每日市场观察 2025 年 5 月 7 日 【今日关注】 周二是五月份的第一个交易日，A 股三大股指跳空高开，全天走势稳健 上扬，三大股指都以全日最高点位收盘；收盘沪指涨 1.13%，深证成指 涨 1.84%，创业板指涨 1.97%。沪深两市成交额达到 1.336 万亿，较前 一交易日放量 1600 多亿元，行业板块基本呈现全线上涨，计算机、机 械设备、通信、电子、传媒、电力、汽车等行业涨幅居前，概念板块方 面可控核聚变、超导、稀土永磁、华为鸿蒙、信创、光通信等板块市场 全面开花，两市上涨股票数量超过 4900 多只。 五一长假期间美国重启贸易谈判意愿增强，外围市场表现较好，A 股长 假后首日的表现显示出 A 股市场抵御外部冲击的基础稳固，三大股指同 步上扬显示出市场反弹力度在提升。技术面上，沪指自 4 月 23 日连续 调整结束后再度冲击 60 日均线，深成指和创业板指在四月份的市场表 现一直弱于沪指，周二盘中表现强于沪指，预示 A 股市场的风险偏好在 提高；技术上看，三大股指均收出有跳空缺口的阳线，技术走势转强， 从日 K 线上分析，深成指和创业板距离 60 日均线的幅度较大，后期市 场的反弹空间可以期待 ...

王青 闫骏 冯琳 事件：根据国家统计局公布的数据，2025 年 4 月，中国制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为 49.0%，比 3 月下降 1.5 个百分点；4 月，非制造业商务活动指数为 50.4%，比 3 月下降 0.4 个百分点，其中，建 筑业商务活动指数为 51.9%，比 3 月下降 1.5 个百分点，服务业 PMI 指数为 50.1%，比 3 月下降 0.2 个 百分点；4 月综合 PMI 产出指数为 50.2%，比 3 月下降 1.2 个百分点。 4 月 PMI 数据要点解读如下： 4 月制造业 PMI 指数下降 1.5 个百分点，符合预期。背后主要有两个原因：一是外部环境急剧变 化。4 月初美国对全球加征所谓的"对等关税"，我国外部经贸环境骤然生变，外需出现明显下滑，对 制造业供需两端形成较大拖累。这是 4 月制造业 PMI 指数出现近两年来最大幅度下行的主要原因。二 是季节性因素。3 月是制造业旺季，4 月制造业景气度会有季节性下行。数据显示，过去 10 年中，4 月 制造业 PMI 指数比 3 月平均低 0.8 个百分点。 数据显示，3 月新出口订单指数比上月大幅下行 4.3 个百分点，降至 4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The April PMI data indicates a decline in manufacturing while the service sector remains in expansion, suggesting potential policy adjustments in response to economic conditions [1][4]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for April is reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, falling below the critical threshold [1][2]. - Production and new orders indices are at 49.8% and 49.2%, respectively, both showing declines of 2.8 and 2.6 percentage points, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing production and market demand [2]. - High-tech manufacturing PMI remains in the expansion zone at 51.5%, despite a 0.8 percentage point drop, demonstrating resilience and strong support from market demand and policy [3]. - The decline in manufacturing PMI is attributed to external economic changes, particularly the impact of increased tariffs from the U.S., and seasonal factors, as April typically sees a decrease following the peak in March [2][3]. Service Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.4%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, but still indicates expansion [4]. - The service sector PMI is at 50.1%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points, with seasonal factors contributing to this change [5]. - The construction PMI is reported at 51.9%, down 1.5 percentage points, primarily due to a decline in real estate investment, although civil engineering activity shows a significant increase, indicating potential for future growth [5]. Economic Outlook - The expectation is that domestic demand will counterbalance the slowdown in external demand, becoming a key support for manufacturing sector performance [6]. - There is a prediction that the manufacturing PMI may remain in the contraction zone in May but could rebound to around 49.5% due to increased policy support [7]. - The likelihood of policy rate cuts is increasing as the manufacturing PMI remains in contraction for two consecutive months, with expectations for timely adjustments in monetary policy [1][7].

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI in April 2025 has declined compared to the previous month and the past five-year average, indicating a weakening manufacturing sector under external pressures, particularly from trade tensions with the US [1][3][4] Manufacturing PMI Analysis - The manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is reported at 49.0%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month and 1.3 percentage points lower than the five-year average, reflecting a decrease in manufacturing activity due to external trade pressures [2][3] - The production index within the manufacturing PMI is at 49.8%, which is 2.4 percentage points lower than the five-year average, indicating a decline in production levels [4] - The new export orders index is at 44.7%, significantly lower than the five-year average by 4.8 percentage points, primarily due to reduced exports to the US [4][5] Sector Performance - Among 15 major manufacturing sectors, only 5 have PMIs above the threshold, with 4 sectors showing a month-on-month increase, including non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, which rose by 9.1 percentage points [5] - The gap between PMIs of large, medium, and small enterprises is narrowing, with large enterprises experiencing a more significant decline [5] Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is at 50.4%, which is 3.6 percentage points lower than the five-year average, indicating weaker domestic demand [6] - The service sector PMI is at 50.1%, and the construction sector PMI is at 51.9%, both reflecting a decline compared to historical averages [6] Policy Response - The Central Political Bureau meeting in April outlined measures to stabilize the economy, including accelerating existing policy implementation, introducing new policies, and preparing contingency plans [7] - Specific actions include expediting the issuance of local government bonds and establishing new financial tools to support infrastructure and industrial investments [7] Market Outlook - Economic fundamentals are expected to support the bond market, with anticipated monetary easing leading to a potential decline in interest rates for medium and long-term bonds [8]

PMI 虽有回落，政策积极发力 [Table_Authors] 侯欢(分析师) ——4 月全国 PMI 数据解读 本报告导读： 外部冲击影响加大，4 月 PMI 边际回落。接下来，或加力推动既定政策 落地见效，通过增强内需主动力作用应对外部不确定性。 投资要点： 登记编号 S0880525040074 证 券 研 究 报 告 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.04.30 2025-05-02 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 研 究 宏 观 题 021-38676666 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 4 月，制造业 PMI 为 49.0%，比上月下降 1.5 个百分点；服 务业商务活动指数为 50.1%，比上月下降 0.2 个百分点；建筑业商务 活动指数为 51.9%，比上月下降 1.5 个百分点。 关税扰动，制造业 PMI 边际回落。制造业 PMI 由升转降，主因贸易 摩擦导致的外部环境急剧变化。不过，以内销为主的制造业经营相 对稳定，对 PMI 有所支撑。考虑到国内积极政策节奏加快，我 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, total revenues were $380.6 million, down from $404.3 million in Q1 2024, representing a decrease of 5.6% year over year [18] - Residential data revenues decreased by $10.7 million or 4.5% year over year, with residential data subscribers and ARPU both declining by 1.1% [18] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $2.6 million, compared to $37.4 million in Q1 2024, driven by lower income from operations and increased non-cash equity method accounting loss [20] - Adjusted EBITDA was $203 million in Q1 2025, representing a 53.3% margin, compared to $217 million and a 53.7% margin in Q1 2024 [20] - Capital expenditures were $71.1 million, an increase of $5.2 million or 8% from Q1 2024 [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business data revenues grew by 1.2% compared to Q1 2024, with strong performance in carrier and enterprise fiber businesses [19] - Residential video revenues decreased by $9.6 million or 15.8% year over year, driven by losses in video subscribers [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a churn rate that remained historically low, despite unusual churn events in Q1 2025 [7][8] - The company is experiencing competitive pressure from mobile operators in nearly all markets, which has not changed significantly [57] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is executing a multiyear plan aimed at achieving sustained profitable growth in a competitive environment [5] - A revised capital allocation strategy has been implemented, including the suspension of the quarterly cash dividend to accelerate debt repayment and invest in organic growth initiatives [17][22] - New product offerings such as FlexConnect and Internet Lift are being piloted to attract value-conscious customers and drive growth [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in returning to broadband revenue growth in 2025, despite a slow start in Q1 [36] - The company is focused on improving customer acquisition and retention through enhanced strategies and new product offerings [9][12] - Management highlighted the importance of a disciplined and strategic approach to customer engagement and retention [46] Other Important Information - The company has a debt balance of approximately $3.6 billion, with a weighted average cost of debt at 3.9% [24] - The company plans to maintain a balanced approach to capital allocation while focusing on long-term growth initiatives [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What led to the decision to eliminate the dividend? - Management clarified that the decision was based on capital allocation strategies and not due to any going concern or debt covenant issues [31] Question: When can the company expect to see broadband subscriber growth? - Management indicated that while they cannot specify an exact timeline, they believe they will deliver broadband revenue growth in 2025 [36] Question: What were the unusual churn events in the quarter? - Management explained that the unusual churn was due to several factors, including billing migration activities and weather-related events [43] Question: What is the ARPU for the new products FlexConnect and Lyft? - Management stated that while they cannot provide specific ARPU figures yet, they are seeing positive trends in customer satisfaction and data usage for these products [55]

2025年4月29日，广西广电(600936.SH)发布2025年一季报。 | 序号 | 股东名称 | 持股比例 | | --- | --- | --- | | I | 广西北部湾投资集团有限公司 | 27.84% | | | 南宁广播电视台 | 6.51% | | WN | 柳州市广播电视台 | 4.56% | | 4 | 陈宣炳 | 2.18% | | 5 | 玉林广播电视台(玉林市融媒体中心) | 1.45% | | 6 | 贵港市广播电视台 | 1.38% | | 7 | 河池市广播电视台 | 1.02% | | 8 | 北海市融媒体中心(北海日报社、北海广播电视台) | 0.88% | | 9 | 来宾市广播电视台 | 0.80% | | 10 | 桂林广播电视台 | 0.78% | 公司最新毛利率为-1.47%，在已披露的同业公司中排名第14，较上季度毛利率增加0.19个百分点，较去 年同期毛利率减少1.44个百分点。最新ROE为-43.67%，在已披露的同业公司中排名第15，较去年同期 ROE减少30.84个百分点。 公司摊薄每股收益为-0.12元，在已披露的同业公司中排名第13，较去年同报告期 ...

金融界2025年5月1日消息，国家知识产权局信息显示，中移信息系统集成有限公司；中移雄安信息通信 科技有限公司；中移系统集成有限公司；中国移动通信集团有限公司申请一项名为"异常检测处理方法 及装置"的专利，公开号CN119884934A，申请日期为2024年12月。 专利摘要显示，本说明书一个实施例提供了一种异常检测处理方法及装置，该方法包括：对待处理对象 对应的第一数据序列的序列特征进行特征转换，获得转换特征；根据转换特征和待处理对象对应的第二 数据序列的辅助序列特征，构建第一数据序列的位置特征；对位置特征和序列特征进行融合处理，获得 融合特征，并根据融合特征、辅助序列特征和序列特征，计算第一数据序列的目标序列特征；基于目标 序列特征和第二数据序列的序列特征，对待处理对象进行异常检测，获得检测结果。采用本申请实施例 能够提升异常检测的精确度。 天眼查资料显示，中移信息系统集成有限公司，成立于2020年，位于北京市，是一家以从事软件和信息 技术服务业为主的企业。企业注册资本50000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中移信息系统集成有 限公司参与招投标项目1347次，专利信息146条，此外企业还拥有行政许可10 ...

| 何宁（分析师） | 陈策（分析师） | | --- | --- | | hening@kysec.cn | chence@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522110002 | 证书编号：S0790524020002 | 事件：2025 年 4 月官方制造业 PMI 49.0%，预期 49.8%，前值 50.5%；官方非制 造业 PMI 50.4%，前值 50.8%。 制造业：分项普遍走弱，外需与价格降幅较大 1、关税扰动初步显现，叠加此前抢出口抢生产形成的高基数，制造业 PMI 分 项普遍走弱。供需端，PMI 生产年内首次降至荣枯线下，外需降幅大于内需； 分行业来看，纺织、纺织服装服饰、金属制品等行业产需回落，农副食品加工、 食品及酒饮料精制茶、医药相对稍好。 2、工业原材料价格回落，预计 4 月 PPI 同比降幅扩大。4 月 PMI 原材料购进价 格与 PMI 出厂价格分别为 47.0%、44.8%，分别较前值回落了 2.8、3.1 个百分点。 根据高频指标预计 4 月 PPI 环比可能在-0.3%左右，同比在-2.5%左右。 2025 年 04 月 30 日 关税扰动的 2 个阶段 宏 ...

报 告 正 文 4 月制造业 PMI 回落至线下，供需两端均有走弱。服务业和建筑业商务活动指数均线上回落。 PMI 表现如何？ 4 月 全国制造业 PMI 录得 49.0% ，较上月下降 1.5 个百分点。各分项均较上月下降，其中 需求相对供给继续增强，内需相对外需大幅增强，大中小企业均落至线下运行，原材料价格和产成品价格双双 回落。 为何本月制造业 PMI 大幅下降？ 主要原因有三： 一是 前期"抢出口"影响下，制造业较快增长，导致 前期基数较高； 二是 外部环境急剧变化， 4 月 2 日美国对全球贸易伙伴强加关税压制抢出口； 三是 季节转 淡，存在一定的季节性影响。当前主要经济体制造业景气度普遍位于收缩区间， 3 月份美国制造业 PMI 为 49.0% ， 4 月份欧元区、英国、日本制造业 PMI 初值均低于临界点。 此外，有三点值得关注 ： 一是外部环境变化影响下，行业表现分化。 高技术制造业和部分内销为主的行业表 现相对稳定， 4 月高技术制造业 PMI 为 51.5% ，明显高于制造业总体水平；农副食品、酒饮料茶、医药等行 业的生产和新订单指数均位于 53.0% 及以上；服务业和建筑业商务活动预期指 ...