东方雨虹 20250709 摘要 公司在去年下半年价格战后，试点提价策略，发现对销量影响不大，决 定逐步恢复价格，尤其在零售端防水涂料市场（占全国 70%份额）具有 较强议价能力，提价幅度最高达十几个百分点，瓷砖胶等基础材料也适 度上调。 工程市场竞争格局变化，头部企业如宇宏、科顺和北新防水不再内卷， 陆续发布涨价函，宇宏 3 月涨价函已落地，4 月价格止跌，二季度累计 价格环比一季度略有提升，预示行业平均利润率有望恢复。 工程市场需求下行，大量防水公司退出，从业企业数量大幅下降（估计 至少 60%），价格影响力集中于宇宏、科顺和北新防水三家，若三家不 再打价格战，调价落地可行性较高。 价格战导致防水行业质量下降，部分企业产品甚至无法达标五项基本检 测指标。强条在重点工程有效，但普通项目落地效果差，需加强监管， 避免牺牲质量换取市场份额的短视行为。 2025 年上半年，民建业务一季度收入下降十几个百分点，二季度恢复 双位数增长，预计全年增长；零售业务一、二季度均增长，优于工程市 场；工程市场降幅收窄，但价格基数低影响收入。 Q&A 东方雨虹近期防水产品的提价背景及其持续性如何？ 东方雨虹近期的防水产品提价主要 ...

百果园 20250709 摘要 百果园 2024 年全年净亏损 3.9 亿元，主要由于执行高性价比战略导致 毛利率从 11.5%下降至 7.4%，毛利额减少约 5.5 亿元。为提升竞争力， 公司策略性让利消费者，短期内影响了盈利能力。 百果园积极调整门店结构，2024 年净减少 966 家门店，预计 2025 上 半年继续关闭约 400 家低效门店。调整后，订单量与客流呈双位数增长， 4 月以来通过产品结构调优和毛利品销售指导支持，毛利率和单店毛利 额有显著提升。预计下半年重启扩张。 百果园坚持高品质、高性价比战略，聚焦提升单店盈利能力、优化门店 投资成本和拓展国内外市场。国内市场深耕餐饮、茶饮等渠道，海外市 场拓展蜜瓜、蓝莓等品类，并已在印尼开设线下门店。 为提升加盟商投资回报率，百果园取消特许权使用费，推出开业补贴政 策，并优化装修方案和设备，将单店初始投资成本从 28 万元降至 23.4 万元，显著缩短门店回本周期至两年左右。 2025 年上半年同店销售整体持平，但客流实现同比双位数增长。同店 销售主要受全国性降价影响，如草莓和车厘子。单店毛利额同比个位数 增长，环比双位数增长，毛利率低个位数提升。礼品 ...

各位上午好今天是7月9号欢迎来到摩根史丹利每周三的这个周期论剑的在线直播我是张蕾Rachel基础销量行业的分析师今天呢我们讨论几个主题一个呢是我们交易行业的首席范建磊会聊一下他们最近对交易行业的一些观点的更新接着呢我们金融行业的首席虚然会聊一下金融消费支付的数据反弹很明显但是为什么银行市场的这个份额在下降 然后再接着呢我们对这个新能源的这个首席意外侯会聊一下第一呢就是最近四源电器他们刚出了一个首次覆盖的报告第二的话呢就是这几天这个整个光伏板块这个反内卷的一些这个小作文满天飞所以他会聊一下他们这边的观点我呢会最后聊一下反内卷这个对我们原材料行业的一些影响 开始之前,例行我需要读一个DISCLAIMER请注意本次会议已经面向摩根史丹利的机构客户以及财务顾问本会议不对媒体开放如果您来自媒体的话,敬请退出会议另外提示一下大家,在整个会议的过程中您可以随时在屏幕上发送您的问题不需要等到最后这样我们可以节约一些后面的这个Q&A等待的时间好的,我也不多说了,我先把时间交给茜蕾 好的谢谢Rachel 大家好我们在过去这一周的时间还是有比较多的各个子行业的一些更新那今天我会分子行业分别讲一下先说一下快递那快递我们这一周比较这个 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Waterproof Industry Price Increase Industry Overview - The waterproof industry is experiencing a significant price increase due to a challenging market environment in 2024, primarily influenced by a downturn in the real estate sector and a subsequent decline in demand for renovation and construction materials [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Price War Impact**: In 2024, the industry faced a price war that led to three rounds of price reductions (15%-20%), which did not improve sales or market share but diluted profits [1][2]. - **Price Increase Implementation**: Starting mid-June 2025, companies began to implement price increases across various product categories: waterproof materials (3%-8%), mortar products (5%-7%), and sealants (8%-10%), with an overall increase of approximately 6%-7% [1][2]. - **Sales and Profit Goals**: The price increase aims to improve unsatisfactory sales progress and profit margins from the first half of 2025. Companies hope to encourage distributors to increase inventory and meet sales targets [1][2][7]. - **Market Stability and Volatility**: Current market prices are relatively stable, but fluctuations may occur during late July to early August when distributors purchase in bulk, making this a critical period for assessing the effectiveness of the price increase [1][8]. - **Profit Margin Expectations**: If the price increase is successful, company-level profits are expected to rise by 4-5 percentage points. Some companies are also reducing costs through layoffs and cutting unnecessary expenses [1][10]. - **Distributor Contract Adjustments**: Major companies are adjusting distributor contracts to lower sales targets, helping distributors maintain profit margins amid market challenges [1][11]. Additional Important Insights - **Regional Demand Decline**: The Southwest region has seen a more than 30% reduction in demand for construction materials since 2023, with new projects decreasing significantly [2][16]. - **Market Share Variability**: Companies like Dekor and Rain Rainbow have varying market shares in the Southwest, with Dekor holding about 12%-13% and Rain Rainbow around 10% [22]. - **Future Trends**: The trend of rural self-built housing is expected to continue, particularly in regions like Yunnan and Guizhou, driven by local cultural factors and government policies [20][21]. - **Profitability Focus Shift**: There is a potential shift in performance evaluation from sales volume to profit margins, which may lead to changes in operational strategies, including cost-cutting measures [29][30]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding the waterproof industry's current state and future outlook.

最美增江游一期启动区建设项目（简称：增江游项目），森林海旅游度假区项目（简称：森林海项 目），和从化区龙潭水库、麻村水库大水面生态养殖试点项目，这是7月10日刚刚在广州签约的3个水经 济项目，分别聚焦水系旅游、滨水休闲康养、湖库生态养殖3类业态。 南方财经记者郑玮 广州报道 7月10日，3个环"两山"水经济项目在广州增城举办的环"两山"水经济发展研讨会现场签约，计划总投资 额超过16亿元。同日，广东还发布了首批16宗环"两山"水经济储备项目，谋划业态覆盖滨水文旅、水上 运动、滨水休闲康养等多个领域，未来将陆续开启招商。 这是近年广东拓展水生态产品价值实现路径的一个新信号。 南方财经记者从广东省水利厅获悉，截至2025年初，广东全省已开展水经济试点项目115宗，其中省级 水经济试点项目16宗、市级试点项目68宗、县级试点项目31宗，并谋划储备总投资近1000亿元的水经济 新业态项目，投资主体以民企为主。 水经济新业态何以频频吸金？从价值转换路径看，水上运动、水系旅游、滨水康养、优质水开发、湖库 生态养殖等业态成为当前广东多地探索推进的水生态"变现"模式。其中，以水上运动、温泉康养等为代 表的体验式消费项目，颇受 ...

Core Insights - Zaozhuang has achieved comprehensive safe, high-quality, and reliable water supply across urban and rural areas after two years of efforts [1][2][3] Group 1: Water Supply Infrastructure - Zaozhuang has invested over 5.1 billion yuan in integrated urban and rural water supply projects, establishing a "1+3" water supply framework [2] - A new surface water plant with a daily supply capacity of 220,000 tons has been constructed in the central urban area, along with 135 kilometers of supporting water distribution pipelines [2] - The rural water supply rate in mountainous areas has increased significantly from 2.49% to over 97% through innovative supply models [2] Group 2: Water Quality and Risk Management - A dynamic monitoring and water quality testing mechanism has been established to ensure comprehensive compliance with water quality standards [3] - The "1+N" management model has been implemented for county-level water supply, allowing for full-process management from water production to consumption [3] - The company aims to create a reliable water supply service system that ensures all 4.22 million residents have access to high-quality and safe drinking water [3]

其 他 报 告 2025年07月11日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3510 | 0.48 | 1.40 | | 深证成份指数 | 10631 | 0.47 | 1.25 | | 沪深300指数 | 4010 | 0.47 | 1.54 | | 创业板指数 | 2190 | 0.22 | 1.50 | | 上证国债指数 | 226 | -0.02 | 0.16 | | 上证基金指数 | 6949 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | 海外市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 中国香港恒生指数 | 24028 | 0.57 | -1.52 | | 中国香港国企指数 | 8668 | 0.83 | -1.75 | | 中国台湾加权指数 | 22693 | 0.74 | -0.14 | | 道琼斯指数 | 44458 | 0.49 | 2.30 | | ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the rising popularity of blue crayfish, specifically the Australian freshwater crayfish, in Changshu, which is being marketed as a premium alternative to traditional crayfish [1][2] - The blue crayfish is larger and has a higher meat yield compared to regular crayfish, with prices being twice as high but offering three to five times the meat yield [1][2] - Local restaurants, such as Wang Si Restaurant and Changshu International Hotel, have begun to incorporate blue crayfish into their menus, reflecting a growing trend in the "crayfish economy" [1][2] Group 2 - The blue crayfish is cultivated locally by Suzhou Hengyang Aolong Agricultural Technology Co., which has developed proprietary breeding techniques and established seven seedling bases nationwide, achieving annual sales of over 3,000 tons and exceeding 100 million yuan in revenue [2] - The collaboration between local restaurants and the crayfish supplier aims to enhance the value of local agricultural products and provide unique dining experiences for both residents and visitors [2][3] - Continuous innovation in dish offerings and feedback loops between restaurants and suppliers are being emphasized to improve the quality of the blue crayfish and adapt to market demands [3]

Group 1: Marine Economy Development - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of high-quality development in the marine economy as part of China's modernization strategy, driven by technological innovation [1] - The Chinese government is focusing on enhancing independent innovation capabilities in marine technology and fostering leading marine technology enterprises [1] - The article highlights the significance of marine resources and the need for strategic management to boost the marine economy [1] Group 2: Marine Aquaculture - The article discusses the advantages of large-scale aquaculture, specifically the use of oversized net cages that enhance the quality of fish, such as the large yellow croaker [2] - The unique geographical features of the region, including nutrient-rich waters from three rivers, contribute to the area's prominence in yellow croaker production [2] - Innovations in net cage design, such as using high-density polyethylene, improve resilience against harsh weather conditions [2][3] Group 3: Smart Aquaculture Technologies - The integration of smart technologies in aquaculture management allows for real-time monitoring of water quality parameters, significantly reducing disease rates among fish [3] - The establishment of a net-free sound wave marine ranch aims to simulate wild conditions for fish, aiding in the recovery of natural populations [3] Group 4: Wind Power Development - The article outlines the rapid development of offshore wind power in Fujian, with a total installed capacity of 383,000 kilowatts expected by May 2025 [6][7] - The use of domestic equipment in offshore wind projects marks a significant advancement in China's high-end manufacturing capabilities [7] - The article highlights the importance of energy storage solutions to enhance the utilization of offshore wind power [7] Group 5: Seaweed Industry Potential - Seaweed is identified as a valuable resource with significant potential for high-end applications, such as the production of ultra-pure sodium alginate for medical use [8][9] - The successful industrialization of ultra-pure sodium alginate represents a breakthrough in overcoming previous market monopolies [9] Group 6: LNG Dual-Fuel Shipbuilding - The construction of LNG dual-fuel ships is highlighted as a response to international emissions reduction targets, with significant reductions in CO2 emissions [10][12] - The article discusses the challenges faced in developing LNG fuel tanks and the innovative solutions implemented by domestic shipbuilders [11] Group 7: Desalination Projects - The establishment of a large-scale seawater desalination project in Tianjin aims to meet the freshwater needs of the chemical industry, replacing over 5 million tons of freshwater annually [14][15] - The project utilizes advanced dual-membrane desalination technology, achieving significant efficiency in freshwater production [15][16] - The integration of a circular economy model around desalination processes is being developed to enhance resource utilization [16]

除了品类和产地，消费者购买桃子时的关注点愈发明确。"爆甜多汁""皮薄多汁""现摘新鲜"位列桃子消 费关键词热度前三名，表明口感、外观与产地新鲜度成为影响用户消费决策的关键因素。从地域消费分 布看，华南、华东市场为桃子的主要消费区域，广东、北京、江苏三省份占据销量榜前三名。此外，随 着冷链物流的普及与平台供应链下沉能力的增强，西部等地区市场表现活跃，新疆、海南、西藏等地销 量同比增长明显，正成为桃子消费的新增长区域。 从产地到品类，从口感到包装，桃子这一传统水果正以更细分、更精致的姿态焕发新活力。未来，如何 围绕不同产地特色和细分种类口感构建品牌识别、掌握消费心理，将成为桃子产业升级的重要突破口。 （文章来源：经济日报） 进入盛夏，随着桃子主产区陆续进入采摘高峰期，市场消费也快速升温。数据显示，桃子整体销售热度 走高，水蜜桃、油桃、黄桃成为销量占比前三名的品类，鹰嘴桃、黄金蟠桃等品种则展现出强劲增长势 头，同比增速均超7倍。 从产地来看，山东临沂蒙阴、江苏无锡阳山、四川成都龙泉驿位列销量前三名。其中，蒙阴桃品类齐 全、供货稳定，毛桃、油桃、蟠桃等品类应有尽有，占总销量16%。泰安肥城、宁波奉化、安徽砀山等 产地 ...