一、农业生产稳定增长，畜牧业生产基本平稳 一季度，全省实现农林牧渔业(包括农林牧渔服务业)增加值178.75亿元，按可比价格计算，同比增长 3.6%。畜牧业生产保持稳定。一季度末，全省生猪存栏871.8万头，同比增长7.8%。一季度，生猪出栏 368.2万头，同比下降1.7%；牛出栏19.5万头，增长8.0%；羊出栏221.9万只，增长0.2%；家禽出栏 6740.3万只，增长9.2%。猪牛羊禽四种肉产量48.0万吨，增长2.5%；禽蛋产量35.3万吨，增长4.3%。 二、工业生产加快增长，新兴动能加快培育 一季度，全省规模以上工业增加值同比增长7.7%，增速较1-2月加快1.3个百分点。从三大门类看，采矿 业增长9.3%，制造业增长4.7%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长5.5%。从煤与非煤看，煤炭 工业增长8.7%，非煤工业增长6.2%。从行业看，40个行业大类中31个行业增加值实现增长，增长面为 77.5%。从产品看，15种主要工业产品中9种产品产量呈增长态势，增长面60%。3月份，全省规模以上 工业增加值增长10.2%。 新兴动能加快培育。一季度，全省规上装备制造业增加值增长10.7%，其中新能 ...

Economic Overview - The province achieved a GDP of 823.57 billion yuan in Q1, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6% at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 25.40 billion yuan, growing by 2.8%; the secondary industry added value was 333.44 billion yuan, increasing by 6.5%; the tertiary industry added value was 464.72 billion yuan, rising by 5.1% [1] Agriculture - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector's added value grew by 2.8% year-on-year [2] - Crop production showed good performance with a 4.1% increase in added value; vegetable and edible fungus output reached 3.41 million tons, up by 4.3% [2] - Livestock production remained stable, with total meat output at 403,000 tons, down by 4.1%; pig production decreased by 4.7%, while beef and lamb production increased by 3.9% and 3.5%, respectively [2] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 9.9% year-on-year, accelerating by 2.1 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] - Mining industry added value increased by 11.9%, manufacturing by 9.0%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water supply by 3.2% [3] - Energy industry maintained rapid growth with an 8.8% increase; coal mining and washing grew by 12.3%, while oil and gas extraction rose by 8.3% [3] - Non-energy industries achieved double-digit growth, with added value increasing by 11.8%; equipment manufacturing led this growth with a 14.4% increase [3] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 5.1% year-on-year [4] - Wholesale and retail trade increased by 6.6%, accommodation and catering by 6.1%, and transportation, warehousing, and postal services by 6.0% [4] - Modern service industries showed strong growth, with leasing and business services revenue up by 19.5% and cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors growing by 17.0% [4] Investment - Fixed asset investment increased by 5.8% year-on-year, with the first industry investment rising by 30.7% and the second industry by 19.2% [5] - Industrial investment grew by 21.7%, with manufacturing investment up by 28.8% and industrial technological transformation investment increasing by 22.8% [5] - Private investment saw a significant rise of 21.3%, while real estate development investment grew by 1.6% [5] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 290.41 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% year-on-year [6] - Urban retail sales were 257.59 billion yuan, increasing by 5.3%, while rural retail sales reached 32.82 billion yuan, up by 6.1% [6] - Significant growth in the sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, with a 30.4% increase; communication equipment sales surged by 78.2% [6] Foreign Trade - The total import and export value was 111.28 billion yuan, down by 1.5% year-on-year; exports were 77.35 billion yuan, up by 2.8%, while imports fell by 10.0% [8] - The trade surplus was 43.43 billion yuan, with mechanical and electrical products exports growing by 5.2%, accounting for 85.3% of total exports [8]

Group 1: Market Trends - LME three-month copper prices fell significantly in early April, dropping 11% in the first two weeks, erasing all gains for the year, with a low of $8,613 per ton on April 9 [2] - Copper prices rebounded in the following weeks due to U.S. tariff exemptions on certain electronic imports and a significant decline in the dollar [3] Group 2: Exports - Chile, the largest copper exporter, shipped 93,909 tons of copper to the U.S. in the first two months of 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, as traders aimed to avoid potential import tariffs [3] - China's refined copper exports surged 156% year-on-year in Q1, reaching 117,491 tons [4] Group 3: Imports - China's refined copper imports in March 2025 totaled 354,275.469 tons, a month-on-month increase of 16.11% and a year-on-year increase of 11.80%, with significant increases from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Russia [5] - U.S. refined copper imports rose 43% year-on-year in February to 58,326 tons, with shipments from Chile increasing by 53% [6] Group 4: Consumption - Global refined copper consumption is estimated to have increased by 9% year-on-year in February, driven by demand recovery in major consuming countries [7] - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI for March was reported at 51.2, up 0.4 points from February, indicating continued expansion in manufacturing activities [8] Group 5: Production - Global refined copper production is expected to grow by 9% in the first two months of the year [10] - Codelco's copper production in Chile declined for the second consecutive month, with February output down 6% year-on-year to 98,100 tons, attributed to operational disruptions at key mines [10] - In contrast, BHP's Escondida mine saw a 16% year-on-year increase in production in February, reaching 113,400 tons [10]

铜周报：关税风险缓和，基本面支撑铜价 2025-4-28 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 张 桓 执业编号：F03138663 咨询电话：027-65777106 汪国栋 执业编号：F03101701 投资咨询号: Z0021167 01 主要观点策略 02 宏观及产业资讯 03 期现市场及持仓情况 目 录 04 基本面数据 01 主要观点策略 01 主要观点策略 供给端：铜精矿现货市场延续低迷态势，TC持续探底跌破-40美元，虽受益于副产品价格高位，精铜产出依然保持韧性，但炼厂压 力在增大。3月精炼铜产量为124.8万吨，同比增加8.6%，4月电解铜产量同比预计仍有增长。 需求端：3月需求旺季带动了铜材产量如期增长。3月中国铜材产量达212.5万吨，创近几年同期新高。银四最后一周小幅下周面临 五一小长假，下游假期备货需求预计增加。 库存：截至4月24日，SMM全国主流地区铜库存较4月21日下降1.48万吨至18.17万吨，较4月17日下降5.17万吨，实现连续8周周 度去库，目前较年内高位回落了19.53万吨，较去年同期的40.47万吨低22.30万吨。临近五一假期前将有 ...

[Table_Summary] 3 月工业企业利润和营收同比增速双双录得回升。拆分来看，本次利润增速回升主要来自量和 利润率同比改善，价格则在低位继续震荡。从分工业门类来看，制造业利润回升明显，动能预 计主要源自于抢出口和设备更新持续拉动装备制造行业需求脉冲式回升。从企业经营角度，经 营压力边际有所改善，但库存延续被动回补趋势，反映整体需求继续偏弱运行。后续总需求能 否进一步改善，是驱动企业利润长期复苏的观察锚点。而 4 月政治局会议传递出中央对支撑内 需的信心和态度坚定，期待后续储备政策陆续出台承托需求韧性和企业利润增长。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于博 刘承昊 SAC：S0490520090001 SAC：S0490523050001 SFC：BUX667 SFC：BVA882 丨证券研究报告丨 中国经济丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 盈利增速脉冲式回升 ——1-3 月工业企业利润点评 报告要点 1 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 [Table_Title 盈利增速脉冲式回升 2] ——1-3 月工业企业利润点评 事件描述 2025 年 4 月 27 日，国家统计局公布数据：1- ...

Core Insights - The industrial economy in Heilongjiang Province is showing signs of recovery, with a total industrial added value growth rate of 5.3% in the first quarter, accelerating by 7.1 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - The growth rate of industrial added value for large-scale industries reached 6.1%, exceeding the initial target by 2.6 percentage points [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for March was reported at 50.5, indicating a positive production outlook [1] Industrial Performance - The mining sector's added value growth rate was 6.3%, slightly above the national average by 0.1 percentage points [2] - The manufacturing sector's added value growth rate was 6.2%, marginally higher than the provincial large-scale industrial growth rate by 0.1 percentage points [2] - The electricity, heat, gas, and water supply sector recorded a growth rate of 5.4%, surpassing the national average by 3.5 percentage points [2] Sectoral Highlights - The equipment manufacturing industry experienced the fastest growth at 18.9%, exceeding the national average by 8 percentage points [2] - The energy sector showed significant support with a growth rate of 5.9%, particularly in coal mining and washing, which reached 10.1% [2] - The construction materials industry also performed well, achieving a growth rate of 31.5% [2] Future Outlook - The Heilongjiang Provincial Department of Industry and Information Technology plans to focus on stabilizing industrial growth, transforming methods, adjusting structures, improving quality, and increasing efficiency [2] - Emphasis will be placed on key regions, industries, projects, market expansion, and providing better services to enterprises [2]

【环球时报记者 苑基荣 环球时报驻阿尔及利亚、埃及特派记者 郝瑞敏 黄培昭】编者的话："有生意的地方就有印度人"——这是一句流传在非洲 商界的话。在非洲多国，印度商人在金融、制药、电信、零售等行业都占据了重要地位。那么，印度商人在非洲市场采取了怎样的经营理念和经 营模式，对当地商业环境带来怎样的影响，又面临哪些争议和挑战?《环球时报》记者对此展开采访调查。 " 家族织网 " ，连续经营 4月22日至24日，第十一届马格里布制药博览会在阿尔及利亚首都阿尔及尔举行，这是非洲最大制药技术博览会，现场热闹非凡，来自各国的参展 商和采购者穿梭其中，各种先进的制药设备和创新的医药产品令人目不暇接。然而，最令记者印象深刻的是印度商人在非洲医药行业的强大存在 感。 踏入展馆，印度参展商的展位星罗棋布，占据了相当大的区域。他们的展位设计各具特色，有的采用现代简约风格，突出展示产品的科技感；有 的则融入了印度传统元素，彰显其独特的文化底蕴。这些展位前，总是围满了前来咨询和洽谈的客户，印度商人们说着流利的英语，热情地介绍 着自家的产品和服务。 在南非德班，一位出租车司机告诉记者，他来自印度，在德班的印度人有近百万。印度古普塔家族在 ...

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 陆银波（15210860866） 报告摘要 3 月工业企业利润数据：利润增速转正 3 月，根据统计局数据，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长 2.5% ，前值为 -0.3% 。库存方面，截止至今年 3 月，库存同比 4.2% ，前值为 4.2% 。 量、价、利润率拆分来看 ， 量增价落，收入增速回升，利润率弱于去年同期。 PPI 同比， 3 月同比为 -2.5% ， 2 月为 -2.2% 。工业增加值 3 月增速为 7.7% ， 1-2 月为 5.9% ；收入端 3 月增速为 4.42% ， 1- 2 月为 2.8% 。利润率方面， 3 月为 4.97% ，去年同期（可比口径）为 5.06% 。利润率拆分来看， 3 月毛 利率为 14.2% ，去年同期为 14.5% ；费用率 8.21% ，去年同期为 8.41% ；其他损益收入比为 1.0% ，去 年同期为 0.92% 。 分行业来看 ， 3 月，采矿业增速为 -26.03% ，前值为 -25.2% ；制造业增速为 11.9% ，前值为 4.8% ；电 热气水 ...

Group 1: Industrial Profit Overview - In Q1 2024, industrial enterprises achieved a total profit of 15,093.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 0.8%, marking a positive turnaround from the previous months[2] - The profit growth rate for industrial enterprises in March 2024 was 2.6% year-on-year[5] - The operating income of industrial enterprises increased by 3.4% year-on-year in Q1 2024, with a revenue per 100 yuan of assets reaching 71.7 yuan, up by 4.1 yuan from the previous months[5] Group 2: Cost and Profitability Analysis - Operating costs for industrial enterprises rose by 3.6% year-on-year in Q1 2024, outpacing the revenue growth rate, indicating ongoing cost pressures[5] - The operating income profit margin for industrial enterprises was 4.7% in Q1 2024, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous months[5] - The industrial added value growth rate was 6.5% year-on-year in Q1 2024, slightly up by 0.6 percentage points from January-February[6] Group 3: Sector Contributions and Economic Outlook - Manufacturing profits grew by 7.6% year-on-year in Q1 2024, accelerating by 2.8 percentage points compared to the previous months, enhancing overall industrial profitability[9] - The mining sector's profit decreased by 25.5% year-on-year in Q1 2024, negatively impacting the overall industrial profit growth by 5.0 percentage points[8] - The central government emphasized boosting domestic demand and stabilizing investment as key economic strategies for 2024, with a focus on enhancing consumption's role in economic growth[3]

俗话说"真金不怕火炼"，黄金作为一种稀有金属，在历史上一直都扮演着一种举足轻重的角色。 黄金不仅仅是财力的一种象征，更是一种文化的底蕴。 商周以来，华夏民族对于黄金的流通也越来越频繁。黄金会被制造成各种精美的首饰，用于爱美的女士 的装饰；还会被作为一种天然的货币，在市场上进行流通。 自秦始皇一统六合之后，也对货币制度进行了改革，将货币分为了黄金以及铜钱两种。 与此同时，黄金的流通也比往前更加频繁。 尤其是在西汉时期，黄金的使用达到了鼎盛。帝王往往对于有功之人的论功行赏，时常会达到恐怖的黄 金万两。 黄金在历史中的痕迹 中国是历史上最早使用黄金的国家之一，根据考古学家出土的文物中可以发现，早在大石器时代就已经 发现了黄金的使用痕迹，迄今为止已经有了7000年的历史。 同时还会使用黄金作为一种建筑材料，建造各种富丽堂皇光彩夺目的宫殿。至于后面有专家发现可能是 使用的金色的青铜，而并非真正的黄金，这点还一直存在着争议。 据目前的技术勘测到的数据表明，地球的黄金储备量达到了难以想象的4亿亿吨。 可能仅凭数字你没有一个具体的概念，但如果说将黄金全部开采出来，然后整齐的铺在地球的表面，能 够达到四米的高度，你一定会大吃一 ...