of approximately 2.45 billion RMB and has made investments in 46 enterprises, participated in 5,000 bidding projects, and holds 250 trademark registrations and 5,000 patent registrations [2] - Additionally, the company possesses 431 administrative licenses, indicating a robust operational framework [2]