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特朗普遭关税恶果反噬
虎嗅APP· 2025-05-03 13:02
出品|虎嗅ESG组 作者|陈玉立 头图|视觉中国 本文是#ESG进步观察#系列第132篇文章 本次观察关键词:关税 当地时间4月29日,美国总统特朗普在重返白宫100天之际开了一场"庆功大会",其阵营宣称"他造就了美国 史上新政府上台最成功的100天"。 但就在同一天,特朗普却松绑了汽车零部件关税。特朗普签署公告,允许对进口汽车零部件、在美国组装 汽车的汽车生产商进行一定程度的补偿。 这是继部分暂缓"对等关税"后,特朗普关税政策的又一次重大逆转,这被外界视为是特朗普政府在日益承压 的背景下所作出的让步。 一个更令人玩味的事实是,据财新报道,多名沃尔玛供应商表示,沃尔玛正在让其中国供应商在停供近一 个月后恢复供货,而关税成本部分由沃尔玛承担。 自4月2日特朗普开打"关税战"以来,金融市场不断经历动荡和混乱,美国经济前景持续被看衰。而作为风暴 眼中的美国企业们,如今正在陷入两难的境地。 关税如何影响企业? 4月底,达拉斯联储发布了新一期德州制造业调查,数据显示美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数为-35.8,预 期为-14.1,前值为-16.3。 在调查中,德州制造业的高管们被额外问到了关税影响相关的问题,企业高管们用 ...
特朗普遭关税恶果反噬
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-03 05:09
当地时间4月29日,美国总统特朗普在重返白宫100天之际开了一场"庆功大会",其阵营宣称"他造就了 美国史上新政府上台最成功的100天"。 在调查中,德州制造业的高管们被额外问到了关税影响相关的问题,企业高管们用"混乱"和"疯狂"等词 汇形容由美国总统特朗普关税行动引发的动荡。 比如一位印刷行业的受访者就对达拉斯联储表示:"关税问题一团糟,我们现在开始看到供应商转嫁上 涨的成本,我们也不得不将其转嫁给客户。"另一位食品制造业的受访者表示,"关税及关税不确定性正 在严重破坏我们的供应链和资本支出计划。" 一位电子制造业的高管则表示:"我们已经不得不拒绝发货,因为客户无法承担关税,这导致我们无法 及时生产,最终将造成失业。"为了规避对等关税,有电子制造企业加速向中国发运了一批订单,且预 计在关税问题解决前,来自中国的销售将降至零。 但就在同一天,特朗普却松绑了汽车零部件关税。特朗普签署公告,允许对进口汽车零部件、在美国组 装汽车的汽车生产商进行一定程度的补偿。 这是继部分暂缓"对等关税"后,特朗普关税政策的又一次重大逆转,这被外界视为是特朗普政府在日益 承压的背景下所作出的让步。 一个更令人玩味的事实是,据财新报 ...
Cimpress(CMPR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 12:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue grew 1% on a reported basis and 3% on an organic constant currency basis in Q3 [11] - Adjusted EBITDA declined by $3.5 million year over year, impacted by a $2.6 million impairment charge and $1.1 million in preproduction startup costs [13][14] - Gross profit was affected by the impairment charge related to the planned sale of a facility [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Vista experienced 3% organic constant currency growth, with double-digit growth in promotional products, signage, packaging, and labels [11][12] - Consumer products returned to 5% growth after a decline in Q2 [12] - The business cards and stationary product category declined 3% year over year, showing slight improvement from a 4% decline in the previous quarter [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong growth in elevated products, which include promotional products and packaging, indicating a shift towards higher lifetime value customers [5][12] - Business performance in Europe remained strong despite macro headwinds, while the US market faced challenges due to organic search algorithm changes [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding into elevated products to increase customer lifetime value and market share [5][10] - Plans to enhance cross SIMPRESS fulfillment to lower costs and accelerate new product introductions [6] - The company aims to balance capital deployment between organic growth investments, reducing leverage, and share repurchases [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in delivering attractive growth in per share cash flow despite a noisy backdrop [4] - The company is navigating tariff impacts and is confident in its plans to mitigate these challenges [8][17] - Future guidance was withdrawn due to uncertainties in the tariff and trade environment [83][84] Other Important Information - The company is preparing to launch a new website for PixArt printing in the US, marking its entry into the upload and print market [6] - The company expects to finish the year with increased liquidity despite near-term tariff impacts [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Which customer verticals are most exposed to tariff impacts? - Management indicated that promotional products, apparel, and gifts (PPAG) represent over 20% of consolidated revenue, with the US portion being about 11% [20][21] Question: What is the expected tariff expense on remaining China COGS? - The estimated additional cost due to tariffs on the remaining $20 million of COGS from China is approximately $29 million, but pricing changes may offset some of this impact [26][28] Question: How is revenue growth in April compared to last year? - Management noted that April's revenue trends were stable compared to March, complicated by holiday timing shifts [42][43] Question: What is driving the lackluster growth at National Penn? - The growth is primarily occurring in e-commerce and cross fulfillment, while direct mail advertising has been reduced due to insufficient returns [44] Question: How does management view the long-term gross margin profile? - Management emphasized a focus on gross profit rather than gross margin percentage, indicating that lower margin products can still generate significant profit [51][58] Question: What is the rationale for withdrawing long-term guidance? - The withdrawal was primarily due to uncertainties in the tariff and trade environment, which complicates forecasting [83][84]
Deluxe(DLX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was just over $536 million, up 1.4% on a comparable adjusted basis year over year [9][18] - Comparable adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was just over $100 million, increasing nearly 3.5% from 2024 [10][19] - Comparable adjusted EPS finished at $0.75, reflecting just over 4% expansion versus the prior year [10][20] - Net debt levels decreased to $1.46 billion, down approximately $80 million from the previous year [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Payments and Data segments grew by a blended rate just above 8.5%, with the Data segment revenue growing 29% year over year [11][24] - Merchant Services revenue grew by 1.3% year over year to $97.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA remaining flat at $21.4 million [20] - B2B segment revenues increased by 1.2% to $70.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA dollars remaining flat at $13.3 million [22] - Print segment revenue declined by 4% year over year to $291.3 million, with legacy check revenues declining by 1.8% [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The revenue mix shifted towards payments and data offerings, with the ratio of print to payments and data segments changing from 57:43 to 54:46 year over year [11] - The company continues to monitor macroeconomic trends and consumer sentiment for potential impacts on revenue [6][32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its North Star strategy, which emphasizes accelerating free cash flow and profit growth [5][14] - The management is maintaining overall guidance ranges for 2025 despite macroeconomic uncertainties [9][32] - New partnerships, such as with TownBank, are seen as opportunities to expand market reach and improve service delivery [38][66] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged extraordinary volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty but emphasized control over internal execution [5][6] - The company expects continued strong performance in the Data segment and is optimistic about future growth despite potential challenges in the Print segment [24][32] Other Important Information - The company reported a free cash flow of $24.3 million for the quarter, improving by $18.1 million from the previous year [29] - The Board approved a regular quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on June 2, 2025 [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the Merchant Business - Management noted that the Merchant business continues to perform well across various market conditions, with strength in government and not-for-profit sectors [34][35] Question: Strategic Changes with New Leadership - Management expressed confidence in the new leadership and highlighted a focus on improving partnership relationships and expanding distribution channels [36][38] Question: Segment Modeling and Performance - Management indicated that the Data segment had a strong quarter but does not expect to maintain a 29% growth rate, projecting upper single digits to low double digits for the full year [44] Question: Impact of Government Check Phasing Out - Management clarified that the federal government is not a customer and does not expect significant impact from the phasing out of physical checks [54][56] Question: Observations on Tariffs and Spending - Management noted minimal evidence of consumer pull forward in spending related to tariffs, emphasizing that their revenue is transaction-based [58][59] Question: Potential Catalysts for Partnerships - Management highlighted the company's strong brand and relationships in the banking sector as key advantages for driving new partnerships [66][70]
Cimpress(CMPR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 21:07
Cimpress plc (CMPR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 04:05 PM ET Company Participants Meredith Burns - VP - Investor Relations & SustainabilityRobert Keane - Founder, Chairman & CEOSean Quinn - EVP & CFO Operator Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Sympress Third Quarter Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Earnings Call. Now, I will introduce Meredith Barnes, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability. Please go ahead. Thank you, Carmen, and thank Meredith Burns you e ...
Deluxe(DLX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 21:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was just over $536 million, up 1.4% on a comparable adjusted basis year over year [9][19] - Comparable adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was just over $100 million, increasing nearly 3.5% from 2024 [10][20] - Comparable adjusted EPS finished at $0.75, reflecting just over 4% expansion versus the prior year [10][21] - Net debt levels decreased to $1.46 billion, down approximately $80 million from the previous year [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Payments and Data segments grew by a blended rate just above 8.5%, with Data segment revenue growing 29% year over year [11][24] - Merchant Services revenue grew by 1.3% year over year to $97.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA remaining flat at $21.4 million [21] - B2B segment revenues finished at $70.2 million, increasing 1.2% versus 2024, with adjusted EBITDA dollars remaining flat at $13.3 million [22][23] - Print segment revenue declined 4% year over year, with legacy check revenues declining 1.8% [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The revenue mix shifted towards payments and data offerings, with the ratio moving from 57:43 to 54:46 in favor of payments and data segments [11] - The Data Solutions segment achieved record levels for the quarter, with revenues of $77.2 million, reflecting a growth of 29.3% [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its North Star strategy, which emphasizes free cash flow and profit growth [5][14] - The management is maintaining overall guidance ranges for 2025 despite macroeconomic uncertainties [31][32] - The company aims to optimize its balance sheet and reduce net debt levels, with a long-term target of three times leverage or better by the end of 2026 [28][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged extraordinary volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty but emphasized control over internal execution [5][6] - The company continues to monitor consumer sentiment and discretionary spending for potential impacts on its outlook [6] - Despite anticipated challenges, management remains confident in achieving its 2025 revenue and EBITDA goals [14][31] Other Important Information - The company received an S&P ratings upgrade, improving its rating from B- to single B, with a positive outlook [28] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $24.3 million, improving by $18.1 million from the previous year [29][30] - A regular quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share was approved, payable on June 2, 2025 [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more detail on the merchant business and its performance? - The merchant business continues to perform well across various market conditions, with strong retention and ongoing volume from diversified customer categories [33][34] Question: What strategic changes might occur with the new leadership in the merchant business? - The new leadership aims to improve partnership relationships and expand distribution channels, with recent partnerships indicating a move upmarket [35][36] Question: How should we model the segment performance, especially with potential declines? - The data segment is expected to continue strong growth, while print may see a larger decline due to promotional pressures [40][43] Question: What is the secret to the data segment's recent success? - The data business leverages a large consumer and small business database combined with advanced AI tools to effectively target marketing campaigns [46][48] Question: What is the potential impact of the Trump administration's commentary on physical checks? - The company has no direct exposure to government checks and does not anticipate significant collateral impacts from the announcement [52][55] Question: Have there been signs of spending pull forward due to tariffs? - There was a small amount of pull forward in promotional products, but no significant evidence of stocking in the business [56] Question: What are the potential catalysts for driving additional partnerships? - The company has strong brand recognition and relationships in the banking sector, which positions it well for future partnerships [61][62]
宝钢包装(601968):优化国内外布局,推动转型发展
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-30 15:20
公司报告 | 年报点评报告 宝钢包装(601968) 证券研究报告 优化国内外布局,推动转型发展 公司发布年报及一季报 25Q1 公司营收 20 亿同增 1%,归母净利 0.57 亿同增 3%,扣非后归母净利 0.57 亿同增 9%; 24 年营收 83 亿同增 7%,归母净利 1.7 亿同减 21%,扣非后归母净利 1.7 亿同减 23%。 24 年境内收入 59 亿同增 1%,毛利率 5.6%同减 2.5pct;境外收入 24 亿同 增 26%,毛利率 14%同增 3pct。 24 年毛利率 8%,净利率 2%。 风险提示:项目进度不及预期;行业竞争加剧;下游需求不及预期。 公司坚持"四化"发展方向和"四有"原则,积极推进宝钢包装规划发展 目标与"内外联动"战略任务落实;坚持创新驱动,有效推动产品高端化 多样化;坚持绿色低碳发展,实现国内法人子公司"绿色工厂"全覆盖; 坚持数字化转型,形成行业内最佳数字化底座和实践案例;加快国内产能 调整优化和国际化发展步伐。首次实施股份回购、首次开展中期分红、成 功实施非公开发行 A 股股票,上市公司资本运作取得新的突破。 优化国内外布局,推动转型发展 公司进一步加快国 ...
裕同科技(002831):主业稳健增长,海外布局成效显著
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-30 12:03
证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Title2] 裕同科技(002831) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级: | 买入 | 股票代码: | 002831 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级: | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价: | 28.29/19.74 | | 目标价格: | | 总市值(亿) | 194.29 | | 最新收盘价: | 20.88 | 自由流通市值(亿) | 108.78 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 520.99 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 一季报,2024 年公司实现营收 171.57 亿元,同比增长 12.71%,归母净利润 14.09 亿 元,同比减少 2.05%,扣非后归母净利 15.14 亿元,同比增加 1.34%,归母净利润下滑主要系公司策略性处置武 汉艾特、广东鸿铭股权以及确认员工持股计划股份支付费用所致;单季度看,24Q4 公司实现营收 48.98 亿元,同 比增加 10.92%,归母净利润 2.95 亿元,同比减少 34.93%,扣非后归母净利 ...
裕同科技(002831):Q1经营稳健向好,25年期待利润修复
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 11:31
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 包装印刷 裕同科技(002831) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 30 日 Q1 经营稳健向好,25 年期待利润修复 ——裕同科技点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 公司公告 24A 实现营收 171.57 亿(同比+12.71%,下同)、归母净利 14.09 亿(-2.05%)、 扣非净利 15.14 亿(+1.34%) 。 24Q4 单季营收 48.98 亿(+10.92%)、归母净利 2.95 亿(-34.93%)、扣非净利 3.84 亿(-16.01%),主要系公司策略性处置武汉艾特、广东鸿铭股权以及确认员 工持股计划股份支付费用所致。 25Q1 单季营收 36.99 亿(+6.42%)、归母净利 2.41 亿(+10.26%)、扣非净利 2.46 亿(+1.37%),Q1 经营稳健。 ❑ 3C 基本盘牢固、环保持续向好 1)3C 业务-基本盘:根据 IDC 发布的最新报告,2025Q1 全球智能手机出货量同 比增长 1.5%至 3.049 亿部,实现连续第三个季度增长,带动公司手机等传统消 费电子产品收入稳定增长。24A 前 5 名客户销售金额合计占比总收入 38.26% ( ...
珠海中富:2025一季报净利润-0.19亿 同比下降90%
Tong Hua Shun Cai Bao· 2025-04-29 11:05
一、主要会计数据和财务指标 | 报告期指标 | 2025年一季报 | 2024年一季报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2023年一季报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元) | -0.0151 | -0.0075 | -101.33 | -0.0185 | | 每股净资产(元) | 0.16 | 0.25 | -36 | 0.29 | | 每股公积金(元) | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.22 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | -1.44 | -1.34 | -7.46 | -1.30 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 2.38 | 2.36 | 0.85 | 2.79 | | 净利润(亿元) | -0.19 | -0.1 | -90 | -0.24 | | 净资产收益率(%) | -9.10 | -3.00 | -203.33 | -6.09 | 数据四舍五入,查看更多财务数据>> 二、前10名无限售条件股东持股情况 前十大流通股东累计持有: 27056.99万股,累计占流通股比: 2 ...