策略研究 / 2025.06.30 全球资本流向非美,国内杠杆资金加快扩张 方奕(分析师) 021-38676666 -投资者微观行为洞察手册 · 6月第 3 期 登记编与 S0880520120005 本报告导读: 郭胤含(分析师) 021-38676666 本期市场交易热度大幅抬升,融资资金大幅流入,ETF与外资资金转为流出,偏股 基金新发规模边际下降。南下资金流入持续抬升。 合记编与 S0880524100001 投资要点: 田开轩(分析师) 市场定价状态:市场整体交易热度快速抬升,赚钱效应明显。1)市 0 场情绪(上升):本期国泰海通资金流入强度指数整体持续上升, 食记编与 S0880524080006 市场交易热度底部抬升,全 A 日均成交额从 1.2 万亿上升至 1.5 万 亿,上证指数换手率分位数上升至85%,科创板换手率分位数上升 至 40%。日均涨停家数上升至 71 家,最大连板数为 6个,封板率上 升至 77.2%,龙虎榜上榜家数降至 61 家。2）赚钱效应(上升): 行业交易集中度回升,本期行业换手率历史分位数处于 90%以上的 行业有 7个,环比增加5个,其中换手率分位数超 95%的行 ...

分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 分析师：张文宇 执业证书编号：S0740520120003 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和重要声明 【市场回顾】 证券研究报告 信用业务周报 近期科技金融为何强势反弹？ 2025年6月30日 中泰证券研究所 图表：市场表现回顾 数据来源：Wind，中泰证券研究所 2 【市场观察】如何看待科技金融强势反弹？ 3 • 一、如何看待科技金融强势反弹？ • 近期A股科技板块强势反弹，背后是宏观风险缓解与市场风险偏好修复的共振结果。一方面，中东局 势超市场预期平息，大幅缓解市场地缘政治担忧，原油价格显著回落，带动通胀预期下降，流动性环 境改善，全球权益资产价格上涨；另一方面，特朗普近期在外交政策上的表态，特别是在以伊问题上 的处理降低了市场对其潜在执政不确定性的担忧，而这一点正是一季度部分资本离开美国避险的主要 原因，故近期美元资产回流，美股强于欧股、黄金走弱、美债收益率回落，形成与一季度全球资产组 合相对的"反向组合"。美债收益率下行和纳斯达克指数走强，不仅从流动性角度为A股提供支撑，也通 过科技股估值和情绪的外溢效应利好A股科技板块。这一逻辑亦与我们此前提示 ...

沪指6月30日上涨0.59%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有28个，涨幅居前的行业为国防军工、传媒， 涨幅分别为4.35%、2.82%。跌幅居前的行业为非银金融、银行、交通运输，跌幅分别为0.77%、 0.34%、0.09%。非银金融行业位居今日跌幅榜首位。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出16.13亿元，今日有10个行业主力资金净流入，国防军工行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨4.35%，全天净流入资金33.15亿元，其次是传媒行业，日涨幅 为2.82%，净流入资金为14.41亿元。 | 601066 | 中信建投 | 0.08 | 0.16 | -355.47 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601878 | 浙商证券 | -0.27 | 0.86 | -336.25 | | 600053 | 九鼎投资 | -0.32 | 1.54 | -262.75 | | 002926 | 华西证券 | -1.65 | 2.13 | -176.06 | | 600599 | *ST熊猫 | 1.00 | 2.39 | -153.02 | | 000567 | 海德股份 ...

Market Overview - On June 30, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.35% [1] - The STAR Market Composite Index led the gains with an increase of 1.70% [2] - Over 4,000 stocks in the market experienced an increase [1] Hong Kong Market - On the same day, major indices in the Hong Kong stock market collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 0.72% [4] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.87% [5] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector saw the highest gains, with an increase of 4.35%, followed by media at 2.82% and telecommunications at 1.90% [7] - In contrast, non-bank financials decreased by 0.77%, banks by 0.34%, and transportation by 0.09% [7] Industry Highlights Solid-State Battery Technology - A pilot project for all-solid-state battery electric bicycles was launched in Beijing, marking a significant step towards the commercialization of solid-state battery products [8] - Century Securities reported that the solid-state battery industry is progressing towards commercialization, with a recent announcement from a U.S. company indicating a 25-fold increase in heat treatment speed, leading to a 76.67% increase in stock prices over two days [8] Defense and Military Sector - There has been a significant inflow of capital into the defense and military sector, with the Defense ETF rising by 4.88% [9] - Northeast Securities highlighted the long-term growth certainty of the defense and military sector, noting that the industry is expected to recover as demand increases and structural capacity improves [9]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with over 4,000 stocks in the market increasing. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.35% [1] - The defense and military industry led the market, with stocks such as Hengyu Xintong, Chenxi Aviation, and Guorui Technology hitting the daily limit [1] Sector Performance - The media sector remained active, with stocks like Kaiying Network, Jibite, and Giant Network reaching the daily limit [2] - The telecommunications sector saw a late surge, with Zhongguang Fang雷 hitting the daily limit, along with Dongxin Heping, Zhongci Electronics, and Rihai Intelligent also reaching the daily limit [3] - Conversely, the large financial sector weakened, with non-bank financials experiencing significant declines, including Guosheng Jinkong down by 6% and Nanhua Futures and Ruida Futures dropping over 3% [3] Institutional Activity - Institutional participation remained consistent with the previous week, with a net buying and selling amount exceeding 10 million yuan for 25 stocks, including 17 net buys and 8 net sells. Notable net buys included Chengfei Integration at 249 million yuan, Xiongdi Technology at 137 million yuan, and Chenxi Aviation at 115 million yuan [4]

（原标题：数据复盘丨国防军工、传媒等行业走强 龙虎榜机构抢筹18股） 6月30日，上证指数早盘探底回升，午后震荡上扬；深证成指、创业板指早盘高开高走，午后一度回落，随后再度上扬；科创50指数早盘高开高 走，午后震荡走强。截至收盘，上证指数报3444.43点，涨0.59%，成交额5671.37亿元；深证成指报10465.12点，涨0.83%，成交额9197.47亿元； 创业板指报2153.01点，涨1.35%，成交额4621.57亿元；科创50指数报1003.41点，涨1.54%，成交额295.55亿元。沪深两市合计成交14868.84亿元， 成交额较上一交易日减少542.33亿元。 今日有2962只个股被主力资金净卖出，其中，56股被主力资金净卖出超1亿元。主力资金净流出最多的个股是恒宝股份，净流出金额为7.74亿元； 主力资金净流出居前的个股还有东方财富、比亚迪、深圳华强、金一文化、大东南等，净流出金额分别为5.62亿元、5.36亿元、4.02亿元、3.32亿 元、3.26亿元。 国防军工、传媒等行业走强 弘业期货、大东南均5连板 盘面上来看，行业板块、概念涨多跌少。其中，国防军工、传媒、通信、电子、纺织服 ...

证券时报·数据宝统计，今日有10个行业主力资金净流入，21个行业主力资金净流出。资金净流入金额 最大的行业为国防军工，涨跌幅4.35%，整体换手率4.70%，成交量较前一个交易日变动13.64%，主力 资金净流量33.15亿元；今日资金净流出最大的行业为非银金融，涨跌幅-0.77%，整体换手率1.69%，成 交量较前一个交易日变动-35.15%，主力资金净流量-25.80亿元。（数据宝） 今日各行业主力资金流向一览 | 行业名 | 成交量（亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入（亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 称 | 股） | （%） | （%） | （%） | 元） | | 国防军 | 50.78 | 13.64 | 4.70 | 4.35 | 33.15 | | 工 | | | | | | | 传媒 | 46.05 | 20.53 | 3.15 | 2.82 | 14.41 | | 商贸零 售 | 27.82 | -10.79 | 2.30 | 1.23 | 9.37 | | 汽车 | 55.73 | -0.31 | ...

ETF Industry News - The three major indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.35. Multiple gaming sector ETFs saw significant gains, including Huatai-PB Gaming ETF (516770.SH) up 5.99%, Gaming ETF (159869.SZ) up 5.95%, and Gaming ETF (516010.SH) up 5.82. In contrast, several non-bank financial sector ETFs declined, with the leading securities ETF (159993.SZ) down 0.41% [1] - According to Everbright Securities, four main investment logic points for the gaming industry are expected to remain sustainable: 1) The sector maintains a high level of prosperity, with consumer sentiment remaining elevated. 2) Leading manufacturers are focusing on high-quality end-game products, while mid-tier opportunities are more prevalent. 3) The summer 2025 release schedule is strong, with several key products set for launch or testing. 4) Continuous innovation in niche segments, such as "search and destroy," SLG, casual games, and high-quality content, shows strong absorption capacity [1] ETF Market Performance - The performance of ETFs in the first half of the year has been released, with the Hong Kong innovative drug-related ETFs performing well, particularly the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF, which surged 59.31% to take the top spot. Other related ETFs also saw gains exceeding 57%. In contrast, coal and photovoltaic concept stocks continued to weaken, with coal ETFs down over 12% and several photovoltaic-related ETFs down over 11% [2] - The overall performance of the A-share market showed that the three major indices rose collectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3444.43 points, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10465.12 points, and the ChiNext Index at 2153.01 points. The top performers in the last five trading days included the ChiNext Index, Northbound 50, and Nikkei 225, with respective gains of 6.71%, 5.78%, and 5.56% [3] Sector Performance - In terms of sector performance, defense and military, media, and communication sectors ranked highest today, with daily gains of 4.35%, 2.82%, and 1.9%, respectively. Conversely, non-bank financial, banking, and transportation sectors lagged behind, with daily declines of -0.77%, -0.34%, and -0.09% [5] - Over the past five trading days, the defense and military, communication, and computer sectors showed strong performance, with gains of 9.4%, 7.33%, and 6.48%, while the oil and petrochemical, banking, and transportation sectors experienced declines of -2.92%, -0.88%, and -0.73% [5] ETF Categories Overview - The average performance of different categories of ETFs was calculated based on their scale and price changes. The stock-themed index ETFs performed the best with an average increase of 1.26%, while commodity ETFs had the worst performance with an average decline of -0.08% [8] - The top five performing ETFs today included gaming ETFs, with Huatai-PB Gaming ETF (516770.SH) leading at 5.99%, followed closely by Gaming ETF (159869.SZ) at 5.95% and Gaming ETF (516010.SH) at 5.82% [10] Trading Volume and Fund Size - The trading volume of various ETFs was analyzed, with the top three stock ETFs by trading volume being the CSI 300 ETF (510300.SH) at 4.3 billion, A500 ETF (159351.SZ) at 3.94 billion, and A500 ETF Fund (512050.SH) at 3.686 billion [13][14]

2025 年 6 月 30 日 总量研究 各类行业主题基金普遍上涨，港股 ETF 资金显著净流入 ——基金市场与 ESG 产品周报 20250630 要点 市场表现综述：大类资产方面，本周（下文如无特殊说明，本周均指代 2025.6.23-2025.6.27）国内权益市场情绪高涨，创业板指领涨，原油指数大 幅回调。行业方面，本周各申万行业多数上涨，计算机、国防军工、非银金 融行业涨幅居前，石油石化、食品饮料、交通运输行业呈现回调。基金市场 方面，本周权益类基金净值表现占优，股票指数型基金上涨 3.11%，中长期 纯债型基金小幅回调。 基金产品发行情况：本周国内新基市场热度延续，新成立基金 43 只，合计 发行份额 317.82 亿份，6 月以来新成立基金数量份额创今年新高。本周新成 立基金包括债券型基金 9 只、混合型基金 12 只、股票型基金 17 只、FOF 基 金 3 只、REITs1 只、国际(QDII)基金 1 只。全市场新发行基金 21 只，从类 型来看，股票型基金 9 只、债券型基金 5 只、混合型基金 5 只、FOF 基金 1 只、REITs1 只。 基金产品表现跟踪：长期行业主题基金指数方面 ...

融资融券数据显示，该股最新（6月27日）两融余额为8.46亿元，其中，融资余额为8.35亿元，融券余额 为1098.08万元。近5日融资余额合计增加2905.97万元，增幅为3.61%，融券余额合计增加326.52万元， 增幅42.32%。（数据宝） 中兵红箭6月30日交易公开信息 中兵红箭今日涨停，全天换手率9.38%，成交额27.69亿元，振幅9.72%。龙虎榜数据显示，机构净买入 4437.72万元，深股通净卖出1098.11万元，营业部席位合计净买入7463.09万元。 深交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日涨幅偏离值达8.91%上榜，机构专用席位净买入4437.72万元，深股 通净卖出1098.11万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交4.44亿元，其中，买入成交额为2.76亿 元，卖出成交额为1.68亿元，合计净买入1.08亿元。 具体来看，今日上榜的营业部中，共有4家机构专用席位现身，即买一、买四、卖二、卖三、卖五，合 计买入金额1.38亿元，卖出金额9374.83万元，合计净买入4437.72万元，深股通为第三大买入营业部及 第一大卖出营业部，买入金额为3834.15万元， ...