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特朗普关税颠覆全球贸易体系,有加拿大零售商绕开美国中间商直接找中国采购
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 12:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in supply chain dynamics due to escalating trade tensions, with retailers like Luke Therrien opting to bypass American middlemen and establish direct connections with Chinese suppliers, aiming for a more sustainable and cost-effective supply chain [1][3]. Group 1: Supply Chain Changes - Retailers are increasingly seeking direct relationships with Chinese suppliers to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs and trade tensions [1][3]. - The shift to direct sourcing may lead to longer procurement times and logistical challenges, but it is seen as beneficial in the long run from a pricing perspective [1][3]. Group 2: Impact of U.S. Trade Policies - U.S. tariffs and unpredictable trade policies have created chaos in the American market, leading to confusion among exporters regarding customs and tax obligations [3][4]. - Exporters who previously relied heavily on the U.S. market are now considering diversifying their markets due to the instability caused by U.S. trade policies [4][5]. Group 3: Currency and Economic Confidence - The dominance of the U.S. dollar as a trade currency remains significant, providing exporters with predictable payment methods, despite increasing risks [4][5]. - Recent economic turmoil and criticism of U.S. trade policies have shaken confidence in the dollar, with notable figures like Warren Buffett expressing concerns about investing in a currency perceived as unstable [5][6]. Group 4: China’s Response to Trade Tensions - China has taken a firm stance against U.S. unilateral tariff measures, emphasizing its commitment to defending its economic interests while remaining open to dialogue [6]. - The Chinese government has indicated a willingness to engage in discussions with the U.S. regarding tariff adjustments, reflecting a strategic approach to international trade relations [6].
走马观花逛义乌
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-07 08:10
Core Viewpoint - Yiwu has transformed from a resource-poor county into a global hub for small commodities, significantly contributing to the economic landscape of Zhejiang province and showcasing the success of China's reform and opening-up policies [3][4]. Economic Performance - In 2024, Yiwu's GDP reached 250.35 billion, ranking seventh among county-level cities nationwide and second in Zhejiang, only behind Cixi [4]. - Yiwu's GDP accounts for 36.1% of the total GDP of Jinhua city, a figure that is significantly higher than the ratios of other strong county-level cities to their respective prefecture-level cities [5]. Transportation and Infrastructure - Yiwu serves as a central hub for transportation in Jinhua and central Zhejiang, with an international airport and major high-speed rail lines intersecting there [6]. - The urban planning in Zhejiang refers to the Jinhua-Yiwu-Dongyang metropolitan area as the "Jinyi Metropolitan Circle," highlighting Yiwu's importance in the region [8]. Trade and Commerce - Yiwu is characterized by a high volume of foreign trade, particularly with Middle Eastern and African merchants who often purchase goods directly from Yiwu rather than through local agents in major Chinese cities [9]. - The Yiwu International Trade City is a significant marketplace, with a vast array of products available at low prices, making it a key destination for international buyers [18]. Cultural and Historical Context - The historical context of Yiwu's development is tied to its unique geographical and economic conditions, which have fostered a thriving private economy even in regions traditionally considered less developed [28].
打“飞的”来华购物 美国人用行李箱给中国制造投票
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 17:11
Group 1 - The phenomenon of American consumers flying to China with empty suitcases to purchase goods reflects the strong appeal of Chinese manufacturing in the global market [1][4] - The U.S. government's imposition of high tariffs, intended to protect domestic industries, has inadvertently led consumers to seek cheaper alternatives in China, resulting in significant price increases for certain products [1][4] - Data from Alipay indicates that spending by American tourists in China has doubled, highlighting the growing trend of "reverse purchasing" [1][3] Group 2 - Popular items among American consumers include electronics, creative goods from Yiwu, trendy clothing from Hangzhou, and smart accessories from Shenzhen, showcasing the diverse offerings of Chinese markets [3] - The perception of "Made in China" has evolved from being associated solely with low prices to encompassing quality, technology, and design, indicating a shift in consumer attitudes [4][8] - The U.S. consumer research institute estimates that the cancellation of the tax exemption for small packages from China could result in a combined loss of $47 billion for businesses and consumers annually [4] Group 3 - China's policies, such as the "buy and refund" Alipay tax refund service, have facilitated foreign tourists' shopping experiences, contrasting with the U.S. government's restrictive measures [6] - The increase in seized "personal use" Chinese goods at Los Angeles airport and the rising popularity of unique Chinese products illustrate the cultural and lifestyle influence of Chinese goods beyond mere transactions [6][8] - The "reverse purchasing" trend driven by tariffs not only highlights price motivations but also reflects the robust vitality and attractiveness of the Chinese market [8]
“世界超市”义乌,如何穿越关税风暴?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-06 15:32
每经记者 叶晓丹 每经编辑 文多 4月29日早上8点,义乌小商品城的商家聂自勤按时开门迎客。白手起家的她如今在商贸城拥有14平方米、价值千万元的店铺。 30分钟后,主营袜子批发的商户傅江燕准时参加了义乌商城集团举办的小语种培训,西班牙语和阿拉伯语成为她近期主攻的方向。 在义乌开了两年网约车的苏师傅,每天仍接到不少来去义乌商贸城的订单,"美国客人少,中东和非洲客户多"是苏师傅现在最直观的感受。 115万户商户、210多万 SKU(最小存货单位)的义乌小商品市场,吸引了全球诸多客商前来采购批发,也串起了义乌丰富的外贸生态。"世界超市"义乌已 成为中国外贸的其中一张晴雨表。自美国在当地时间4月2日宣布所谓"对等关税"政策以来,有人在往返的车流中感受不同国家客商群体的微妙变化,也有国 内电商卖家收获了海外"反向海淘"的订单,更多的外贸商家则与所谓"对等关税"短兵相接,正面应对。 "世界超市"如何穿越风暴?义乌成为不少人观察美国关税政策对中国外贸影响的一个窗口。从"鸡毛换糖"起家,到千百万户商户活跃,义乌的城市内核,在 时间的刷洗中,始终保持着个体的坚韧和不服输的底色。《每日经济新闻》记者近日实探义乌,近距离走访各行业 ...
宝城期货甲醇早报-20250506
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-06 05:04
宝城期货甲醇早报-2025-05-06 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明:短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 | 甲醇 2509 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强运行 | 偏多因素占优,甲醇震荡偏强 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 偏弱 | 日内 偏强 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | 备注: 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格,无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格,当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格,计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌,跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱,涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强,涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点,短期和中期不做区分。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 甲醇(MA) 日内观点:震荡偏强 中期观点:震荡偏弱 参考观点:偏强运行 核心逻辑:由于今年以来国内煤制甲醇生产利润较高,导致春季检修阶段,甲醇开工率和周度产量 居高不下,内部供应压力较大。不过海外中东地区受甲醇货物装船偏慢影响,从而减轻国内港口甲 醇库存压力,去库节奏较 ...
厦门国贸(600755):经营底部逐步夯实,25Q1业绩同比略增
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-05 08:43
公司研究丨点评报告丨厦门国贸(600755.SH) [Table_Title] 经营底部逐步夯实,25Q1 业绩同比略增 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025Q1,公司实现营业收入 705.3 亿元,同比下降 27.2%,归母净利润 4.2 亿元,同比增长 2.8%。2025Q1,受经营策略调整、市场需求减弱以及部分经营商品品类价格下跌等综合影响, 公司营业收入同比下降 27.2%。公司经营风格稳健,负债规模收缩,驱动财务费用同比下降 15.5%,最终公司归母净利润同比微增 2.8%。公司持续夯实经营,优化业务结构,期现毛利率 底部修复,期待需求催化。 丨证券研究报告丨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 韩轶超 鲁斯嘉 胡俊文 SAC:S0490512020001 SAC:S0490519060002 SAC:S0490524120001 SFC:BQK468 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 厦门国贸(600755.SH) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 经营底部逐步夯实,25Q1 业绩同比略增 [ ...
美国加征关税的“后遗症”,未来几个月,修不了空调,买不到书包
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 11:58
Group 1 - The executive order signed by President Trump on April 2 imposes tariffs on cross-border e-commerce, significantly impacting trade between the U.S. and China [1][3] - The new tariffs will increase costs for U.S. consumers, who previously enjoyed low prices for goods from China, as they will now face additional charges [5][9] - The threshold for duty-free imports has changed, with items under $800 now subject to tariffs, leading to price increases for small goods [7][9] Group 2 - The tariff structure includes a 30% duty on the product price or a flat fee of $25 per item, which may rise to $50 after June 1 [9][11] - The majority of consumers purchasing these goods are middle and lower-income families in the U.S., increasing their economic burden [9][11] - Some foreign brands have ceased shipments to the U.S., and smaller American businesses are withdrawing from the market, reducing options for consumers accustomed to affordable Chinese products [15] Group 3 - China's manufacturing sector has grown significantly, accounting for 30% of global manufacturing by 2023, with a total output projected to reach 39.9 trillion yuan in 2024 [17][23] - The U.S. has historically relied on affordable Chinese goods, and the new tariffs may lead to higher prices for American consumers, particularly affecting the availability of low-cost products [27][31] - The CEO of a U.S. logistics company expresses concern over the impact of increased tariffs on supply chains, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises that rely on timely imports [31][33]
空包而来满载而归 “进货式旅游”吸引国内外游客
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Yiwu, as a new tourism city, is attracting both domestic and international tourists through a "tourism + shopping" consumption model, particularly during the May Day holiday [1] - Yiwu International Trade City, the world's largest small commodity distribution center, is experiencing high foot traffic, with approximately 200,000 visitors expected to enter for purchasing on a single day [1] - The "wholesale retail dual operation" model adopted by merchants in the toy section allows tourists to purchase items at wholesale prices, enhancing the shopping experience [3] Group 2 - The unique "cargo-style tourism" model in Yiwu, where visitors arrive empty and leave with goods, is drawing a significant number of foreign tourists who include Yiwu in their shopping itinerary while visiting China [5] - Yiwu has been selected as a provincial pilot for innovative inbound tourism development, introducing eight major service initiatives to enhance the tourist experience [7] - New tourism routes have been launched, such as "Yiwu Departure: Explore Zhejiang," which connects Yiwu's trade city with cultural sites, providing comprehensive services for transportation and accommodation [7]
中国—东盟优品展销中心揭幕运营 消费者享全新体验
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-03 10:38
5月1日,南宁国际会展中心A馆热闹非凡,中国—东盟优品展销中心(以下简称"展销中心")正式揭幕 运营。依托南宁国际会展中心人流量优势,以及广西会展经济强劲的辐射动能,展销中心为市民带来全 新消费体验,也为区域经贸发展注入新活力。 图为揭幕运营仪式现场。主办方供图 走进展销中心,琳琅满目的商品让人应接不暇。从独具风情的东盟优品、品质上乘的俄罗斯甄选好物, 到广西"桂字号"、"老字号"领军品牌,展销中心首批上架特色商品超2000余款,以国企品质、物美价优 等优势,迅速成为市民消费的首选之地。 展销中心不单是汇聚国内、国际特色商品的销售场所,还是广西国企品牌的全方位展示舞台,更是集产 品展销、经贸促进、文化交流、电商孵化等多功能于一体的综合性经贸平台,兼具公益与经贸双重属 性。 "我们以国企担当筑牢品质防线,通过'源头直供'压缩流通成本,让广西国企好物、全球特色商品以惠 民价格直达百姓生活。"广西国际博览集团党委书记、董事长胡志崇说。 开业仪式上,展销中心与广投集团、广西农垦、广旅集团、柳钢集团、广西供销社、广西国宏集团等众 多区直国企,以及丹泉酒业、花香六堡茶厂等广西本土知名品牌进行签约,携手构建"国企优品联盟" ...
“义乌最牛老板娘”聂自勤30答:美国客户很重要,但此路不通还有别的路
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-03 03:15
每经记者 叶晓丹 每经编辑 张海妮 据央视新闻,4月下旬,有美国CNN记者采访义乌小商品城一商户老板娘聂自勤,面对"对等关税"下如何处理美国客户的退单,她坚定果决的回应在社交媒 体上走红,也因此被网友称为"义乌最牛老板娘"。 高峰期,聂自勤经营的万圣节礼品批发业务一年可达到6000万元体量,其中50%的采购客户来自美国。 "如果美国(客户)不要,那我就给南美客户。"聂自勤接受CNN记者采访当天,恰好有南美客户在店里采购产品,一周时间过去了,之前给聂自勤下订单的 美国客户并没有取消订单,而是选择了观望,等待转机的到来。 4月底,《每日经济新闻》记者从相关进出口协会了解到,国内部分供应商已接到沃尔玛恢复供货的通知,且关税成本由美国客户承担。聂自勤一边等美国 客户的通知,一边也在想办法"主动出击",通过开拓多元市场和加大内销等渠道,来减轻因货物积压带来的影响。 2007年跟随父亲从河南来义乌创业,聂自勤在义乌一待就是18年,14平方米的店铺如今价值千万元。她从做代工起家,高峰期一度拥有上千名员工。国际经 贸的波动,在这一爿小小的批发店铺里,总能给她带来最直接的影响。聂自勤坦言,市场会洗出去一些掉队的人,但这是义乌市 ...