东方金诚宏观研究 5 月"消费强投资弱"，经济运行保持较强韧性 ——2025 年 5 月宏观数据点评 5 月规上工业增加值同比增长 5.8%，增速较上月回落 0.3 个百分点。从三大门类看，5 月采矿业增加 值同比增速与上月持平，电力、燃气及水的生产和供应业增加值同比增速小幅加快，但在工业中占比最 高的制造业增加值增速较上月下滑 0.4 个百分点至 6.2%，拖累当月工业生产增速整体放缓。主要原因是 外部经贸环境急剧变化继续影响企业出口贸易，5 月工业企业出口交货值同比增速从上月的 0.9%进一步 回落至 0.6%。 首席宏观分析师 王青 研究发展部执行总监 冯琳 事件：据国家统计局 2025 年 6 月 16 日公布的数据，5 月规模以上工业增加值同比实际增长 5.8%， 前值为 6.1%，1-5 月累计同比为 6.3%，2024 年全年累计同比为 5.8%；5 月社会消费品零售总额同比增长 6.4%，前值为 5.1%，1-5 月累计同比为 5.0%，2024 年全年累计同比为 3.5%；1-5 月全国固定资产投资累 计同比增长 3.7%，前值为 4.0%，2024 年全年累计同比增长 3.2%。 基本观点 ...

宏观点评 20250616 证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 经济叙事的三重分化——5 月经济数据点评 2025 年 06 月 16 日 ◼ 具体来看，5 月经济各领域表现如下： 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 占烁 执业证书：S0600524120005 zhansh@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《工业生产淡季不弱，"抢出口"有所 放缓》 2025-06-15 《"抢进口"与服务部门衰退冲击令美 国 5 月 CPI 环比不及预期》 2025-06-15 东吴证券研究所 1 / 5 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 5 月经济仍然具有韧性。供给端，5 月工业增加值同比+5.8%，服务业生 产指数同比+6.2%，分别比上月下降 0.3 个点、提高 0.2 个点，供给侧工 业小幅走弱、服务业小幅走强，整体大致跟上月持平。需求端，社零同 比+6.4%，比上月提高 1.3 个点；固定资产投资累计同比 3.7%，比上月 下降 0.3 个点（推算当月同比从 3.6%降至 2.9%）； ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·商贸零售 商贸零售行业跟踪周报 5 月我国非美出口展现韧性，重视非美出口 枢纽小商品城的战略地位 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [周观点（注：文中"本周"指的 Table_Summary] 6 月 9 日至 6 月 15 日） 2025 年 06 月 16 日 证券分析师 吴劲草 证券分析师 阳靖 执业证书：S0600523020005 yangjing@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郗越 执业证书：S0600524080008 xiy@dwzq.com.cn 执业证书：S0600520090006 wujc@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石旖瑄 执业证书：S0600522040001 shiyx@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 张家璇 执业证书：S0600520120002 zhangjx@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 王琳婧 执业证书：S0600123070017 wanglj@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -11% -4% 3% 10% 17% 24% 31% 38% 45% 52% 6/17/2024 10/15/2024 2/12/2025 ...

Economic Overview - China's macroeconomic policies are well-prepared to respond dynamically to changing circumstances, ensuring stable economic operation [1][11] - In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, a significant rebound of 1.3 percentage points compared to April [1][3] - The industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.8% year-on-year in May, showing a slight decline of 0.3 percentage points from April [1][6] Consumption Growth - The increase in consumer spending is supported by several factors, including the "old-for-new" policy, promotional events like "6·18", and strong holiday consumption [3][4] - Retail sales of household appliances and communication equipment saw significant growth, contributing 1.9 percentage points to the total retail sales increase [4] - The restaurant sector experienced a year-on-year revenue growth of 5.9% in May, reflecting improved consumer confidence [4][6] Industrial Production - Industrial production remains robust, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% in May, supported by macroeconomic policies and industrial upgrades [6][8] - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors outperformed the overall industrial growth, with increases of 9% and 8.6% respectively [6][8] - High-tech product output, such as 3D printing equipment and integrated circuits, saw substantial growth, with increases of 40% and 11.5% respectively [6] Investment Trends - From January to May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 191,947 billion yuan, growing by 3.7% year-on-year [10] - Infrastructure investment grew by 5.6%, while manufacturing investment increased by 8.5%, contrasting with a decline of 10.7% in real estate development investment [10] - The issuance of new local government special bonds exceeded 440 billion yuan in May, indicating a strong push for effective investment [10] Future Outlook - The economic environment remains complex, with external uncertainties and domestic challenges persisting, necessitating continued policy support [1][8] - The focus will be on enhancing consumer capacity and willingness, improving the consumption environment, and promoting high-quality development [4][11] - The manufacturing investment growth rate is expected to gradually decline to around 8% by 2025, influenced by external pressures and domestic productivity improvements [10]

| 发行人全称 | 板块 | 审核状态 | 注册地 | 行业分类 | 保荐机构 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上海超硅半导体股份有限 | 科创板 | 已受理 | 下滑 | 计算机、通信和其 | 长江证券承销保 | | 公司 | | | | 他电子设备制造业 | 荐有限公司 | | 深圳市恒运昌真空技术股 | 科创板 | 已受理 | 广东 | 专用设备制造业 | 中信证券股份有 | | 份有限公司 | | | | | 限公司 | | 西百菲乳业股份有限公 | 主板 | 已受理 | 广西 | 食品制造业 | 国融证券股份有 | | lo | | | | | 限公司 | 招股书显示，百菲乳业主要从事乳制品和含乳饮料的研发、生产与销售，产品包括以生水牛乳、生牛乳为主要原料的灭菌乳、调制乳、发酵乳、巴氏杀菌乳 和含乳饮料等。 智通财经APP获悉，6月13日，上交所披露，广西百菲乳业股份有限公司(百菲乳业)、深圳市恒运昌真空技术股份有限公司(恒运昌)、上海超硅半导体股份有 限公司(上海超硅)上交所IPO申请已获受理。 上海超硅主要从事全球半导体市场需求最大的300 m ...

研 究 专 题 新股研究 2025 年 06 月 15 日 信通电子：电力通信智能运维细分龙头 ——注册制新股纵览 20250615 投资提示： 相关研究 - 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 pengwy@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 联系人 任奕璇 (8621)23297818× renyx2@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 新 股 发 行 ⚫ AHP 得分：剔除流动性溢价后，信通电子 1.82 分，位于总分的 24.5%分位。信通 电子于 2025 年 6 月 12 日招股，将在主板上市。剔除、考虑流动性溢价因素后， 我们测算信通电子 AHP 得分分别为 1.82/2.09 分，分别位于非科创体系 AHP 模型 总分的 24.5%/37.6%分位，分别处于中游偏下、中游偏上水平。以 90%入围率计， 中性预期 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the robust growth of Guangxi's foreign trade in the first five months of the year, with total imports and exports reaching 323.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, significantly outpacing the national growth rate by 12.3 percentage points [1] - Exports amounted to 199.07 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.6%, while imports were 124.57 billion yuan, remaining stable compared to the same period last year [1] - The number of private enterprises engaged in foreign trade exceeded 4,000 for the first time, reaching 4,066, with a total import and export value of 224.03 billion yuan, up 16.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The main export products from Guangxi in the first five months were electromechanical and labor-intensive products, which accounted for over 70% of total exports, with significant growth in clothing and lithium batteries [1] - The import of bulk commodities showed signs of recovery, with a total of 29.7 million tons imported, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, but the decline was narrowed by 4 percentage points compared to the previous four months [1] - Guangxi's industrial sector has been actively supported by the government, leading to increased production and investment, which has significantly bolstered foreign trade [2] Group 3 - The export figures for specific industries in Guangxi included electrical machinery and equipment at 28.26 billion yuan, paper manufacturing at 4.83 billion yuan, automotive at 9.7 billion yuan, and computer and electronic equipment at 41.08 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 55.5%, 24.6%, 24.3%, and 25.9% [2] - The import of consumer goods reached 6.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, with notable growth in imports of palm oil from Indonesia, bananas from Cambodia, and fruit juices from Thailand, contributing to a 15.2 percentage point increase in consumer goods imports [2]

6月13日，截至现券市场收盘，25复星高科MTN003(资产担保)成交净价100.00元，交易量10.1亿元，最 新收益率3.6899%。 通过天眼查大数据分析，上海复星高科技(集团)有限公司共对外投资了131家企业，参与招投标项目54 次，知识产权方面有商标信息600条，专利信息2条，此外企业还拥有行政许可2个。 资料显示，25复星高科MTN003(资产担保)债券全上海复星高科技(集团)有限公司2025年度第三期资产 担保债务融资工具（代码102582402），发行人为上海复星高科技(集团)有限公司，于2025年6月11日发 行，到期兑付日2027年6月12日，实际发行量15亿元。 来源：金融界 债券简称25复星高科MTN003(资产担保)债券代码102582402债券类型中期票据发行人上海复星高科技 (集团)有限公司债券发行日2025-06-11到期兑付日2027-06-12债券期限1+1年面值(元)100.00发行价格 (元)100.0000计划发行量(亿)15实际发行量(亿)15息票类型附息式固定利率付息频率年债券起息日2025- 06-12票面利率(%)3.6900是否含权是 天眼查App显示，上海 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent related to an image processing method, device, and equipment, indicating ongoing innovation in image processing technology [1] - The patent application, published as CN120151542A, was filed on December 2023 and focuses on a method that analyzes images to determine target and non-target areas, adjusting compression rates accordingly [1] - The method involves using different QP (Quantization Parameter) adjustment values for target and non-target areas, which allows for optimized image encoding and the generation of HEIF (High Efficiency Image File Format) images [1] Group 2 - Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2001 and is primarily engaged in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices [2] - The company has a registered capital of approximately 923.32 million RMB and has made investments in 68 enterprises [2] - Hikvision has participated in around 5000 bidding projects and holds a significant number of intellectual property assets, including 5000 patents and 833 trademark registrations [2]

天眼查资料显示，武汉鼎泽新材料技术有限公司，成立于2017年，位于武汉市，是一家以从事化学原料 和化学制品制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本1500万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，武汉鼎泽新材料 技术有限公司共对外投资了3家企业，专利信息30条，此外企业还拥有行政许可7个。 金融界2025年6月14日消息，国家知识产权局信息显示，武汉鼎泽新材料技术有限公司、鼎泽（仙桃） 新材料技术有限公司、湖北鼎龙新材料有限公司、湖北鼎龙控股股份有限公司申请一项名为"CMP水性 浆料组合物及其应用"的专利，公开号CN120137535A，申请日期为2025年04月。 专利摘要显示，本发明提供一种应用在浅沟槽隔离（STI）制程、包含二氧化铈磨粒、电解质改性剂和 含氮化学添加剂的化学机械抛光（Chemical Mechanical Polishing）水性浆料组合物，本水性浆料组合物 可提供STI制程自动停止抛光,其使CMP后的不均匀性最小化并且还延长抛光可以持续超过终点的时间, 而没有过度抛光介电二氧化硅膜的风险。 来源：金融界 湖北鼎龙新材料有限公司，成立于2018年，位于武汉市，是一家以从事计算机、通信和其他电子设备制 造业为 ...